XRPUSD trade ideas
XRPUSD Chart Outlook It's nice to finally say we made it back to the All Time High. Here is what I can see with the current movement we have. It's holding nicely above the double daily but there could be a chance to bottom at the 3.00 to 3.02 range. then push out strong. We have a monthly closure this week & normally we can get some movement at the end of months. just depends. I trade wicks so my zones are on the wicks of previous candle closure, if that helps understand my chart. Happy Tuesday
XRP: Support at $2.960 Holds the Bullish SetupFenzoFx—XRP dipped from $3.666 but stabilized near the monthly anchored VWAP at $2.960. It now trades at $3.142 above the ascending trendline.
Immediate resistance lies at $3.332, aligned with the descending trendline. A close above this level may propel XRP to $3.432. Strong buying could extend gains to the recent high of $3.666.
The bullish outlook stands while XRP/USD holds above key support at $2.960. A drop below this level would invalidate the bullish scenario.
Xrp's next low (T2)5 days ago on my first post (July 23rd), xrp was $3.22.
I suggested that Xrp would continue to drop into T1 around $3. That target was hit at $2.96.
My chart also showed that Xrp could continue to drop to T2 and go as low as $2.75.
Based on price action, I believe my T2 ($2.75 - $2.80) may also be hit. This will be my ideal entry.
Bullish Signals Mount for XRP as Price Holds Weekend GainsXRP at a Crossroads: Technical Strength Meets Fundamental Catalysts in a High-Stakes Market
July 28, 2025 – In the volatile and ever-evolving world of digital assets, few tokens command as much attention, debate, and fervent community support as XRP. The digital asset, intrinsically linked with the fintech company Ripple, is currently navigating a period of intense market focus. After a period of consolidation, XRP is demonstrating renewed strength, holding onto recent gains and pressing against critical technical resistance levels. This price action is not occurring in a vacuum; it is the culmination of powerful undercurrents, including bullish chart patterns, significant accumulation by large holders, and a shifting landscape of regulatory clarity and institutional interest that could define its trajectory for years to come.
As of Monday morning, XRP has shown stability, trading around the $3.16 to $3.24 range. This follows a period where the token has been building momentum, with analysts closely watching key resistance zones between $3.30 and $3.40. A decisive break above these levels could signal the start of a new upward trend, while the ability to hold support, particularly around $3.15 to $3.20, is seen as crucial for maintaining the current bullish structure. This delicate balance has traders and long-term investors alike on high alert, as a confluence of technical indicators and fundamental developments suggests that XRP may be poised for its next significant move.
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Chapter 1: Decoding the Charts: Bullish Patterns Emerge
For technical analysts, the recent XRP charts are a compelling study in bullish potential. Several classic patterns and indicators have emerged, suggesting that the path of least resistance may be upwards. These signals, watched closely by traders globally, are fueling a narrative of an imminent breakout.
One of the most discussed formations is the "Cup and Handle" pattern. This is a bullish continuation pattern that resembles a teacup on a chart. The "cup" is a U-shaped or rounded bottom that forms after a price run-up, indicating a period of consolidation and accumulation. This is followed by the "handle," a shorter and shallower downward drift in price, representing a final shakeout before a potential major upward move. Analysts have identified a large cup formation developing on XRP's long-term charts, with some pointing to a breakout zone around $3.64. A confirmed move above the handle's resistance could, according to technical theory, trigger an explosive rally, with some analysts projecting targets as high as $5.18, $7, or even a staggering $30 based on the pattern's depth.
Adding to this bullish thesis is the appearance of a "Golden Cross." This occurs when a shorter-term moving average (like the 50-day) crosses above a longer-term moving average (like the 200-day) on a price chart. It is widely regarded as a signal of a potential long-term uptrend. A golden cross was recently confirmed on XRP's daily chart around July 23, 2025, an event that historically has preceded significant price runs. The last major golden cross in late 2024 was followed by a rally of over 460% in two months. While past performance is not indicative of future results, the reappearance of such a powerful signal has undoubtedly bolstered investor confidence.
Furthermore, a rare golden cross has also been observed on the XRP/BTC trading pair, where XRP's price is measured against Bitcoin. This specific event, where the 23-day moving average crossed the 200-day, previously preceded a 158% surge in the pair's value in just two weeks. The near-identical structure of the current pattern has led analysts to suggest that XRP may be poised to outperform Bitcoin in the near term, especially as Bitcoin's price has been consolidating, shifting investor focus toward promising altcoins.
These technical signals—from the broad Cup and Handle to the precise Golden Cross—are painting a picture of a market coiling for a significant move. They suggest that underlying buying pressure is quietly building, setting the stage for a potential breakout if the market's fundamental drivers align.
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Chapter 2: The Whale Effect: Following the Smart Money
Beyond the lines on a chart, the actions of the market's largest players—colloquially known as "whales"—provide another critical layer of insight. These are individuals or entities holding vast amounts of a cryptocurrency, and their trading activity can significantly influence market trends and sentiment. Recently, on-chain data has revealed a clear and compelling trend: XRP whales are accumulating.
In a remarkable show of force, wallets holding between 10 million and 100 million XRP have been steadily increasing their holdings, adding over 130 million XRP in a single day recently. These large-scale investors now control approximately 14% of the circulating supply, a historic high for this cohort. This accumulation is significant because it suggests that sophisticated, well-capitalized market participants are confident in XRP's future prospects and are positioning themselves for a potential price increase.
Simultaneously, the flow of XRP from whale wallets to exchanges has plummeted by over 93% since early July. This is a crucial indicator, as large transfers to exchanges often signal an intention to sell. The sharp decline suggests that whales are not only buying more XRP but are also holding onto their existing assets, reducing the available supply on the market and removing significant sell-side pressure. This behavior, often described as a "supply shock," can create a powerful tailwind for the price if demand continues to rise.
This intense accumulation has not gone unnoticed. In one instance, two identical transactions moved a combined 306.4 million XRP, worth nearly $1 billion, from an exchange to a private wallet within 60 seconds. Such large, coordinated movements are often interpreted as strategic positioning ahead of anticipated positive news or a market-wide rally. This activity, combined with reports of over 2,700 wallets now holding at least 1 million XRP each, paints a picture of broad-based accumulation among the asset's most significant backers. This "smart money" activity often provides a psychological boost to retail investors, reinforcing the belief that a major move could be on the horizon.
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Chapter 3: The Fundamental Pillars: Regulation, ETFs, and Utility
While technicals and whale movements drive short-to-medium-term sentiment, the long-term value of any digital asset rests on its fundamental pillars. For XRP, these pillars are its evolving regulatory status, the tantalizing prospect of a spot Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF), and its core utility within Ripple's global payments network.
Regulatory Clarity on the Horizon:
The most significant overhang on XRP for years has been the lawsuit filed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in December 2020, which alleged that Ripple conducted an unregistered securities offering. This legal battle has been a focal point for the entire crypto industry. However, recent developments have shifted sentiment dramatically. Key court rulings, including a partial victory for Ripple where a judge determined that some of its XRP sales did not qualify as securities, have bolstered institutional confidence.
Currently, the case is in a delicate phase, with both Ripple and the SEC having paused their respective appeals. While rumors of a final settlement swirl, legal experts caution that the process is subject to the SEC's internal bureaucratic procedures and a formal vote is still required. Nevertheless, the prevailing belief is that the worst of the legal uncertainty is over. A final resolution, which many hope will come before the end of the year, would remove the primary obstacle to XRP's full-scale adoption in the United States and could pave the way for its relisting on major exchanges and inclusion in institutional products.
The Race for a Spot XRP ETF:
Following the landmark approvals of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, the crypto market is buzzing with anticipation for what comes next. XRP is widely considered a prime candidate for its own spot ETF. Asset management giants like Grayscale, Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, and WisdomTree have already filed applications with the SEC.
The approval of a spot XRP ETF would be a watershed moment, providing a regulated, accessible, and insured investment vehicle for both retail and institutional investors in the U.S. to gain exposure to XRP. The launch of XRP futures-based ETFs has been seen as a positive precursor, following the same playbook that led to the spot Bitcoin ETF approvals. Market analysts and prediction markets have placed the odds of a spot XRP ETF approval in 2025 as high as 92-95%, contingent on a favorable resolution of the SEC lawsuit. Such an approval could unlock billions of dollars in institutional inflows, dramatically increasing demand and market legitimacy for the asset.
Core Utility in Global Payments:
At its heart, XRP was designed for utility. It serves as the native digital asset on the XRP Ledger, a decentralized blockchain engineered for speed and efficiency. Its primary use case is powering Ripple's payment solutions, which are now part of the broader Ripple Payments suite.
Ripple's network is designed to challenge the legacy correspondent banking system, exemplified by SWIFT, which can be slow and costly for cross-border payments. By using XRP as a bridge currency, financial institutions can settle international transactions in seconds for a fraction of a cent, without needing to pre-fund accounts in foreign currencies. This utility is not merely theoretical. Ripple has forged partnerships with over 300 financial institutions across more than 45 countries, with a significant portion utilizing XRP for liquidity. In 2024 alone, over $15 billion was transacted via Ripple's liquidity solutions, and the XRP Ledger is now processing over 2 million transactions daily. This growing, real-world adoption provides a fundamental demand for XRP that is independent of market speculation and forms the bedrock of its long-term value proposition.
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Chapter 4: The Retirement Dream: Audacious Predictions and Future Outlook
The convergence of bullish technicals, strong fundamentals, and growing market optimism has led to a wave of bold price predictions from analysts. While highly speculative, these forecasts illustrate the immense potential that many see in XRP, fueling a narrative that significant holdings could lead to life-changing wealth.
Price targets for the current cycle vary widely, reflecting different models and timelines. Short-term targets frequently center around the $4 to $7 range, with some analysts suggesting a move to $9 or $15 is possible if momentum continues. One analyst, citing a rare bullish chart pattern, sees a potential 60% rally to around $4.47.
Looking further out, the predictions become even more audacious. Projections based on historical cycles and technical models, such as Elliott Wave theory, have put forth long-term targets of $16, $24, and even $27. Some AI-driven prediction models forecast that XRP could reach the $10-$20 range by the end of 2025, especially if an ETF is approved. Longer-term forecasts extending to 2030 suggest prices could potentially climb to between $19 and $48, depending on the level of global adoption.
These predictions have given rise to the "retire on XRP" dream among its community. For instance, if XRP were to reach one analyst firm's high-end forecast for 2030 of $32.60, an investment of 10,000 XRP could be worth over $326,000. While tantalizing, it is imperative for investors to approach such forecasts with extreme caution. The cryptocurrency market is notoriously volatile, and such high-reward potential is invariably accompanied by high risk. Regulatory setbacks, macroeconomic downturns, or a failure to achieve widespread adoption could all significantly impact XRP's future price.
Conclusion: A Confluence of Forces
XRP currently stands at one of the most fascinating junctures in its history. The digital asset is being propelled by a powerful confluence of forces: bullish technical patterns are signaling a potential breakout, on-chain data shows undeniable accumulation by its largest holders, and its fundamental value proposition is being strengthened by increasing regulatory clarity, the imminent possibility of a spot ETF, and steadily growing real-world utility.
The journey ahead is fraught with both immense opportunity and significant risk. A decisive break above its current resistance could unleash the momentum that analysts and investors have been anticipating for months. However, the market remains sensitive to legal news and broader macroeconomic trends. For now, XRP remains a bellwether asset, its story a microcosm of the broader struggle and promise of the digital asset industry—a high-stakes battle for legitimacy, adoption, and a permanent place in the future of finance
XRP Confronts Daily SMA ResistanceFenzoFx—XRP remains bearish, trading below the 50-period daily SMA at around $3.18. The SMA acts as resistance. Immediate support lies at $2.96. A break below this level may trigger further downside toward the $2.66 demand zone.
On the upside, a close and stabilization above $3.27 would invalidate the bearish outlook. In that case, momentum could push prices toward the previous highs at $3.65.
XRP Cup & Handle Pattern on the Daily Chart.XRP is now forming the handle on a very nice cup-and-handle pattern on the daily chart, starting at the previous all-time high set on January 16th, 2025.
But this pattern isn’t all sunshine and rainbows. The price of XRP could drop down into the $2.50 range—toward the bullish fair value gaps I’ve outlined at the bottom of the handle—before making any credible gains or a major breakout to higher levels.
I do believe we’ll see much higher prices in XRP in the coming years as we continue moving into the new global digital financial system. However, for this pattern to fully play out, there will likely be some pain before the pleasure.
I’d keep a close eye on the pink area marked on the charts—spanning from August 23rd through September 8th—as a potential zone for bearish price action.
Luckily for me, my XRP bags have been filled since before the Trump election pump, so I don’t personally need to buy more—unless I see a clear buying opportunity.
Good luck, everyone!
XRP - history repeating?Hello.
I'm going to walk you through what happened in the early years of XRP p.a. and how this fractal might play out today.
Here's what happened.
1. A high was printed in 2013 (ATH)
2. Followed by a lower high (LH)
3. XRP broke out of a downtrend 📈
4. In 2017 price increased 1,280% finding resistance @ ATH (we'll call this "Leg 1")
5. The LH then acted as support, followed by sideways price movement
6. Price increased 1,460% creating a higher-high (or "HH") which surpassed the ATH and this is "Leg 2"
7. Again, sideways price movement.
8. An increase of 1,560% creating a new ATH Dec 2017 - "Leg 3"
What's interesting here is that each leg takes 5 weeks to play out (that's 5 green weekly candles to put a finer point on it).
Fast forward in time - what do we see?
A high..
A lower high....
A breakout of the downtrend..
Followed by..... you guessed it... 5 green weekly candles
Hold on...
A rejection at the ATH
The LH acting as support...
With sideways movement .. 👀
The symmetry is quite profound and provides us with an idea of what will happen next.
If we consider the move in Nov 2024 as "Leg 1" then one could argue that "Leg 2" is currently in play.
Leg 1 was not as significant as the uplift we saw in 2017 (480% vs 1,280%)
However, if we assume that the variance between Leg 1 and Leg 2 rhymes then the projected uplift from the LH would be 550%.. making XRP price roughly $11-13
It follows that price will then move sideways/consolidate/capitulate for several months.
Followed by one last move to the upside which, using the variance between Leg 2 and Leg 3 put the final leg @ 585% or $35-39.
Wild guess but based on historical Bitcoin halving peaks and XRP ATH in both cycle 1 and 2 landed at the back end of Q4, it is assumed the same could happen (put simply: the end of 2025).
You're welcome.
XRP/USD Chart Hack – Rob the Market Before the Bears Do🏴☠️💸 XRP/USD Crypto Market Heist Plan: Thief Trader Style 💰📈
"Break the Vault, Rob the Trend – One Candle at a Time!"
🌍 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌍
To all fellow money makers, day robbers & chart thieves... welcome to the vault!
We’re diving into the XRP/USD (Ripple vs. U.S. Dollar) with a bold Thief Trading™ Strategy, blending technical mastery and market intuition.
📊 THE PLAN: Rob the Resistance – Swipe the Highs
🔥 Based on Thief Trading-style TA & FA combo, here's the master heist setup:
Long Bias ⚔️
Target: The High Voltage Resistance Zone
Status: Overbought + Trap Level = High Risk, High Reward
Market Mood: Bullish but risky – consolidation & reversal zones ahead
Crowd Behavior: Bearish robbers strong above, but we strike below
🧠 Thief Wisdom:
“The vault's open, but not every vault is unguarded. Wait, plan, attack with strategy.”
📥 ENTRY PLAN
The Heist Begins at the Pullback...
Use Buy Limit Orders (Thief Style: DCA / Layering)
Entry Zones: Near recent swing lows or within 15–30 min pullbacks
Let the price come to your trap – precision is our weapon
🛡️ STOP LOSS STRATEGY
Guard Your Loot – Always Secure Your Exit
SL Example: 2.8500 (3H TF swing low)
Customize SL based on:
⚖️ Your lot size
🎯 Risk tolerance
🔁 Number of entry layers
Remember: We don’t chase losses – we protect capital like it's gold
🎯 TARGET
Final Take-Profit: 4.0000
But hey… Thieves escape before alarms ring!
💡 If momentum slows, don’t be greedy. Exit smart, exit rich.
📡 FUNDAMENTAL + SENTIMENTAL OVERVIEW
The bullish bias is supported by:
📰 Macro Events
📊 On-Chain Signals
📈 COT Reports
🔗 Intermarket Correlations
📢 Sentiment Analysis
👉 Stay updated with the latest data — knowledge is the thief’s ultimate tool.
⚠️ TRADING ALERT – News Can Wreck the Heist
To survive news spikes:
🚫 Avoid entries during high-impact releases
📉 Use trailing SL to protect your open profits
🛑 Adjust exposure during uncertain volatility
❤️ SUPPORT THE CREW – BOOST THE PLAN
If this plan added value, hit the 🔥BOOST🔥 button.
It helps grow the Thief Trading Team, and together we rob smarter, not harder.
💬 Drop your feedback, thoughts, or charts below – let’s build the crew!
💎 Every candle tells a story. We don’t follow the trend – we rob it.
💣 Stay alert, stay rogue, and I’ll see you at the next market heist.
💰 Until then… chart smart, trade savage. 🐱👤💵
6month log chart on xrpusd suggests crazy potential targetsThe bull pennant we are in shown here on the 6month time frame seems to have a symmetrical triangle for its flag. The breakout target for just the symmetrical triangle is in the $33 range. Factor in the pole of the flag and the potential target skyrockets to 1.2k. Definitely not financial advice and certainly no guarantee it will hit either target as it’s still up in the air if log chart targets reach their full target as reliably as linear chart patterns do. Even if it does hit these targets you can see the apex of the pennant in its current trendline trajectories doesn’t occur until 2026. The only way I see price remaining inside this triangle for that long is indeed if the SEC ripple case is extended through appeal and taken to the Supreme Court. Hopefully not but it isnt impossible. If this were to occur I would simply keep dollar cost average accumulating until it was to break out from the triangle which would give me more opportunity to take some profit at the first target but then also hold onto some of the asset in case it does indeed reach the full bullflag breakout somehow all the way up at 1.2k. Simply posting this hear so I can see how well price action chooses to follow this pattern over the next year or few. Once again *not financial advice*
XRP Pullback Complete: Bulls Step In Toward Fibonacci TargetsAfter a healthy pullback, XRP (XRPUSD) is showing signs of renewed strength as new buyers re-enter the market. This correction phase appears to have attracted smart money, setting the stage for the next bullish leg.
The chart structure suggests XRP is now in a re-accumulation phase, with price aiming for mid-term Fibonacci targets:
Target 1: 1.272 Fib – 3.88 - continuation zone after breakout
Target 2: 1.618 Fib – 4.50 - strong extension level aligned with prior highs
If momentum holds and volume builds, XRP may resume its upward trajectory toward these targets in the coming weeks.
XRP to 2.80So, conjugate waveform or Elliot wave retracement is 5 steps. With 3 being the longest. 5 obviously the lowest. Once a demand or supply zone is tapped/broken into, they want the extreme of that zone. That's why I think 2.80 low.
With, 1234 break on Z out of the bearish Pennant into the demand. Forming the bottom of the, now larger C&H.
And aAaAway we go!
Relax and watch the show - target = 13 dollarDear,
In a bull market it is normal to see a 10, 20% pullback before the next impulsive wave.
It is a normal level for XRP to reject for now because we came near the ATH.
With the next test of ATH i believe we will move fast trough it.
My personal target for this bull run is 13 dollar. It can go higher but i believe the market will be overbought.
Currently the RSI levels are cooling of, the 1H and 4H oversold so i believe we will reverse soon.
Take care.
XRPUSD Massive break-out that can Top at $12.500XRP (XRPUSD) got out of its Accumulation Triangle (December 2024 - June 2025) making an aggressive break-out similar to the December 2017 one, which was after an identical Triangle pattern.
The fractals are so comparable that both mostly traded within the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the Mayer Multiple (MM) 2 Stdev Above (orang trend-line).
As you can see, that MM trend-line was where the Top of the previous Cycle (April 2021) was priced and the one before was above the 3 Stdev Above (red trend-line).
Assuming that this Cycle will also go for the 'minimum' 2 Stdev Above test, it can make that contact by the end of the year on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (Cycle Top-to-bottom) at $12.500.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
XRPUSD - Target reached. Reversal on the plateSo, that was a nice long trade.
Now price is stretched at the Upper Medianline Parallel (U-MLH).
As of the time of writing, I already see price pulling back into the Fork. A open and close within the Fork would indicate a potential push to the south.
Target would be the Centerline, as it is the level where natural Meanreversion is.
Observation Hat ON! §8-)
XRP: $10 Breakout? Watch These Algorithmic Windows!This XRP analysis highlights "algorithmic departure windows" (blue circles) where explosive price moves can occur.
Whenever price enters a blue circle, XRP can launch to $10 or higher instantly or within 33 days—no matter the news.
**Key Dates to Watch:
**Possible Departure: July 10, 2025 (fundamentals align)
**Other Windows: May 19 - August 11, 2025; October 22 – November 18, 2025
**Major Target Zone: $8.50–$11.50 (December 25, 2025 – January 26, 2026)
History shows that once price breaks out from these departure windows, XRP can reach its upper targets rapidly—sometimes in a single day, but almost always within 33 days or less.
News is the excuse for the moves—algorithms deliver the predetermined price.