NATGAS Long1)Trend defined. 4h Uptrend.
2)Contradictory limit order entry. On a pullback at a previous key level.
3)Default loss. Below the swing low.
4)Default target level. 4.07.
5)Risk <= 3%.
6)Singular trade.
7)Trades placed today <= 5.
XNGUSD trade ideas
Is Natural gas bullish?Price showing pure uptrend,and it's good to enter if pull back near entry point and stop should previous Swing low.
Natgas Weekly Analysis 14-17 JanArctic Air Outbreak Anticipated for Much of the Central, Eastern, and Southern U.S.
After a brief warm up to end the week, a strong cold front will usher in a dangerously cold Arctic air mass east of the Rockies. Much below normal temperatures are forecast to first arrive in the Northern Plains this weekend and then dive southward and eastward over the following days.
(a) During the January 19-23 period*, most of the Lower 48 will likely experience below normal temperatures. The highest probabilities are in the Central, Eastern, and Southern U.S., with greater than 80% odds over much of those regions.
(b) Hazardous cold temperatures and wind chills are anticipated east of the Rockies. Sub-zero temperatures are possible in the Northern Plains, Great Lakes, Midwest, and interior New England. Well-below freezing temperatures are likely as far south as the Gulf Coast.
While some moderation in temperatures may occur during the middle of next week, the overall pattern is anticipated to remain favorable for additional cold air outbreaks into the Lower 48 to close the month of January. Frozen precipitation is also possible in locations where moisture interacts with the cold air. However, the timing, location, and intensity of any winter storms during Week-2 are uncertain at this time.
Natural Gas Short: Testing the $4 Barrier – Opportunity Knocks!Natural Gas (XNG/USD) has spiked to revisit the $4 price zone, activating my short trade. This marks the second time in two years that the price has reached this significant resistance area. The $4 level is pivotal, serving as a key psychological barrier and a historic zone of strong price action. With the position now live, I am leveraging the resistance for a retracement opportunity.
Fundamentals:
• Weather and Seasonal Demand: Short-term spikes in demand are driven by cold weather in the U.S., but with futures traders starting to focus on spring, we may see waning bullish momentum in the coming weeks.
• Russian Gas Supply Constraints: Limited Russian gas flows to the EU continue to add uncertainty to the market, but the current rally seems to be pricing in short-term factors rather than long-term structural changes.
• Historical Levels: The $4 spot price has attracted significant attention as a resistance zone, with $3.40 acting as a key support in recent months. The bounce from this level earlier this year highlights its importance.
• Market Behavior: Futures traders’ sentiment and seasonality are critical drivers. As winter progresses, reduced speculative demand may favor a bearish pullback.
Technicals:
• Entry: $4.00 (Resistance Zone)
• Target: $2.60 - 2.70
• Partials: From $3,19
• Stop Loss: $4.40 (Above Recent Highs)
• Timeframe: 12H
This short trade aligns with technical, fundamental, and seasonal narratives. As the price has shown rejection at this zone, I will actively monitor for a breakdown toward the $3.40 level while managing risk prudently. Stay disciplined, follow your trading plan, and remember to pay yourself as the market unfolds.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Natural Gas weekly levels with both buy and sell entriesNatural Gas weekly levels with both buy and sell entries.
We have seen a bullish move on Gas this week closing at the highs of 3.703/
In the coming week it could deliver a brealput and trade at $4.0 level/
Look at the moving averages yjese have crossedd over and are trading with divergence and bullishness.
RSI is looking upwards and in the near term should deliver in the overbought zone.
I have given both buy and sell entries to be treated as scalping entries especially if selling for short term profit.
Worth noteing that the fibonacci levels are nearly exactly lining up with our entries on both buy and sell levels.
As always take caution, trade with approprate lot size use a stop loss.
The opinions above are not finincial advice mearly my own thoughts on what i think natural gas will reach this week/
Natural Gas..First Target 4 Dollers...May Reached to 5 Dollers Natural gas moved as Expected and posted on 4th January.....Volume of 10th January is quite decent on buying side so we can may expect a Gap Up opening on Monday.....As mentioned on 4th January post it can hit first target within 2-3 days....RSI will also break 60 strength range if it will be break away gap up on Monday...
Lets Hope for the Best..!!
NATGAS Short1)Trend defined. 4h downtrend.
2)Contradictory entry. Just after a double top.
3)Default loss. A bit above the second high of the double top.
4)Default target level. 5.47.
5)Risk <= 3%.
6)Singular trade.
7)Trades placed today <= 5.
Gas panic in Europe: reserves depleting at record paceEurope is facing unprecedented depletion of gas reserves due to cold weather and technical challenges. According to EU gas storage data, storage levels have fallen to 70%, significantly lower than last year’s 86%. Analysts note that this situation is unique in the last seven years.
Adding to the strain, Norway’s Hammerfest plant, which supplies liquefied natural gas (LNG), has halted operations due to compressor issues. This suspension intensifies pressure on the gas market, especially in light of the cessation of Russian gas transit through Ukraine.
The European gas market is set for potential price increases in the coming months. Current storage challenges and reduced supply volumes heighten the likelihood of price hikes, particularly if the cold weather persists. Additionally, the reduction in Russian gas supplies forces the EU to compete more aggressively for LNG on the global market.
Advantages of investing in #GAS in 2025:
Rising energy demand: Increased gas consumption during the winter and limited supply create conditions for sustained price growth. Investing in #GAS could yield high returns during the current energy crisis.
Global LNG competition: Europe and Asia are actively competing for access to LNG. This boosts market liquidity and enhances its appeal to traders and investors.
Inflation hedge: Energy resources, including gas, are a traditional way to protect investments from inflation risks.
Transition to LNG: As part of supply diversification, Europe is increasing the share of LNG in its energy mix, supporting demand for gas futures.
High volatility: Significant price fluctuations present possibilities for short-term profits, particularly amidst geopolitical instability and weather anomalies.
Analysts at FreshForex believe that 2025 is the ideal time to invest in #GAS! Limited reserves, high demand, and volatility create perfect conditions for substantial profits. Don’t miss the chance to capitalize on the year’s leading energy resource!
Natural gas long term projectionsOne of the most exciting assets around, who needs btc when you got NGAS,
Inverse HS, targets: 3.60$ / 5.60$
Mogalef weekly volatility bands seem to have been useful in the past predicting supports and resistances, top band matches the inverted HS target as well.
NatGas - Potential short is in playAs continuation of my Idea I suggest a set up for short continuation based on eliott wave and volume
With the long we we have reached target of 0,5Fibo of short leg so now can start a new short for fill the green candles of yesterday and a probable short continuation.
Possibilty for a Long shall be in case of change of weater or other international news.
NATGAS Short1)Trend defined. 4h downtrend.
2)Contradictory entry. Just after a double top.
3)Default loss. A bit above the double top.
4)Default target level. 2.95.
5)Risk <= 3%.
6)Singular trade.
7)Trades placed today <= 5.
NATGAS SHORT SETUP Currently NATGAS is facing the Resistance at the 24EMA on the 4H after breaking the Intermediate Trend line that was the previous up trend.
The market on the Long term remains bullish but currently facing Rejection. We will take a short at this level but be cautious as this market can move up any time.
NATGAS Short1)Trend defined. 4h downtrend.
2)Contradictory entry. Just after a double top.
3)Default loss. A bit above the second high of the double top.
4)Default target level. 5.47.
5)Risk <= 3%.
6)Singular trade.
7)Trades placed today <= 5.
NATGAS LONGNATGAS remains positive after breaking the 20SMA on the 4H.
With CMO and CMF turning upside we can see money is flowing into the NATGAS markets. With RSI Above 50 and daily and weekly Ichimoku showing us Bullish Bias we will consider taking a Long.
Stay tuned for the correct entry price, and drop a follow if you like the ideas!!
Natural Gas will see half cent the priceIn my analysis, gas price is traveling along the wave E, and now is finishing wave b of a zigzag. And i will soon head down to complete a 5-wave race.
At its peak, Russia enjoyed gas export to Europe, thus leaving The USA a big loser.
She then pushed to retaliate for the lost market and caused the Ukraine war and sold arms equivalent to the amount of the gas deal.
Thus getting back all the money Russia gained out of the gas deal.
Iran-Turkey gas transfer deal is nearing its term soon.
So iran will not make a cheap deal.
If prices drop according to my analysis, Iran wil reduce its gas transport by more than half. And will provide steel, petrochemical industry and cement factories with abundant supply of gas and we will see the economy grow faster.
By then, oil prices will reach to more than 160 dollars a barrel.
I hope the best for Iran.
4-hr NGAS: A $0.64 Drop on the Radar
Natural Gas has surged over 110% since August, reaching a peak of $4.18. While it remains a highly volatile commodity with frequent price swings, a clear support zone has formed between $3.00 and $3.20. However, since last week, NGAS has corrected by more than 20%, dropping below the crucial 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. The RSI has moved into neutral territory, but the decrease in trading volumes indicates that further downside is possible.
As the stock market rises and investors focus on equities, this could trigger a short-term sell-off in Natural Gas. This theory is reinforced by the fact that commercial traders have already built up their reserves ahead of the winter season, which drove buying activity in August, September, and November.
Given these factors, we anticipate that NGAS may continue its downward correction, potentially revisiting the $3.00 zone. This level not only acted as resistance in the past but also aligns with the critical 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. If this support holds, it could provide a base for a potential rebound later on.
NATGAS // Can you imagine $1?This weekly candle looks bearish. It's even more bearish if we take into account that it was printed on the monthly impulse base.
It means that the monthly trend is still short, and if the weekly gets aligned, the price may target the last clean weekly breakout (red), where the countertrend line also breaks, and where the $1 for natural becomes a nice target.
Do you see it coming?
———
Orange lines represent impulse bases on major timeframes, signaling the direction and validity of the prevailing trend by acting as key levels where significant momentum originated.
Level colors:
Daily - blue
Weekly - purple
Monthly - magenta
H4 - aqua
Long trigger - green
Short trigger - red
———
Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼♂️
<<please boost 🚀 if you enjoy💚
Natural Gas...Ready to Go Up Again...If Opens at Positive Note As we are seeing very sharp fall in NG from last 3 days...Weekly candle is most bearish candle with decent volume as well but as we come to daily time frame fall in volumes can be seen which denotes less interest on selling side and as trendline and EMA also showing support at 3.15-3.17 level , hope this level will not break on Monday. And if took a good support from this level ,get ready for new high above 4 dollers within next 2 weeks .
NATGAS Setup Comprehensive Trading Plan for Natural Gas (NATGAS)
Market Bias:
Bullish with a retracement phase:
• Weekly timeframe: Strong uptrend with overbought signals but well above the Ichimoku cloud and SMAs, showing long-term bullish momentum.
• Daily timeframe: Bullish, but in a healthy pullback phase with support around the 0.382 and 0.5 Fibonacci levels.
• 4H timeframe: Price is testing support levels but remains above the Ichimoku cloud and key SMAs (100 and 200), signaling potential for a bullish reversal from oversold conditions.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Levels (Potential Entry Zones):
1. Primary support: 3.67 - 3.71 (confluence of 100 SMA (4H), Ichimoku cloud, and Fib 0.5-0.618 retracement).
2. Secondary support: 3.54 - 3.59 (Fib 0.786 retracement and approaching 200 SMA on 4H).
3. Deep support: 3.29 - 3.35 (Daily Ichimoku base line and Bollinger Band lower range).
Resistance Levels (Take-Profit Areas):
1. 4.00 - 4.05: Daily Ichimoku base line and Bollinger Band upper resistance.
2. 4.14 - 4.20: Swing high and key Fib extension (1.618).
3. 4.31: Fibonacci extension (potential breakout target).
Actionable Setup:
Entry Plan (Bullish Reversal Strategy):
1. Primary Entry (Shallow Pullback): 3.67 - 3.71:
• Enter long if:
• 4H RSI crosses above 50.
• VW MACD turns green with positive momentum.
• Chaikin Oscillator turns positive, indicating buying inflow.
• Suggested leverage: x10 - x15.
2. Secondary Entry (Deeper Pullback): 3.54 - 3.59:
• Enter long if:
• Price finds support at the 200 SMA (4H).
• OBV forms a higher low and moves upward.
• CMF turns from negative to neutral/positive.
• Suggested leverage: x15.
Stop-Loss (SL):
• Conservative SL: 3.50 (below the Fib 0.786 level).
• Aggressive SL: 3.29 (below Daily Ichimoku base line and 200 SMA).
Take-Profit (TP):
1. TP1: 4.00 - 4.05 (+8.0%) – Ichimoku resistance and round number.
2. TP2: 4.14 - 4.20 (+12%) – Recent swing high and Fib extension.
3. TP3: 4.31 (+16.5%) – Potential breakout target from Fib 1.618 extension.
Trade Conditions for Confirmation:
• Daily RSI: Must remain above 50 to confirm that bullish momentum is intact.
• 2H and 4H MACD: Must show a green shift (waning bearishness and increasing bullish pressure).
• Chaikin Oscillator: Must approach zero or turn positive, confirming capital inflows.
• CMF: Should shift closer to or above zero to validate buying interest.
Position Management:
• Scaling in: Add to the position if price holds above the 100 SMA (4H) after initial entry and indicators remain bullish.
• Move SL: Once price reaches TP1, move stop-loss to breakeven (initial entry).
• Partial take-profit: Secure partial profits at TP1 and TP2 to lock in gains while letting the remaining position run toward TP3.
Example Position Plan:
• Entry: 3.67 - 3.71
• SL: 3.50 (conservative)
• TP1: 4.00 (+8%)
• TP2: 4.14 - 4.20 (+12%)
• TP3: 4.31 (+16.5%)
Additional Notes:
• Risk-to-Reward Ratios (R:R):
• R:R for TP1: ~2:1
• R:R for TP3: ~3.5:1
• Avoid Premature Entries:
• If the price continues below 3.54 without bullish confirmation, wait for a potential re-entry at 3.29 or reassess the structure for further downside.
Summary:
• The overall bias is bullish, but the pullback phase suggests waiting for confirmation signals before entering. Key zones around 3.67 - 3.71 and 3.54 - 3.59 are potential support levels for re-entry, while resistance levels 4.00, 4.14, and 4.31 serve as profit targets. Monitor volume-based indicators (OBV, Chaikin) and trend indicators (MACD, RSI) for validation before entering a long position.
NATGAS BUYNATGAS will move to 4 and above, Daily structure is bullish and we have pulled back to a Good level on the 4 hour, we wait now for Bullish momentum to return into the market and we buy.
Natgas to take the top again.Natgas has filled FVG. let it consolidate for 8-10 hours. Look for buys to take the top once more.
4.5 is the next target
Cold Weather Sparks Natural Gas Rally – $5+ in Sight!🔥 Natural Gas Breaks Out – Bulls Charge as Cold Weather Fuels Demand! 🔥
Natural Gas Futures are soaring, backed by January’s colder-than-expected weather forecasts driving heating demand. The breakout above the critical $3.614 level signals powerful bullish momentum, with prices now trading around $3.8610 .
🚀 Why This Rally is Just Getting Started:
$3.614: A Key Level Overcome
Previously a strong resistance, this level had historically acted as support. Its decisive break confirms a shift in market dynamics and solidifies the bullish trend.
Gap to Be Filled at $4.1681
A price gap at $4.1681 suggests a strong upward magnet, as markets often seek to close such gaps. This aligns perfectly with the next major resistance target.
🌟 Trade :
Current Price: $3.8610
Take Profit 1: $4.1681 – The gap-fill level and next major resistance zone.
Take Profit 2: $5.3064 – A long-term target if cold weather continues to drive demand.
Stop Loss: $3.4300 – Protect your capital below this level, as it marks the lower boundary of this bullish momentum.
Natural gas is heating up, and the market is poised for an extended rally. The breakout above a historically significant level, combined with the gap at $4.1681, underscores strong bullish potential. With January’s cold weather expected to persist, this rally could have plenty of room to run.
The bulls are in control – ride the wave to new highs! 🐂🔥
