BTCUSDT.P 
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XRPUSDT.PUpdated BTC Analysis – March 3, 2025
1️⃣ Key Developments:
✅ Previous Analysis Worked Perfectly
- The price dropped as expected, filling the previous CME gap at around 77.5K and reacting strongly from the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Order Block (OB) around 80,722 - 85,645.
- The bounce aligned with the 200 EMA, confirming it as a strong support level.
- The recovery has now led to the formation of a new CME gap between 91,600 - 85,720 over the weekend.
2️⃣ New CME Gap (91,600 - 85,720) & Current Structure
Gap Behavior:
- This new gap represents an area of inefficiency that the market may attempt to fill in the coming days.
- Historically, Bitcoin fills CME gaps with high probability, so we should expect price action to revisit this zone.
- Price Reaction:
The price spiked up towards 91,600 but faced resistance.
- It has not yet completed the full gap-fill process, meaning another potential move down to 85,720 could happen before a stronger push up.
3️⃣ Confirmation from Indicators:
- RSI: Recovering but still below the 50 level, meaning momentum is neutral-to-bearish.
- MACD: Bullish crossover is forming, showing signs of momentum shift, but it is not fully confirmed yet.
📊Volume Profile:
- High volume node at 97,800 suggests strong resistance above.
- Low liquidity area around 85,720 increases the chances of a wick down to fill the CME gap.
4️⃣ Key Scenarios Moving Forward:
- Bullish Case: If price breaks and holds above 91,600, it could target:
93,261 (previous resistance)
97,800 - $100,000 (next major liquidity zone)
- Bearish Case: (Gap Fill to the Downside)
If price rejects 91,600 and loses 85,720, it could retest:
82,500 - $80,722 (previous FVG and OB)
78,000 region as deeper liquidity grab
5️⃣ Conclusion:
- The previous analysis has worked flawlessly, and it continues to hold well. The new CME gap between 91,600 - 85,720 now becomes the primary area to watch.
- If the market fills it from above, expect support at 85,720.
- If it fills from below, a breakout above 91,600 could trigger bullish continuation.
- Watch how price reacts at 91,600 resistance and 85,720 support.
- A daily close above 91,600 strengthens the bullish case.
- A rejection and drop below 85,720 means lower prices before the next leg up.
