Platinum's Seasonal Bearish Trend: Insights and StrategiesPlatinum is entering a seasonal period typically characterized by bearish sentiment, as observed consistently over the past 15 years during this time of year. This historical pattern suggests a tendency for the metal's price to decline during this period.
From a technical analysis standpoint, the price is currently retesting the supply area, which coincides with significant resistance levels. This area also aligns with the 78% and 88.6% Fibonacci retracement levels, adding further weight to the resistance. Additionally, there is a notable RSI divergence, indicating a potential reversal or continuation of the bearish trend.
Given these factors, we are considering a bearish setup for Platinum, leveraging the historical seasonality strategy. This approach aims to capitalize on the anticipated downward movement based on both technical indicators and long-term seasonal trends. By combining these insights, we aim to make informed trading decisions that align with the historical performance and current market signals.
XPTUSDG trade ideas
PLATINUM - Close To Breakout ๐งThis chart could easily be overlooked as noise with not much coherent but with simple use of the Supply Line we can see that many breakaway shakeouts (arrows) have already happened.
And now much further down the line with liquidity behind it depleted; there is much more chance that there will be a real breakout.
Also notice by using a lower trendline the price is close to an apex.
This also increases the odds of a full breakout.
This is great for " XYZ" " (client only) as both " X " and Platinum are looking bullish and it is still a deep value buy right now; could be a pump coming soon.
Its become a great moment for metals and related stocks ๐.
PLATINUM testing lower highs from 2000s for a +100% gainer?Precious Metals bulls: Platinum may be a sleeper. Gold and Silver strength makes the Platinum setup very juicy. Platinum looks set to break its chains and begin its move to retest the $2200 highs from years ago. Given geo-politics and inflation expectations, the bottom may be in.
Lord MEDZ's Trading Blog: The Future of PlatinumDear GreatSouls,
Welcome back to another insightful analysis with me, Lord MEDZ. Today, we're diving into the world of Platinumโa precious metal that's often overshadowed by gold and silver but holds significant potential in the trading and investment landscape. In this blog post, I'll share my views on what could be in store for Platinum over the next few years.
Current Market Overview
As of mid-2024, Platinum has experienced notable volatility, influenced by factors such as industrial demand, geopolitical tensions, and shifts in global economic policies. Unlike gold, which is primarily seen as a safe-haven asset, Platinum has a dual role as both an investment asset and an industrial metal. This unique position means its price movements are influenced by a combination of economic growth prospects and market sentiment towards precious metals.
Key Factors Influencing Platinum Prices
Industrial Demand: Platinum's primary use is in the automotive industry, specifically in catalytic converters for vehicles. With the global push towards greener technologies and electric vehicles (EVs), there's a common misconception that Platinum demand might wane. However, the reality is more nuanced. While EVs don't use catalytic converters, the demand for fuel cell vehicles (which use more Platinum) is expected to rise. Additionally, the hydrogen economy is emerging as a significant driver for Platinum demand due to its use in hydrogen fuel cells.
Supply Constraints: South Africa and Russia are the two largest producers of Platinum. Any geopolitical instability or mining disruptions in these regions can significantly impact supply, leading to price spikes. Additionally, the challenges faced by the mining sector, including labor strikes and regulatory changes, play a crucial role in influencing Platinum's availability and price.
Economic Factors: As a precious metal, Platinum is also seen as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty. Central bank policies, interest rates, and global economic health are all factors that can drive investment demand for Platinum.
Technological Advances: Innovations in industrial applications, such as advancements in medical technologies and renewable energy solutions, are creating new demand avenues for Platinum. As these technologies become more mainstream, the demand for Platinum is likely to increase.
Forecast for the Coming Years
Short-Term Outlook (1-2 years)
In the short term, I expect Platinum to experience moderate price growth, driven by steady industrial demand and potential supply disruptions. The ongoing transition to greener technologies and the push for sustainability will continue to support Platinum prices. However, market volatility remains a risk due to geopolitical factors and economic uncertainties.
Medium-Term Outlook (3-5 years)
Looking further ahead, the medium-term prospects for Platinum appear more promising. The global shift towards a hydrogen economy is expected to gain momentum, significantly boosting Platinum demand. Moreover, technological advancements in various industries will create additional demand pressures.
Platinum's price could see substantial appreciation as these factors converge. Investment in Platinum might become more attractive compared to gold and silver, particularly for those looking to diversify their portfolios with metals that have robust industrial applications.
Long-Term Outlook (5+ years)
In the long term, the potential for Platinum is vast. As the world increasingly embraces sustainable energy solutions, the demand for Platinum in fuel cells and other green technologies is set to soar. Additionally, ongoing supply constraints and the challenges of expanding mining operations will likely keep prices elevated.
Investors who are patient and strategic could see significant returns as Platinum becomes a cornerstone of the new energy paradigm.
Conclusion
Platinum is positioned uniquely at the crossroads of industrial demand and precious metal investment. Its future is closely tied to technological advancements and the global shift towards sustainability. For traders and investors, keeping a close eye on developments in these areas is crucial.
I appreciate your feedback on this analysis. Your insights and discussions help us all become better informed and more strategic in our trading endeavors. Until next time, keep safe and happy trading!
Warm regards,
Lord MEDZ
After the gold rush, it's time for the platinum fury!Platinum is following a ~1111 Days time cycle, roughly ~160 weeks, and it recently formed a bottom near ~$840 in October 2023
After correcting for ~13 years from 2007 to 2020, platinum finally intiated a new impulse wave in 2020, however, this impulse wave was short-lived and soon came to an end.
Now, platinum is completed its 2nd wave and is ready for its 3rd wave which often turns out to be the fastest and largest of the 5 elliot waves!
Here's the trade
Buy @ CMP (~$1070)
Stoploss @ 900
Target @ $1500
XPTUSD - BEARISHXPTUSD is exhausting right now there are many reason to keep an eye on this instrument as sentiments a bearish pattern and a strong resistance is lying at the current top. Moreover if XPTUSD test the resistance and then a new lower low comes to existence the entry would be more relying. So I might a little at least 2 things to sync the a lower low and the rรฉsistance to be tested. Thanks
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XPTUSD has cross-over and shows short opportunity XPTUSD has broken its bottom trendline with a 3 EMA crossing over the 10 EMA to the downside. At the same time we're getting the EMAs crossing over the Stochastic is heading down and crossing over the 50% mark giving three confluences to look for shorts
Ill be targeting a 1% move down underneath a support i have drawn out on the 4H chart
More downside for XPTUSD (Platinum)XTPUSD has been rallying ever since it broke out of its two week sell off a couple days ago but there are now signs showing that the upward momentum could be coming to a end.
Technical : The 3 EMA is crossing over the 10 EMA to the downside while at the same time the Stochastic is crossing the 50% mark to the downside as well. These Bearish confluences are happening while we are nearing the bottom Trendline, making a breakdown higher probability. Target a 1-1.5% move down from your entry/break
4H XPTUSD (Platinum) Long waiting on retestXPTUSD has broken the Bullish (TOP) Trendline after multiple (5) touches, we dont have a clear safety line to give us a stop loss so i wont enter of the initial break. Im going to instead wait for a retest of the Bullish Trendline we'd just broken, Waiting allows me get a better idea of the breakout to see if its just trying to fake us out. If this bullish situation plays out ill be targeting Resistance above at 943.95.
XPTUSD Strong Higher Low buy opportunity. 1D Golden Cross formedPlatinum (XPTUSD) gave us an excellent bottom buy signal last time (March 13, see chart below), as the metal entered a Channel Up pattern following the bottom just below 880.00:
Currently we are on the 2nd Bearish Leg of the Bullish Megaphone pattern that emerged and will complete a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame today. As per the December 02 2023 Golden Cross, which was formed after a similar rebound, but on a more aggressive Channel Up instead of a Megaphone, we should be expecting another Higher High near the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. Our Target is 1060.
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Platinum $: re-test of the 200-day?A price action below 910 supports a bearish trend direction.
A price action below 900 supports further downside potential.
The stop-loss price is set at 955 (just above its 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level).
The profit target is set at 855.
Crossing below its 200-day, might initiate a re-rest of its 200-day and then a leg down.
Platinum- Can it Bridge the Gap with Gold?For the past 10 months, OANDA:XPTUSD has been trading within a range between approximately 850 to 1000.
However, upon closer examination of this range, it appears to resemble a rounded bottom formation and also after dipping below 900 at the beginning of March, Platinum has been establishing higher lows, suggesting that the price is ready for a strong rise.
Conservative traders may want to consider waiting for a break above 1000.
In such an instance, the price could potentially accelerate and reach 1300 in the medium term.
On the other hand, more aggressive traders could opt to buy dips near 950.
With a stop loss set below 850 and a target of 1300, this strategy could potentially yield a risk-to-reward ratio of more than 1:3.
PLatinum Quick Video Idea - -2024.04.08EASYMARKETS:XPTUSD
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Continuation upside move and a break of this daily level?As we start a new week, we seem to be ascending to the upside and potentially testing the daily resistance level (934) again. Whoever said XPT is correlated with XAU, I don't see it. Weekly time frame, still scream a slow bear trend for me. Hence why I'm still looking for a long term bear play. For now I will ride up this uptrend for now
Plat, time to join the party with gold and silver.Gold is leading the gains in the basket of precious metals and it is only a matter of time before the rest of the metals follow and break higher. The move higher in precious metal prices is immensely rand positive but we will have to see platinum come to the party for sustained rand gains before the local elections. Platinum has broken above the 50-day and 200-day MAโs and it is looking set to test the 61.8% Fibo rate of $957 per ounce and the major downward trend line in the days to come if it maintains levels above $915 per ounce.
XPTUSD Monthly Chart Symmetrical Triangle - Play on BreakMonthly Chart Symmetrical Triangle
Break of 8030 or 1030 will create a strong trend
As of April 2024, trend is positive for XPTUSD
being green 70% for April last 10 years and testing
bottom of the symmetrical triangle and nearing monthly support
Can buy dips down. As long as 850 holds can play long if it breaks, switch bias