XLM: The bull flag that wants $1.50Time Frame: Midterm (expect to close before end of 2025
Entry point: 19-33c
Exit: $1.40-$1.50
Stellar, often seen as a younger brother of XRP, hasnโt seen much of the spotlight from its more well known older brother, but has performed better than almost all major currencies since the Trump election win in November 2024. Where as ETH and other currencies are performing poorly since Trumpโs election win, Stellar has performed amazingly and still 200% up from Nov 5th 2024. So with that great gain already, why does Ralfetto believe there is more to come?
So what is XLM?
XLM, is an open-source, decentralized payments network. It uses blockchain technology to allow users to transfer funds quickly and at a very low cost. The payments network does not show preference to any national currency; instead, the network has its own native cryptocurrency, Stellar Lumens.
So why is XLM worth investing in?
Firstly, at Ralfetto, our views are our own and we are just providing our thesis why we like it, your investment decisions are your own. We are of the belief that XLM will be part of the new X/Grok ecosystem as its payment option. We see alot of evidence pointing to it (alongside XRP). XLM is also ISO compliant which makes it one of a few that supports this technology.
What is the chart telling us?
XLM looks like a bull flag with a target to push it to $1.5. With that type of move, we do expect some fall back given a 5x return.
How we are investing
We believe XLM/Stellar will reach two major targets within 3 years. The first in 2025 of $1.40-150 which is our take profit level 2. After that we expect some volatility before it reaches its final destination of $4.50. There may be further upside but we will be having moving stops once it hits both targets.
XLMUSD trade ideas
Long on XLM โ Breakout Brewing?Stellar (XLMUSD) just pushed above the Ichimoku Cloud with conviction and strong daily momentum. Price action is clean, riding above the Tenkan and Kijun lines, and volume is picking up. A close above $0.31 could confirm a breakout toward $0.44, with a longer-term extension possible to $0.62 โ nearly a 2x move from current levels.
Technical Highlights:
โ
Ichimoku breakout: clear sky ahead
โ
Higher highs and higher lows
โ
Bullish momentum across MACD + structure
๐ R1 Target: $0.44
๐ฐ๏ธ R2 Target: $0.62
๐ Stop: Below $0.27
If Bitcoin holds steady, XLM could run hard. Watching for continuation above $0.31 with volume. Letโs ride the wave. ๐
#XLM #Stellar #Crypto #Altcoins #Ichimoku #Breakout #TradingView
#XLMUSD Daily Analysis โ Falling Wedge Breakout with 1x-2X Poten๐ #XLMUSD Daily Analysis โ Falling Wedge Breakout with 1x-2X Potential
๐ Published: May 10, 2025
๐ Timeframe: 1D | Exchange: Coinbase
๐ Technical Overview
Stellar (XLM) has broken out of a multi-month falling wedge, confirming a bullish reversal after forming a strong base near $0.20. The breakout candle cleared structure resistance and flipped trend momentum back to the upside.
๐ Setup Highlights:
โ
Confirmed Falling Wedge Breakout
โ
Retest held at wedge apex + support = bullish continuation
โ
50 MA starting to curl upward
โ
Structure shows clear AB=CD continuation pattern
๐ฆ Key Support Zone:
$0.201255 โ Wedge base and breakout origin
Panic Level: Close below $0.2510 = invalidation of bullish leg
๐ Breakdown = re-entry near $0.20 or wedge retest
๐ฏ Upside Targets:
TP1: $0.3880 โ mid-channel structure
TP2: $0.4881 โ key resistance + supply rejection zone
TP3: $0.5965 โ full extension / wedge target
๐ R:R for this move: ~5.37x with 95% upside from current levels
๐ง Strategy Insight
โข Setup favors holding or adding on dips above $0.31
โข SL below $0.25 protects structure
โข Ideal for spot accumulation with partial TP along the way
๐ก Falling wedges with clean breakouts like this historically lead to explosive rallies โ especially in major altcoins with network adoption.
๐ฃ Whatโs Next?
Reclaim of $0.38 opens up a clean run toward $0.48+.
As long as $0.25 holds, bulls are in full control.
๐ข XLM is no longer sleeping โ the wedge snapped, and the runway is clear. Targets are on the table.
we ask Allah reconcile and repay
XLM/USD Stellar Heist: Snag the Bullish Breakout Loot!๐XLM/USD Stellar Surge Strategy๐
Hello, Wealth Warriors & Market Mavericks! ๐ธ Ready to conquer the Stellar vs. Tether (XLM/USD) crypto battlefield? ๐ This *Cosmic Trading Blueprint* fuses razor-sharp technicals with real-time market pulse to chase a bullish breakout. Follow this strategy, ride the wave, and exit before the Danger Zone strikes. Letโs bag those profits as a squad! ๐ค๐ฏ
๐ **Strategy Snapshot: XLM/USD Stellar**
- **Market**: XLM/USDT (Crypto) ๐
- **Bias**: Bullish Breakout โจ
- **Timeframe**: 6h (Swing Trade) โณ
**Entry Points** ๐ก
- **Breakout Entry (Entry 1)**: Spot the breakout above the 50-period MA at 0.33500 and dive inโstellar gains await! ๐
*Smart Tip*: Place buy stop orders above the MA or buy limit orders at the latest 15/30-min swing low for pullback entries. ๐ Set a TradingView alert for the 0.33500 breakout to stay ahead of the game!
- **Pullback Entry (Entry 2)**: Wait for a dip near 0.32500, confirmed by bullish price action, for a safer entry. ๐
**Stop Loss** ๐ก๏ธ
- **Breakout Traders**: After breakout confirmation, set Stop Loss below the recent 1D swing low at 0.28000 to guard against reversals. โ ๏ธ
- **Pullback Traders**: Adjust Stop Loss based on risk tolerance (e.g., 1-2% of account), factoring in lot size and multiple entries. ๐
- **Risk Note**: This tradeโs high-energy! Keep position sizing disciplined to protect your capital. ๐ฅ
**Target** ๐ฏ
- Aim for 0.45000, near the Danger Zone (overbought area prone to consolidation or reversal). ๐
- **Exit Strategy**: Take profits early if bearish signals (e.g., high volume, reversal patterns) emerge near 0.45000. ๐ฐ
**Scalpers** ๐
- Target quick long-side scalps with tight trailing stops. Pair with swing traders for the full strategy or snag fast profits if capital allows. ๐ต
๐ **Why This Trade Shines (May 18, 2025)**
XLM/USDT is poised for action, driven by:
- **Technicals**: Breakout above the 50-day MA (~0.33500) with higher lows on the 4h chart signals strong momentum. ๐
- **Sentiment Analysis (May 18, 2025)**: Web sentiment shows 70% positive buzz for XLM, with altcoin hype growing. Fear & Greed Index at 74 (Greed), urging caution near overbought levels. ๐
- **Fundamentals**: CFTCโs COT report (May 16, 2025) indicates a 10% WoW increase in institutional long positions in crypto futures, reflecting big-player optimism. ๐ฐ
- **Seasonal Advantage**: Q2 historically boosts altcoins, aligning with this setup. ๐
- **Market Dynamics**: USD weakness (DXY down 0.9% this week) and altcoin strength fuel XLMโs upside. ๐
โ ๏ธ **Risk Management: Secure Your Gains**
- **News Caution**: Avoid new trades during high-impact events (e.g., CPI, FOMC) to dodge volatility spikes. ๐๏ธ
- **Trailing Stops**: Activate trailing Stop Loss as price approaches 0.42000 to lock in profits. ๐
- **Position Sizing**: Limit risk to 1-2% per trade for a steady strategy. ๐จ
๐ฅ **Launch the Surge!** ๐ฅ
Join the *Cosmic Trading Blueprint* crewโlike, comment, and follow for more dynamic trade setups! ๐ Your engagement fuels our market quests, driving precision wins. Letโs crush XLM/USDT together! ๐ค๐๐
**Stay Ready**: Another stellar plan is in the works. Keep your charts primed, traders! ๐ฑโ๐๐
๐ก **Real-Time Data (May 18, 2025, UTC+1)**
- **XLM/USDT Price**: ~0.33200 (aggregated exchange data).
- **COT Report (May 16, 2025)**: Institutional long positions in crypto futures up 10% WoW, per CFTC.
- **Sentiment**: 70% positive, Fear & Greed Index at 74 (Greed).
- **USD Index (DXY)**: Down 0.9% WoW, supporting altcoin momentum.
XLM/USDT Breakdown: Structure Shift & Bearish Retracement Setup๐ XLM/USDT Trade Outlook ๐
I've been reviewing the XLM/USDT pair, and it's showing a very familiar setup compared to other majors. ๐ On the daily timeframe, we've seen a notable shift in structure, with a clear break to the downside. ๐งฑ๐ Dropping into the 4-hour chart, that structural break is even more apparent, adding confidence to a bearish bias. ๐
Currently, the pair is extended away from valueโand Iโm anticipating a pullback into the fair value zone, where Iโll be watching closely for a potential short setup. ๐๐ผ
๐ฏ In the breakdown video, we cover:
The prevailing trend context ๐
How market structure is unfolding across timeframes ๐
Price action cues to validate the setup ๐ฅ๐
Key support and resistance areas for both entry and target planning ๐ฏ
For risk management, Iโm positioning the stop above the retracement high, using roughly 2x ATR for calculated protection ๐โ๏ธ. A potential reward could extend to 5โ6x ATR, depending on how price reacts around prior structure levels on the left. โฌ
๏ธ๐
As always, Iโm cross-checking with my Fibonacci levels for extra confluenceโand the alignment here is looking solid. ๐ข๐งฒ
Remember, this is not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence. โ ๏ธ๐ก๐
XLMUSD: Aggressive surge expected to at least 0.5500Stellar (XLMUSD) just turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.377, MACD = 0.005, ADX = 37.056), extending the rebound on its 1W MA50. The long term pattern is a Triangle so for the medium term the upside is limited to 0.55000. Since however the structure from mid 2024 resembles late 2016 onwards (price rising then pulling back to the 0.5 Fib), we expect a rise to the 1.618 Fib (TP = 2.5000) if the price crosses above the LH trendline.
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Nov 9, 2021 chart still usable in 2025@readCrypto's chart from Nov 9, 2021 showing the levels he picked up on in 2021 are still true for this cycle. Look how each level will hold and when it breaks it goes right down to next level and is true for peaks. Great charting, looking forward to staying up to date with this one.
Original chart below: