$TSLAGot long at the VWAP... looking for 500 squeeze soon. Positive divergence in all of the momentum oscillators. Trade is stopped out under last VWAP pivot
TL0 trade ideas
TESLA 1 hourly timeframe Bullish trend Instant Buy at 428 with stop loss of 373
Tesla showing movement
Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) Comprehensive AnalysisOverview
Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) has been a focal point of market activity, showcasing significant volatility and creating substantial opportunities for both short-term traders and long-term investors. The current price is $411.58, with the stock trading below its absolute high of $488.54 recorded on December 18, 2024. This represents a deviation of approximately -15.75% from the peak. This technical and fundamental analysis will leverage advanced tools, including VSA patterns, price action analysis, and volume dynamics, to project future movements.
Technical Analysis
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Support Levels: $383.30, $376.04, $358.62.
Resistance Levels: $420.00, $430.50, $448.00.
Moving Averages
MA50: $394.08
MA100: $397.55
MA200: $413.63
The price currently trades above the MA50 but below the MA200, suggesting consolidation within a broader bullish trend. The RSI (14) at 70.76 signals overbought conditions on shorter intervals, necessitating caution for immediate buy entrie.
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) and Patterns
Recent trading data reveals patterns indicative of institutional activity:
Buy Volumes (Jan 13): Closing at $391.96 with increased buying pressure, marking a 14.61% movement from its three-bar low of $380.07.
VSA Manipulation Patterns: A confirmed "Buy Pattern 3" formed on January 13, showcasing a potential bullish continuation with a high of $396.95.
Predicted Scenarios
Short-Term (1 Week):
Tesla appears poised to test its $420 resistance level based on bullish volume patterns. A break above $420 with significant volume could target $430 as the next level of interest. However, failure to breach $420 may result in a retracement to $400-$405 support.
Medium-Term (1 Month):
Given the observed bullish manipulation patterns and technical support at $383, Tesla may aim for a recovery toward its MA200 at $413. If sustained buying interest persists, the stock might challenge its December highs.
Long-Term (3-6 Months):
Tesla’s trajectory could see it revisiting the $450-$470 range, contingent upon macroeconomic conditions and its quarterly earnings surpassing market expectations. The psychological level of $500 remains a potential long-term target if the broader market maintains bullish momentum.
Stop-Loss and Target Levels
Proposed Trade Setup:
Entry: $412.00
Stop-Loss: $400.00
Target 1: $420.00
Target 2: $435.00
Target 3: $450.00
Fundamental Analysis
Tesla remains a key player in the EV market, with growing adoption of its vehicles worldwide. Its latest production numbers exceeded market expectations, signaling robust demand despite economic headwinds. Recent initiatives in energy storage and AI-based technology further diversify its revenue streams, underpinning its premium valuation.
Conclusion
Tesla's technical and fundamental indicators suggest a cautiously bullish outlook. While short-term retracements are possible, the stock's overall trend aligns with upward momentum, supported by strong institutional interest and robust fundamentals.
For further inquiries or personalized trading setups, feel free to contact me directly. All relevant indicators and tools used for this analysis can be found in the profile header.
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
How Rays Work
Fibonacci Rays: Each ray corresponds to a specific angle of inclination, which is mathematically significant and correlates with natural proportions and the start of movement.
Primary Advantage: Rays are constructed from the beginning of a movement pattern, rather than traditional extremum points commonly used in classical technical analysis. This allows for the rapid and accurate accounting of new trend or corrective movement phases.
Adaptability: When a new pattern emerges, rays are automatically adjusted to show the potential movement range. Price may exit this range and enter another, interacting similarly with a different ray.
Rays are Ascending and Descending: They define the boundary of the movement channel.
How to Use Rays
Historical Analysis: On historical charts, observe how price interacted with rays. This helps evaluate how often levels defined by rays led to significant movement changes.
Real-Time Monitoring: By observing current price behavior relative to rays, you can highlight key points where scenarios such as reversal or continuation are likely.
Confirmation Tool: Rays do not replace other analysis methods but enhance them, adding a structured perspective on market behavior.
Scientific Basis
Fibonacci proportions, underlying the construction of rays, are observed in nature, physics, and financial markets, making them a universal tool.
Geometric angles and trends are based on mathematical analysis of historical price behavior.
The principle of minimizing subjectivity in analysis is also applied: rays are constructed strictly algorithmically, excluding human bias.
Why It Matters
My name is Denis Mikheev, and my method does not offer magical solutions or "predictions" of exact price movements. Instead, it identifies key interaction zones where market participants, as well as automated market-maker algorithms, are likely to make decisions. This allows you to act based on probabilities, not guesses.
Example Visualization
On a chart with rays already constructed, you can see:
How price reacts to intersections or proximity to rays.
Where current interaction points may signal potential changes in movement dynamics.
Trade Safe!
Denis MikheevTheWaved™ Team
Setup: TSLATSLA : I have a swing trade setup signal. I'm looking to enter long if the stock can manage to CLOSE above the last candle high(BUY). If triggered, I will then place a stop-loss below (SL) and a price target above it(TP), then using the close below the 10SMA as my trailing stop loss. **Note: The above setups will remain valid until the stock CLOSES BELOW my set stop-loss level(SL).
A bullish outlook for Tesla next week as market sentiment shifts
- Key Insights: Investors should watch Tesla closely for potential rebounds as
the stock approaches key support levels. A breach above $400 may signal
bullish momentum, while maintaining above $373 is crucial to avoid further
declines. The upcoming advancements in autonomous technology and robotics
may positively impact earnings.
- Price Targets: Next week targets: T1= $404, T2= $414; Stop levels
(S1, S2): S1= $371, S2= $365.
- Recent Performance: Tesla's stock has experienced volatility recently,
navigating a bearish trend with support at $373. While the bears remain in
control below this level, signs of resilience and cautious optimism are
being noted among investors.
- Expert Analysis: Experts present a mixed sentiment with a slight bullish tilt
at 55%. A sustained close above $400 could lead to a price target near $504
in the upcoming weeks, contingent on technological advancements and positive
regulatory developments.
- News Impact: Tesla's focus on ramping up Optimus robot production and expected
regulatory credits from European automakers may significantly enhance
revenue potential. Announcements regarding the expansion of supercharger
networks and production improvements are pivotal and could shift investor
sentiment favorably.
TSLA: Bearish Pressure and Potential Pullback🔥 Potential Price Targets:
🩸 Near-term Goal: $394.74 (1-2 months)
🩸 Long-term Goal: $420 (3-4 months)
🔥 LucanInvstor's Strategy:
🩸 Short: Below $394.74, targeting $380 and $360. The MACD remains negative, and the price is below the 9-day EMA, indicating further downside.
🩸 Long: Above $420, targeting $430 and $440. A breakout above resistance could lead to a rally, but short-term bearish momentum remains a concern.
🔥 LucanInvstor's Commands:
🩸 Resistance: $420 — A critical resistance level; a break above this could trigger a rally.
🩸 Support: $394.74 — A key support level; a breakdown below this could lead to further declines.
Tesla is facing bearish momentum in the short term, with MACD confirming the downward trend. A breakdown below key support could trigger more downside, while a breakout above resistance may lead to a brief rally.
👑 "Clarity in your moves defines your success."
$TSLA ONCE IN A LIFETIME POTENTIAL - Fibonacci Pyramid SETUPBuys: 377.70 to 398.86 Target 537.26🎯
I am in 3 Cons 400C already and WILL ADD MORE at KEY Support Fibonacci LOW risk HIGH reward setup!
Drop a LIKE if you want it all here show some love!
Analysis Week TeslaTesla, Inc. is an American automaker based in Austin, Texas, specializing in the production of electric cars, photovoltaic panels and energy storage systems. It is named in honor of the famous inventor Nikola Tesla
you see a double top? well i see a double bottommega bullish on tesla
if we manage to support the 0.382 we wont have a failed auction and lose the level, as we have created value.
e.g we kept value area low at 417, if we lost it we will test previous value POC or around it
always a chance to have a golden pocket entry
if not i will attempt a retry on the POC vwap confluence.
Tesla: More Room for Wave [iv]We place Tesla in a magenta upward impulse, imminently allowing wave more room on the downside. While the current extension suggests that this wave might already be complete, the necessary confirming signals are missing. Still, wave should primarily settle its low with a sufficient distance above the support at $271. A sell-off below this level, however, is 33% likely in the context of our alternative scenario. In this case, the stock would still be working on the broader correction of the blue wave alt. (II), with the gains since April 2024 considered corrective. To render this alternative scenario irrelevant, TSLA needs to stage a decisive rally above the resistance at $488.50.
TSLA LATE ENTRYFor Inner Circle Members. Timely put entries occur on green candles off resistance, or red wicks off resistance, not after a series of red candles. Ideal scenario now is to want for retrace to the MAs or fib level at 388
TSLA: Trading Range situationOn TSLA we are in a trading range situation on a time unit of 15 minutes. A fight is being waged by buyers and sellers. This is why we are faced with two analysis situations.
At first we will have an uptrend only if and only if the resistance line is broken forcefully by a large green candle and followed by a large green volume at this moment we enter the position upon the appearance of the second green candle for added caution.
Secondly, we will have a bearish trend only if and only if the vwap indicator and the support line are broken forcefully by a large red candle and followed by a large red volume, in such circumstances we enter the position as soon as the appearance of the second red candle for greater assurance.
Tesla Levelsas requested by someone, here are tesla relevant levels. looks more down then up but upside charted
My TSLA thoughts for InaugurationMy TSLA thoughts for Inauguration.
If all things are equal, US stocks are likely going to rally till before and during the inauguration.
My entry 1: $404 SL 1: $391.7
TP 1: $440 TP 2: $465
Stay safe and don't be greedy
Telsa, Bullish Opportunity: Wait for the Pullback first.TESLA / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
The market is showing strong bullish momentum, breaking through key resistance levels and signaling a potential continuation to the upside. However, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pullback into the breakout zone for a more strategic entry.
If the pullback holds and buying confirms, the next leg higher could target:
1- First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
2- All-time high
3- The one standard deviation target is shown in the chart.
Why Wait?
Entering after a pullback ensures you're trading with confirmation and reduces the risk of chasing the market. This approach not only minimizes drawdowns but also increases the probability of catching the trend at a stronger position.
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
BUY TESLA $315 AND SELL $430 Tesla has topped and now will be range bound for a long time. So , trade, do what you do best. Forget buy and hold for the next 12 months.
A sell off to $315 should be bot, and then sold at $430. Murrey, Elliot and Kumar wave being used here.
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA): Battling to Regain Momentum🔥 LucanInvestor’s Strategy:
🩸 Long: Above $411.53, targeting $440 and $457. Bulls need strong volume to push past key resistance levels.
🩸 Short: Below $394.94, aiming for $380 and $360. A break below could intensify bearish sentiment.
🔥 LucanInvestor’s Commands:
🩸 Resistance: $411.53. Breaking this level can trigger upward momentum.
🩸 Support: $394.94. Losing this level risks a drop to lower targets.
Tesla is consolidating near critical levels after recent volatility. The MACD reflects fading bullish momentum, with traders watching for volume confirmation to determine the next move.
👑 "Momentum is the battlefield of traders. Adapt and dominate." — LucanInvestor
Tesla's Unhealthy Rise Could Correct Tesla's Unhealthy Rise Could Correct 🚨
Tesla has experienced a significant and rapid price rally recently, creating a potential imbalance in the market. However, this chart highlights a few key areas that traders should watch for potential corrections:
1️⃣ Gap Formation: A noticeable gap formed during the rally (highlighted on the chart). Gaps often act as magnets, and markets tend to revisit them over time. This suggests the possibility of Tesla retracing to this level.
2️⃣ Resistance Zone (~$420): The price is currently testing a resistance zone after the recent pullback. If Tesla fails to break and sustain above this level, it could trigger further bearish momentum.
3️⃣ Potential Targets:
First Target (~$360): If the bearish move begins, this level, marked as a prior area of support, could act as the next stopping point.
Second Target (~$316): A deeper correction could bring Tesla back to a more balanced price range, aligning with longer-term support zones.
Tesla shorttesla short position weekly pull back and 4H bearish structure . sign of weakness coming in 4h.
FIB's @ Trend crossingOne thing I really try to avoid is too much clutter and colors on my charts. You'll start over analyzing, getting lost in all the extras with colors, and ending up with trade block or FOMO. But for learning purposes it helps show what I'm looking for.
Here with the FIB run high to low crossing a primary and a secondary trend line you can see where reversals or break outs tend to happen the most. I don't look for up or down necessarily. I'll explain: What I want to know is if the entry and exit is at a beneficial area. We're here to make money after all and we do that by assessing the risk/reward.
Afer a little practice and some back testing I hope you'll start to see it clearer without the visual aids. Or at least draw it then delete it.
Without looking at the price or the ticker this is something you'll start to see on every chart. Support/resistance and trends. But none of that will ever work in your favor if you switch up mid-trade or take risk beyond the parameters. I'd get in here very cautiously on the 5min and 15min with a tight stop for either direction you're trading. For all I really know it'll go sideways again but at least we'll have stronger S/R to go off of when it does and a small loss if it stops out trying.
Can't win em all but you don't have to lose everything to learn that.
Do we see TSLA below $300?This chart looks extremely bearish to me. I think everyone has become complacent to dips and that makes me worried for the downside in this one.
If we lose the $336 area, there's very little support below it. I think below that area would setup a test of the 200DMA at $244, but I'm actually worried we fall all the way back to the trend line before the next rally.
Let's see how this price action plays out in the coming weeks.
TSLA Technical Analysis with GEX Insights-Jan 8Price Action and Technical Observations:
1. Trendline Support/Resistance: TSLA has formed a descending pattern, with a key trendline resistance overhead, while attempting to hold support levels near $375. Below this, $370 is critical.
2. Key Levels:
* Support Zones: $375 (major) and $370 (next line of defense).
* Resistance Zones: $400 psychological barrier and $414 (breakout level).
3. Indicators:
* MACD: Shows bearish momentum but is nearing a potential crossover, suggesting consolidation.
* Volume: Selling pressure is evident, but lighter volume at support could indicate exhaustion.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) Analysis:
1. Call Resistance: Strong gamma resistance at $425 and $445 indicates selling pressure as TSLA approaches these levels.
2. Put Support: Heavy put open interest is evident at $385 and $375, suggesting strong downside protection here.
3. Implied Volatility (IV): IVR at 77.8 indicates heightened demand for options, with significant hedging activity.
4. Directional Bias: Calls dominate the gamma exposure at 77.8%, hinting at potential attempts for short-term recovery if buying activity aligns.
Trading Scenarios:
Bullish Case:
* Trigger: Break above $400 with volume and MACD crossover confirmation.
* Target: $414 initially; extended target to $425 if momentum builds.
* Stop Loss: Below $385.
Bearish Case:
* Trigger: Failure to hold $375 support.
* Target: $370 and potentially lower towards $360.
* Stop Loss: Above $385.
Conclusion:
TSLA is at a critical juncture with strong put support near $375 and heavy gamma resistance at $400-$425. A break of these levels will likely set the tone for the next major move. The IV and GEX data suggest high hedging and a potential short-term reversal, but caution is advised in this volatile range.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence and manage your risk.
STILL GOING UPIf we ignore all the mixed emotions and countless excuses coming from the media channels today and focus just on some TA it get a little clearer. IDC if you're in it on the 5 min or longer swings. The algo remains the same. Locate a reasonable support. Set the buy, SET YOUR STOP LIMIT, and follow through with the plan. If it fails then find another support later. If it gains, follow it. Seems pretty simple eh?
