XLM Short Trade (Second Attempt) - Initiated on May 15, 2025 On May 12, 2025, our initial Stellar Lumens (XLM) short position was closed after a stop-loss trigger two days into the trade. Despite bullish market sentiment, primarily driven by the anticipated year-end launch of the Valour Stellar ETP, which is expected to attract significant institutional interest
, we are confidently pursuing a contrarian, short-term bearish strategy by initiating a second short position on XLM. While Bitcoin’s rise to $104,018 as of May 16, 2025, reflects market strength CoinMarketCap - Bitcoin, we believe it is approaching cycle highs, potentially leading to a market pullback that could pressure altcoins like XLM. We anticipate a 28% price drop in XLM to $0.2128 from its current level of $0.2964, capturing liquidity at lower levels to fill orders. This decline is expected to set the stage for a subsequent upward move to absorb liquidity above and meet year-end demand at higher price levels, fueled by the Valour ETP launch and an anticipated bull run peak. Our bearish outlook is supported by an expected increase in USDT dominance (USDT.D), currently stable at 4.55% but poised for a potential rise, and a bearish technical signal from the four-day moving average crossing below the five-day moving average at 8:58 PM PDT on May 15, 2025, as observed on TradingView charts TradingView - XLMUSD.
