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SOUTH AFRICAN RAND / U.S. DOLLAR

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ZARUSD trade ideas

usdzar buy tradeThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing an upward trend, indicating increasing momentum. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing a bullish crossover, further supporting the potential for an upward move.The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing an upward trend, indicating increasing momentum. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing a bullish crossover, further supporting the potential for an upward move.
Long
by Mansa_Musa_Capital
The Rand's journey to R29 against the US Dollar. A Recall from our 31st December 2023 article when we anticipated a fall of the USD to R17.40: "In April 2022, major institutions sold the Rand off when it was trading around R14.40 ~ R14.80 against the US Dollar. Price proceeded to print a steep rising channel, capping off close to R19.92 with a shooting star and a beautiful bearish engulfing candle that closed the first week of June 2023 below R18.70. Indication that Rand sellers that were sitting around the R19.30 level in April 2020 were still awake." Looking at price action after June 2023, we saw a change of character in price by way of printing a lower-low and lower-high. Price proceeded to print another lower-low around R17.03 in September 2024.Reading the 2 weekly candles of that low in the last 2 weeks of September 2024, we can see: 1. A double bottom 2. Bullish engulfing pattern 3. Dragonfly Doji when combining the 2 candles. This was a signal that buyers are in still much active in the game. Price proceeded higher since then, reaching highs of R19.22 in Jan 2025, testing and cleanly breaking the June 2024 weekly supply zone at R18.84. Currently price seems to be in a correction from that break. We anticipate a retest of a zone between R17.82 and R18.30. If price finds & confirms support in this area, we can see the exchange rate moving above R19.92 to make new highs. Weekly RSI is cleanly in bullish territory and above the smoothing average. Should this zone fail to produce buyers that take the exchange rate above R19.23, the rate could tumble to R16.20 and further down to R15.90.Taking into account where Gold Spot is sitting in comparison to the DXY, there are more probabilities of Gold prices catching a reversal and somewhat dragging the Rand's strength with, than there are possibilities of the DXY falling; however that is up to the market to decide. We cannot predict, we can only prepare. Targets to the upside: (probable) R20.25 R21.96 R30.28 R54.40 (far future) Targets to the downside: (possible) R17.20 R16.20 R15.90 Current sentiments: Bearish on the South African Rand unless the R17.82 - R18.30 zone fails as support and turns into resistance.
Long
by Source_Sailor
Bullish bounce?USD/ZAR is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 18.42844 1st Support: 18.21710 1st Resistance: 18.65470 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
USD/ZAR Buy Setup Overview: The USD/ZAR pair is trading near a strong support zone around 18.50, a level that has consistently held over the past months. Price action suggests a potential bounce from this area. Key Points: Support Strength: The highlighted support zone has historically served as a launch point for reversals. Bullish Opportunity: The recent rejection of this level indicates buying pressure, increasing the likelihood of upward movement. Target Levels: 🎯 TP1: 18.79 – Immediate resistance. 🎯 TP2: 18.98 – Previous swing high. 🎯 TP3: 19.22 – Key resistance level. Stop Loss: Below 18.26, safeguarding against invalidation of the setup. Trade wisely and stick to your plan!
Long
by Charts_M7M
Potential bearish drop?USD/ZAR is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support. Pivot: 18.7436 1st Support: 18.4603 1st Resistance: 18.8586 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
USDZAR Bearish Setup: Break and RetestThe USDZAR pair has broken below the channel, signaling a shift in market sentiment toward bearish momentum. The price is currently retesting the trendline, which now serves as a potential resistance area. If the price confirms rejection at the retest of the trendline, I anticipate a bearish move targeting the 18.66384 level, which represents a logical target for this setup. This setup highlights the potential for a trendline break-and-retest continuation to the downside. Traders should look for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or rejection wicks, before considering short positions.
Short
by DanieIM
1
USDZAR - Potential Short from Key Resistance ZoneThe USDZAR pair is currently trading near a significant resistance zone around the 19.10300 level. Historically, this area has acted as a key turning point, where sellers have stepped in to push prices lower. The recent approach toward this resistance suggests a potential bearish scenario if price action confirms a rejection. A clear rejection pattern, such as bearish engulfing candles, long upper wicks, or other signs of selling pressure, could indicate the start of a downward move. If this scenario unfolds, the price may head toward the 18.62617 target level, aligning with a potential corrective phase in the market. This setup reflects the broader expectation of a pullback within the existing market structure. Traders should closely monitor price action at the resistance zone for confirmation signals before entering positions. Feel free to share your thoughts or any additional insights!
Short
by TrendDiva
USD ZAR TRADE IDEA The USD/ZAR chart displays a clear upward trend since 2019, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. An ascending channel pattern has formed, with the price currently trading within its boundaries. Key resistance levels are observed at 19.8128, 19.6694, and 19.34313, forming potential supply zones where selling pressure has previously been observed. Key support levels are seen at 18.54398, 18.21901, and 17.74159, forming potential demand zones where buying support has previously been observed. Given the prevailing uptrend and the ascending channel, a long trade could be considered. A long entry could be triggered upon a break above the upper trendline of the channel or a retest of a demand zone. A stop-loss order could be placed below a recent swing low or the 18.00000 level. The profit target could be set at the 19.8128 resistance level or the upper boundary of a supply zone. It is crucial to conduct thorough research, consult with a financial advisor, and implement proper risk management strategies before entering any trade.
Long
by karabompesi
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USD/ZAR has reacted off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 78.6% Fibonacci support. Pivot: 18.8560 1st Support: 18.5925 1st Resistance: 19.0351 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
USDZAR-SELL strategy weekly chartIf we look at the decline in GOLD PRICE from the high to the recovery mode, i.e. $ 2,785 high to now current $ 2,680.. this is only a decline of 3.5%. the USDZAR is highly correlated with GOLD and the low 17.0300 area to the current price is an increase of around 12.5%. This obviosuly show misalignment, and adding a high USDX we should see the USDZAR back to around 18.50 atleast to correct the over statement. Strategy SELL @ 19.0500-19.2500 (its medium term) and take profit near 18.5000.
Short
by peterbokma
USDZAR 1Q2025 outlookThe rand has been on the ropes since mid-December after it failed to pull the pair below the 50-day MA support. Since then the broad-based dollar strength has seen the rand give away all its post-election gains. Fundamentally there I only see two factors which are supportive for the rand as we head into 2025. The first is a strong SA trade surplus of R34.7 billion for November 2024 and the second is the SARB’s continued hawkish stance. The dollar has punished both developed and developing market currencies whose central banks opted to front run the Fed with their respective rate cuts last year and the SARB’s hawkish stance has limited the rand’s losses in 2024. Apart from these two factors, the overall risk-off sentiment stemming from the volatility in the US and other bond markets coupled with the fleeting post-election SA election optimism does not bode well for the rand. Technically, we have completed a five wave impulse for the pair which pushed the pair to a high of just shy of the psychological handle of 19.00. I believe we should see an ABC corrective pattern play out and a re-test of the levels around 18.40 and 18.50. A failed break below this support range will be the first sign for the predicted move higher towards the 2024 high of 19.35. A break below the 50-day MA will however invalidate the idea and allow the rand to re-test levels below the 18.00 handle. The 50- and 200-day MAs are currently sitting at 18.15 and we are seeing the infamous “golden cross” taking shape which is rand negative. Over the very short-term, the bearish divergence on the RSI could allow the rand to strengthen with today’s US non-farm payroll volatility. The USDZAR and the DXY both look overstretched and this week’s attempted move higher for the USDZAR does have the characteristics of a bull trap.
Long
by Goose96