USOIL POTENTIAL LONG|
✅CRUDE OIL has retested a key support level of 65.00$
And as the pair is already making a bullish rebound
A move up to retest the supply level above at 66.27$ is likely
LONG🚀
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XTIUSD trade ideas
USOIL H4 bullish upward ⚠️ Disrupted Analysis – WTI Crude Oil (4H Chart)
🔻 Bearish Pressure Re-Entering
Despite a temporary candle breakout, the price failed to sustain above the breakout trendline.
The recent price action inside the orange circle shows lower highs and rejection wicks, indicating bullish weakness.
📉 Potential Breakdown Risk
If the price fails to hold above 66.00, there's a high probability of it breaking below the support area around 64.80–65.00, leading to:
Increased bearish momentum
Retesting lower demand zones, possibly around 63.50–64.00
❌ Resistance Area Still Valid
The Resistance area at 68.00–69.00 remains unchallenged.
The "Target" shown is optimistic under current momentum.
Without strong volume and bullish candles, that target remains unlikely in the near term.
🔁 Disruption Summary
The bullish breakout is likely a false breakout.
Market may be forming a bull trap.
Watch for a clean break below 65.00 for confirmation of a bearish reversal.
WTI Crude Oil Daily Chart Analysis (symmetrical triangle)WTI Crude Oil Daily Chart Analysis
**Trend & Structure:**
* The chart displays a **symmetrical triangle** formation, signaling a **potential breakout setup**.
* Price is currently trading around **\$66.78**, gradually rising from its recent consolidation.
* **Higher lows** and **lower highs** indicate a tightening range, which usually precedes a sharp move.
**Support & Resistance:**
* **Support Zone:** Around **\$65.47–\$66.15**, marked by the 50 EMA and prior price reactions.
* **Resistance Levels:**
* **\$68.95** – Short-term resistance and previous peak.
* **\$72.81** – Strong horizontal resistance.
* **\$77.75–\$80.00** – Projected upper trendline zone of triangle.
**Moving Averages (Bullish Setup):**
* EMA 7: **\$66.15**
* EMA 21: **\$66.14**
* EMA 50: **\$65.47**
* All EMAs are aligned in bullish order (7 > 21 > 50), confirming **bullish momentum**.
**Volume Insight:**
* Volume remains relatively steady; a spike in volume with breakout from the triangle would confirm trend continuation.
**Trade Setup Suggestion (based on chart):**
* **Breakout Buy Idea:** If price breaks above **\$68.95–\$70**, potential upside to **\$77–\$80**.
* **Invalidation:** A break below **\$65** would invalidate the bullish structure.
**Conclusion:**
WTI crude oil is trading within a symmetrical triangle, supported by bullish EMAs and tightening price action. A breakout above \$69 could trigger a bullish rally toward \$77–\$80. Keep an eye on volume confirmation and geopolitical headlines that can impact oil fundamentals.
BRENT CRUDE OIL FORMED A BEARISH WEDGE. ANOTHER POSSIBLE DECLINEBRENT CRUDE OIL FORMED A BEARISH WEDGE. ANOTHER POSSIBLE DECLINE?📉
USOIL has been trading bullish within the last couple of days, supported by prospects of tighter supply and an improved demand outlook. US crude inventories dropped last week, which indicates firm demand despite the rising output.
Still, technically, oil looks bearish. It has formed a bearish wedge and is currently testing the former trendline from below. The most probable scenario is that wee see the bearish impulse towards 6,500.00 with further decline. Another option is that the rise will continue towards 6,900.00 level.
US OIL SELL...Hello friends🙌
🔊As you can see, this chart works well in forming a channel, and now that
we have witnessed a price drop, the price has reached the bottom of the channel, and given the previous heavy drop, the channel shows that the power is currently in the hands of sellers and it is likely that the specified targets will move.
🔥Follow us for more signals🔥
Trade safely with us
Crude oil extends fallsThe crude oil market has entered a fragile and uncertain phase, with prices retreating from recent highs. While WTI crude is still holding above the critical $65 mark on a closing basis, it was below this handle at the time of writing. So, the overall tone remains cautious, with a bearish tilt expected to persist in the near term.
Technical Outlook: WTI Breaks Key Support
The WTI crude chart shows a breakdown of a short-term bullish trend line, and lower lows. The price failed to reclaim the 200-day moving average and found strong resistance since. Currently, it is testing support around $65.00. A daily close below this level could trigger further bearish momentum, with the next support zones seen at $64, and then the next round handles below that. $60 per barrel could be reached if the macro backdrop doesn't improve.
Geopolitical Factors: Trump’s Tariff Threats Dismissed
Donald Trump’s threats of 100% tariffs on countries buying Russian oil sparked initial concern but were ultimately shrugged off by the market. Traders interpreted the 50-day delay in enforcement and Trump’s historical pattern of backing off such threats as signs that immediate supply disruptions were unlikely.
OPEC+ Strategy: Supply Returning to the Market
OPEC+ has announced a larger-than-expected production increase of 548,000 bpd for August, with another 550,000 bpd potentially coming in September. This roll-back of earlier voluntary cuts aims to recapture market share, especially as U.S. shale production slows. However, the added supply may cap price gains, particularly as demand is expected to ease after the peak U.S. driving season.
By Fawad Razaqzada, Market Analyst with FOREX.com
USOILShort short short !!!
-65.69 TP
-64.72 TP2
As long as it's bearish and doesn't close above the red line, assume bearish. The green dotted lines also can suggest demand zones which could suggest a change in direction (bullish soldiers) will enter the battlefield. Trade with focus and follow your trading plan.
THOUGHTS???????
USOIL Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USOIL next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 66.40
Bias - Bullish
Safe Stop Loss - 65.78
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 67.32
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
WTI Oil H4 | Falling toward a multi-swing-low supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 64.84 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 61.80 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 69.36 which is a swing-high resistance.
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US OIL LONG RESULT Oil price was in a major Ascending Channel side and then created a broadening falling wedge indicating signs to the upside and I executed the short and price moved up as predicted.
Just overextended our TP without taking not of the resistance Trendline and previous supply zone 🤦
Still Closed as a Break Even trade though, but with Bett ler TP estimation could've been a good Trade.
We keep learning and improving together 💪🙏
_THE_KLASSIC_TRADER_.
$USOIL: Will we see breakout or breakdown from this wedge? I have been watching the Commodity markets recently keenly to get direction or for market indications. AMEX:GLD , Copper and TVC:USOIL are the big 3 which determines the direction of commodity markets and hence the inflation. Inflation dictates direction of TVC:US10Y , TVC:DXY and hence the Equity markets. So, what are commodity markets telling us? With AMEX:GLD and OANDA:XCUUSD at ATH what does this mean for TVC:USOIL : TVC:USOIL Is in a bearish pattern and no sign of concrete bullish reversal on the commodity. Recently it has shown some signs of strength but still below its 0.5 Fib retracement level which is at 68 and we have time and again said that 0.318 Fib level at 80 $ might prove to be an upper resistance which will be difficult to breakout.
In the recent months whenever TVC:USOIL tries to break out of the 60 RSI sellers came back and pushed the prices down. Currently with RSI at 50 we might have some room for upside. Oil bulls can have a 20% upside in the RSI taking it to 60 which has historically proved to be a resistance. And a 20% upside in price is also possible with price hitting our 0.318 resistance level of 80%. Above that there is limited upside for $USOIL. The downward slopping wedge shown below indicates a breakout might be imminent which might take TVC:USOIL to 80 $ which is our highest target in this range bound market.
In contrast the bull run in other important commodities like AMEX:GLD and COPPER might have some legs as they are showing strength by breaking above the previous ATH. It is always a good idea to buy strength and ATH.
Verdict: TVC:USOIL remains range bound with 55 $ on lower bound and 80 on the upper bound. Commodity bulls can look at AMEX:GLD and OANDA:XCUUSD for better returns.
Bullish bounce off major support?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has bounced off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 65.72
1st Support: 63.78
1st Resistance: 69.42
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Bullish bounce?USO/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci reracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 64.89
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 63.08
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Take profit: 69.97
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance.
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WTI OIL Is it forming a bottom?WTI Oil (USOIL) Has been trading within a Rising Wedge pattern and since June 02, it has turned its 1D MA50 as a Support. Technically the recent 2-week consolidation within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) is a bottom formation on the Higher Lows trend-line of the Rising Wedge.
As long as the 1D MA50 holds, we remain bullish, targeting $80.00 (Resistance 1). If the 1D MA50 breaks (closes a 1D candle below it), we will take the loss, and turn bearish instead, targeting $60.05 (Support 1).
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CRUDE OIL Bearish Flag Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL is trading in a local
Downtrend and formed a bearish
Flag pattern and now we are
Seeing a bearish breakout
So we are bearish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
Sell!
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USOIL Will Go Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 67.883.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 62.518 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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WTI Crude Oil ShortWTI Crude Oil – Technical & Macro Outlook
🔻 1. Supply Zone Rejection Expected (66.50–68.00 Range)
Price is currently approaching a newly established supply zone between $66.50 and $68.00, which coincides with a prior consolidation area that preceded the recent sharp sell-off. This confluence enhances the zone’s relevance, especially given its position just below the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level (~$69.47), derived from the swing high at $75.79 to the swing low.
📌 Outlook:
This region is expected to act as a high-probability rejection zone, likely attracting institutional sell-side interest. Price action within this zone should be monitored for signs of weakness or distribution.
📉 2. Downside Target: $61.50–$63.00 Demand Cluster
Should the supply zone hold, downside momentum could drive WTI toward the $61.50–$63.00 demand range. This area is technically significant, supported by the following factors:
Previous Change of Character (ChoCH) at $63.49, which marked the beginning of the recent bullish correction and represents a key structural pivot.
Presence of stacked demand zones below $64, increasing the likelihood of a meaningful reaction from buyers.
📌 Outlook:
This zone is expected to attract strong buying interest, making it a short-term profit-taking region for bears and a potential entry point for swing long setups, depending on confirmation.
🌍 Geopolitical Risk Landscape & Supply Dynamics
Recent geopolitical developments continue to influence crude oil pricing dynamics:
Middle East instability (e.g., Iraqi disruptions and ceasefire delays) has led to tightened supply conditions, pushing WTI above $67.
Persistent uncertainty stemming from Iranian nuclear negotiations, ongoing U.S.–China tariff risks, and regional tensions contributes to a sustained risk premium.
While OPEC+ is incrementally increasing production, this is offset by rising Saudi exports and weakening demand forecasts, which may result in inventory builds by late 2025.
Russia’s export resilience—bolstered by strategic redirection toward Asia—suggests that any anticipated supply contraction could be less severe than expected.
🛢 WTI at $62 – Technical and Macro Implications
A decline to $62 would place WTI at a major technical support level, closely watched by institutional participants. If tested, the market could react in the following ways:
Bargain hunting and value-based buying may emerge, especially if macroeconomic data aligns with a recovery narrative.
Heightened volatility is likely, driven by sensitivity to any shifts in global risk sentiment—particularly those tied to trade policy, OPEC+ production surprises, or further geopolitical escalations.
📌 Summary
Resistance: $66.50–$68.00 (pre-breakdown supply + 0.5 Fib)
Support / Target: $61.50–$63.00 (demand + structural ChoCH)
Bias: Short-term bearish toward demand, with high reactivity expected near $62
Risk Factors: Elevated geopolitical uncertainty and diverging supply dynamics across OPEC+, Russia, and the U.S.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Your Trading Plan Explained
Do not forget that today we expect Crude Oil Inventories data
release - it will be 10:30 am NY time.
Ahead of this news, the market is testing a significant daily support cluster
that is based on a rising trend line and a horizontal structure.
You signal to buy will be a bullish breakout of a minor intraday
horizontal resistance on a 4H.
4H candle close above 66,5 will be your confirmation.
A bullish continuation will be expected to 67.6 then.
I suggest waiting for the news release first and then check how
the market prices in the news. If our technicals align with fundamentals,
it will provide an accurate setup.
Alternatively, a bearish violation of a blue support will push the prices lower.
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CRUDE OIL BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅CRUDE OIL broke the rising
Support line which is now a resistance
And the price made a retest an a pullback
So we we are bearish biased and we
Will be expecting a further
Bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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