Plz read my Friday commentary below first to get a feel 4 today!
Precious metals particularly Gold are very strong today.
XPTUSD is bucking the trend and bearish as it wants to trigger this bearish H&S. It may play out very soon. I will send out an alert. It has already retested so a break of the neckline could mean a swift move down before it's price will snap back bullish and play catch up with Gold. So you could ride it both ways....down and up.
XPTUSDG trade ideas
XPTUSD Strong buy on this 1W MA50 rebound.Our April 24 analysis (see chart below) on Platinum (XPTUSD) saw us struck Gold as we caught the exact Bullish Megaphone bottom which hit our 1060 Target:
The situation isn't all that different now as Platinum got close to those April levels, with last week's Low marginally breaking below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), managing however to close the candle above it.
This has been followed with a strong green 1W candle this week, which we expect to be the technical rebound towards at least Resistance 1 if not a new Higher High. Our Target is slightly lower than this at 1095.00.
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Platinum A Complex Equilibrium - Unraveling Market DynamicsThe platinum market is currently navigating a complex equilibrium shaped by a confluence of factors. A persistent supply deficit, driven largely by robust industrial demand, particularly from the automotive sector, has exerted upward pressure on prices. However, the specter of electric vehicle adoption, a long-term threat to platinum demand in the automotive catalyst market, introduces a countervailing force. This dynamic interplay between supply-demand fundamentals and technological disruption creates a challenging environment for market participants.
Moreover, the geopolitical landscape, particularly in South Africa, the dominant platinum producer, adds an additional layer of complexity. Labor unrest, infrastructure challenges, and broader political instability in the region can significantly impact supply and, consequently, prices. The broader global geopolitical environment also plays a role, as tensions between major world powers can create uncertainty and market volatility.
Despite these headwinds, the potential for inventory depletion and ongoing industrial demand suggest that the market may continue to exhibit bullish tendencies. Yet, the magnitude and timing of these bullish impulses will be contingent upon the evolving dynamics of supply, demand, and geopolitical risks. As such, market participants must adopt a nuanced perspective, carefully considering both the short-term and long-term implications of these interconnected factors.
Essentially, the platinum market is a complex system characterized by non-linear relationships and feedback loops. Understanding these intricacies is crucial for developing effective investment and trading strategies.
Fatty Platty PattyPlatinum
Is it time, Sir?
bodl and hodl thx
Look, Sir, chart description must be satisfying some certain minimum character limit. Therefore I tell you, buy Sir, buy. Based on this one descending line, Sir. We are in breakout mode, Sir, with confluence of averages most beautiful, Sir. The time for acquiring shiney metal is coming, Sir. This is not financial advice, Sir.
Platinum In a Bearish BAT PatternPlatinum In a Bearish BAT Pattern
The price completed a big bearish BAT Pattern signaling a bigger correlation
during the coming days.
The Bat pattern is a harmonic pattern which indicates the possibility for a correction after the bullish trend.
The first support zone is found near 1006 and the second zone near 940
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
PLATINUM Massive profit last time. What's the next trade?Straight and plain success of our previous Platinum (XPTUSD) signal (April 24, see chart below), where we caught the exact Bullish Megaphone bottom and hit directly our 1060 Target:
The price could now enter a consolidation phase, the last accumulation, similar to November 15 - December 15 2022, when after it touched the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), it rallied to the bottom of the Resistance Zone.
As a result, we are turning into buyers again, targeting 1100 (just below the Resistance Zone).
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Platinum Approaching Key SupportVersus the US dollar, Platinum is inching closer to a notable area of support after refreshing year-to-date highs of $1,095 last week.
Having seen price action pencil in a clear uptrend since February this year, a test of support between $987 and $1,002 could have dip-buyers make a show. The support area consists of two horizontal support levels around $990, one of which represents a failed Quasimodo resistance (turned possible support), a descending support line, extended from the high of $1,013, a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ratio and a 50.0% retracement ratio at $997 as well as a 100% projection ratio coming in from $987.
PLAT/GOLD ratio: why my stockpick number 4 will start to fly !!Platinum is usually 1 to 2 times more expensiv than Gold historically (between 1.17 and 2.37 times from 1998 until 2008).
After the Great Financial Crisis things went out of wack ! The ratio fell inside a bullish descending wedge until it touched its low point around 0.39 !
At the peak of the Corona Crisis you could buy 2.5 ounces of Platinum with 1 ounce of Gold !
This undervaluation is of factor 3 compared with its average.
This means Platinum could very well outperform Gold by 3 times in the future.
Intresting is that price formed a double bottom with its recent March low and that a bullish divergeance formed between the March 2020 and March 2024 low.
Whereas the March 2020 low was a FALSE breakout of the wedge. The March 2024 is a REAL backtest of the apex of the bullish wedge.
The future price movement of the ratio, and especially the price movement of the PLG (Platinum Group Metals - stock pick number 4/10) should be dramatic !!
Extension of bull market trend in metalsDear analysts and traders,
I trust this message finds you in good health and high spirits as you prepare to approach the upcoming week with renewed vigor. I extend my best wishes for continued success in all your business pursuits. It is essential to emphasize that sustained success in business hinges significantly on the consistent establishment and adherence to your principles.
As an advocate of the Elliott Wave principle, I regard this methodology as a valuable instrument for market analysis. Over the past three years, I have honed my approach by amalgamating this principle with a meticulous evaluation of diverse market scenarios. I strive to mitigate market uncertainties by upholding a broad spectrum of market perspectives, enabling me to discern market structures with utmost precision.
I am pleased to share my analysis with you, with the disclaimer that I do not offer buy or sell recommendations. My perspective on analytical ideas remains entirely impartial, and if my analysis aligns with your standards, it can serve as a compass for informed decision-making.
I have enclosed my prior analysis of the same market for your perusal and comparison. All aspects of my analysis are clearly delineated for clarity. Nevertheless, familiarity with the Elliott Wave principle theory facilitates comprehension of the analytical concept. I apologize for the repetitive nature of the text, as my week is occupied with formulating analytical and educational ideas, as well as engaging in trading activities and managing my social networks. Due to time constraints, I am unable to provide textual explanations for every idea, hence the inclusion of a separate text alongside the labeling. Should the text be unclear, I am available to elucidate the key points.
My rigorous study of the Elliott Wave Principle spanned nearly three years, during which my grasp and utilization of this invaluable tool evolved. My progress thus far stands as a tribute to the legacy of Ralph Nelson Elliott, whose brilliance underpins my accomplishments. May he rest in peace.
I am grateful for your unwavering support and benevolence, and I eagerly anticipate your feedback and constructive criticism.
May my analysis serve as a valuable asset in your business endeavors, and I remain yours sincerely,
Mr. Nobody
Previous analytical ideas
Platinum's Seasonal Bearish Trend: Insights and StrategiesPlatinum is entering a seasonal period typically characterized by bearish sentiment, as observed consistently over the past 15 years during this time of year. This historical pattern suggests a tendency for the metal's price to decline during this period.
From a technical analysis standpoint, the price is currently retesting the supply area, which coincides with significant resistance levels. This area also aligns with the 78% and 88.6% Fibonacci retracement levels, adding further weight to the resistance. Additionally, there is a notable RSI divergence, indicating a potential reversal or continuation of the bearish trend.
Given these factors, we are considering a bearish setup for Platinum, leveraging the historical seasonality strategy. This approach aims to capitalize on the anticipated downward movement based on both technical indicators and long-term seasonal trends. By combining these insights, we aim to make informed trading decisions that align with the historical performance and current market signals.
PLATINUM - Close To Breakout 🧐This chart could easily be overlooked as noise with not much coherent but with simple use of the Supply Line we can see that many breakaway shakeouts (arrows) have already happened.
And now much further down the line with liquidity behind it depleted; there is much more chance that there will be a real breakout.
Also notice by using a lower trendline the price is close to an apex.
This also increases the odds of a full breakout.
This is great for " XYZ" " (client only) as both " X " and Platinum are looking bullish and it is still a deep value buy right now; could be a pump coming soon.
Its become a great moment for metals and related stocks 👍.
PLATINUM testing lower highs from 2000s for a +100% gainer?Precious Metals bulls: Platinum may be a sleeper. Gold and Silver strength makes the Platinum setup very juicy. Platinum looks set to break its chains and begin its move to retest the $2200 highs from years ago. Given geo-politics and inflation expectations, the bottom may be in.