Palladium to find buyers at market?Palladium - 24h expiry
Yesterday's Marabuzo is located at 973.
Our short term bias remains positive.
We look for gains to be extended today.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
With signals for sentiment at oversold extremes, the dip could not be extended.
We look to Buy at 973.5 (stop at 953.5)
Our profit targets will be 1023.5 and 1033.5
Resistance: 988.2 / 1000.0 / 1020.0
Support: 980.0 / 965.0 / 950.0
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (โOAPโ) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
XPDUSD trade ideas
Possible Palladium Trade OpportunityTVC:PALLADIUM sinking since 2022, fast. The price fell from over $3000 to below $1000. The pain however might end in 2024. The recovering auto sector, jump in manufacturing PMIs and future rate cuts might give TVC:PALLADIUM some breathing room.
ETF holdings of gold, silver and platinum all fell in the last year while the palladium holding rose by %20 and more than %5 of it came in January. Palladium (-54.99) fell much more than its sister Platinum in the last two years (-12.13%) and a possible correction might be in due.
My case for Palladium is positive with the recovery of manufacturing, incoming rate cuts and correction of oversold price. The technical side is still not looking solid though. I decide to risk it becasue of huge increase of ETF Palladium holding in the last months. With 11% risk I expect a jump towards $1500. I will update my stop if price pick up and broke the falling wedge formation.
PALLADIUM - Golden Window Buy ๐Having had what appears to be a start of trend breakout pump, PALLADIUM has had a violent sell off back down to dip slightly below the 0.618 into the retracement Golden Window.
This is a classic Elliott Wave 2 ratio here and good chance it will bounce from this area.
Reasonable chance this will end up being the retracement bottom.
Notice that the RSI is curling up and could be a clue that a bounce is coming.
In higher time frame PALLADIUM appears to have passed a major bottom and the uptrend is now underway.
My previous buy was at the 1.618 $941 taken from the 2 pivots of distribution.
This is my first offering for TradingView and it should be a good one as this is a deep pull back and PALLADIUM may be beginning a multi year uptrend and perhaps even this area will prove to be a perpetual low.
Not advice.
xpd usd Long Palladiummonthly chart on how Palladium may act once it keeps the 0.786 orange fibo as a support. Once it does that, like it did in Green Circle, it should rally up to fibo 1.00 (roughly 1550-1600 usd for 2024) and then the real move should come after that to fibo 1.272... Mind the divergence in monthly RSI as well, pointing to a upturn...
XPDUSD on the verge of a long-term bullish break-out.Palladium (XPDUSD) has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the October 04 2022 High. Today though, the price broke, marginally so far, above it for the first time after a strong post-Fed 1D candle. This rise was initiated on a Lower Lows trend-line but on an underlying Bullish Divergence as the 1D RSI was during the same period on Higher Lows.
This was the first signal of a potential long-term bullish break-out and a break (and 1D candle closing) above both the Channel Down and more importantly the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level (which is where the April 18 2023 High was rejected), will be the confirmation.
If it happens (closing 1D candle above it), then we will buy and target the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 1255.00, which is slightly below Resistance 1 (1291.00). A further closing above Resistance 1, will be new break-out buy entry, with which we will target slightly below Resistance 2 at 1625.00.
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Palladium AccumulationI expect palladium to start an accumulation process in the following months for the following reasons:
Technicals:
Palladium is in an untested demand zone which includes 5 years and 10 years
It is in an untested demand zone which correspond to the restest of 2001 highs and the breakout of 2018
There is a divergence on the MACD
Seasonality is positive from mid December to March
Positioning:
The number of speculators shorts are at an all time high in the COT reports of Palladium Futures
Fundamentals:
Lower rates should support higher prices
Palladium is mainly used in catalyst from fuel-engined cars. The demand for hybrid cars and plug-in rechargeables is expected to increase a lot in the coming years especially in the US and Canada where fully EVs are not ideal because of long distances vs Europe.
In the short term I think palladium can go to 1350.
๐๐ #ChartPattern Alert! ๐๐ ๐ Rising Wedge ๐๐ What is a Rising Wedge? The Rising Wedge is a bearish chart pattern characterized by two converging trendlines, with the lower trendline sloping upward more than the upper trendline. It typically signals a potential bearish reversal, with the price likely to break downward after the wedge pattern.
๐ How to Identify:
Draw a trendline connecting at least two lower highs (upper trendline).
Draw another trendline connecting at least two lower lows (lower trendline).
๐ What it Signals: The Rising Wedge suggests a potential bearish reversal, with sellers prevailing at lower highs within the wedge. It often forms during uptrends and can precede a significant price move to the downside.
๐ Trade Strategy:
Consider short-selling or setting stop-loss levels if the price breaks below the lower trendline of the Rising Wedge.
Set profit targets based on the pattern's height subtracted from the breakdown point.
Implement a stop-loss to manage risk in case of a false breakdown.
Remember to use other technical indicators and conduct thorough research to support your analysis before making any trading decisions. Happy charting and trading! ๐๐น
#XPDUSD Palladium reaching long-term accumulation levelsPalladium is starting to pique my interest. After retreating from as high as $3000 at the peak in April 21' - the commodity is now down 65% and reaching interesting long term levels. Firstly the current level at approximately $1025 is where palladium peaked as far as back in January 01' - almost 22 years ago. If this becomes a point of polarity, the previous top(resistance) should start to morph into support. This level was also tested in late December 2017 after not having made new highs for 16 years! To think that the commodity is basically flat from the highest point some 22 years ago is quite something...
What makes this level even more interesting to me is that we have approached the 200 month moving average (green moving average on the chart). Interestingly, this is where the palladium price bottomed back in Late 2016 before rallying almost 500% to reach the Peak of $3000 in April 21'. Also, if you look at the RSI and MACD indicators at the bottom of my chart, you will see just how oversold the commodity is. To put it into perspective, the only time we were more oversold going back to 1997 (which is as far as i can go), was April 2003 where we traded as low as $150...
I would start accumulating here, with scope to add down at $850 should it get there, which is where we find the uptrend connecting the 2008 and 2016 lows. I will be surprised if we get that far, but I will start accumulating from current levels for a move higher. We are so stretched in price here that I do expect some mean reversion to take place in the weeks and months ahead. We are already starting to see mines having to close shafts which is telling you that PGM prices at these levels are not sustainable and something has to give sooner or later...
XPDUSD Price rebounding at the bottom of the Channel Down.Palladium (XPDUSD) has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since late June and on Monday the price hit its bottom (Lower Lows trend-line). As the 1D RSI touched the 30.00 oversold barrier on a Lower Lows formation that has previously formed short-term bottoms for Palladium, we expect a rebound towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The lowest rebound sequence within this period has been +9.00% so a 1185 target perfectly fit those criteria as well as a potential contact with the 1D MA50.
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Palladium seems like a very good opportunity to me.Hello everyone,
How Rare is Palladium?
Palladium is considered a relatively rare precious metal. It is rarer than well-known precious metals like gold and silver and it seems like a very interesting opportunity at the moment to me.
There is lot of bullish signs I can see.
First of all It seems like it is in nice falling wedge pattern and finishing A-B-C-D-E correction. Very solid bullish divergence is forming on the Weekly time frame and it seems like it broke the red resistence line and its just testing it. Reversal should start soon for this precious metal
I see 50-400% Gains from here.
There is very solid setup for mid to long term trade as well as a long term investment.
If you Zoom out to the Monthly
Hope this helps you.
Cheers
A precious metal is a naturally occurring metallic element with high economic and cultural value due to its rarity, luster, and various industrial and ornamental applications. Palladium is a precious metal with unique properties and commercial importance akin to its renowned counterparts like gold, silver, and platinum.
What is Palladium?
Palladium is a silvery-white transition metal belonging to the periodic tableโs platinum group of elements. William Hyde Wollaston discovered palladium in 1803 and named it after the asteroid Pallas, which was discovered around the same time. Palladium is known for its distinct luster, durability, and high resistance to corrosion, making it a valuable material in various industrial and technological applications. It has also become popular in recent years to invest in palladium.
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Palladium has posted another bearish engulfing.Palladium - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bearish.
The bearish engulfing candle on the 4 hour chart is negative for sentiment.
Trading has been mixed and volatile.
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
1277 has been pivotal.
We look to Sell at 1276.7 (stop at 1292.7)
Our profit targets will be 1236.7 and 1226.7
Resistance: 1255 / 1270 / 1280
Support: 1244 / 1225 / 1200
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (โOAPโ) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.