ZILUSD trade ideas
Ziliqa In Wyckoff Re-Accumulation Phase DWyckoff Method is useful for understanding the big picture of market cycles.
The simple version has been popularised in the crypto community showing the downwards trend market leading to despair and capitulation... then rising to the highs of a blow-off market cycle top.
Some analysts believe the next cycle high will occur end of 2021.
As market conditions change, our trading style should change to accommodate.
But what most crypto analysts miss are the smaller Wyckoff accumulation/distribution phases that are constantly happening across all markets.
In this ZILUSD chart we can see a general outline for the 5 phases of Wyckoff analysis. Ultimately the pattern is only fully confirmed at its conclusion, just when a new upswing begins (Phase E), and we attempt to identify where phases C and D begin and end as the price movement progresses.
The goal is to not get mixed up with manual trades during phases B, C or D as that's where a lot of traders seems to erode their account by selling bottoms and re-buying highs. The best risk/reward opportunity is in phase E before the next mark-up phase.
So far with ZILUSD it appears we have now concluded a phase C with the secondary test, and began phase D which should show a step-by-step price increase to retest resistance.
We'll cover more on Wyckoff Method as part of our educational series on technical analysis with a special focus on strategies useful for Algo-assissted trading.
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Note: This is general insight into trading psychology. It is not financial advice. We provide analysis and tools to help traders make their own trading decisions.
What's Up With Ziliqa?If you're HODLing bags of ZIlUSD then patience will get you through the night.
Ziliqa is on a consolidation phase that may last a while longer while other coins are rising higher.
Zooming out on the 3-day chart reveals the trading range for major consolidation
Despite breaking out of the current trendline, the 6-hour chart shows momentum is still pushing down. We'd want to see an 8% gain to get back above water in the near-term.
Ziliqa Consolidating NicelyZILUSD is struggling with the 4-hour time-frame at the moment but from a 2-day and 3-day perspective things are looking very good indeed.
Price seems to have found good support around the 16 cent level to consolidate this months upwards price movement.
Our 40% target was delayed, but back in play.
Ziliqa at risk of 40% drop reveals new weekly candleThe weekly candle close was brutal.
After an indecision candle 2 weeks ago which pierced resistance and then closed below...
...then last weeks candle a steep red...
...and MACD trending down...
...given the meteoric rise we've seen in ZILUSD the past few months...
...it makes sense that Ziliqa may have to drop all the way down to find support, perhaps at the 0.011 level. A 40% drop from current price.
This is more likely to happen if BTCUSD does not somehow manage to quickly break it's consolidation range to move upwards, which as usual would probably bring the rest of the market up with it, including Zil.
Bottom line, traders are likely to be taking profit and looking for a cheaper entry position on Zil.
ZIL Just Getting started? Wave 2 retrace, BullishLooks like a completed first wave impulse. Look for a short term retest of resistance ($0.022 - $0.023) before moving down to test the support level at $0.012 - $0.013.
Log chart Support and Resistance Supply zones:
Elliott wave count and key Fib levels:
Never Trust. Verify.
DYOR. Not Financial Advice Just an Observation.
Always remember: Technical Analysis is not about being right, it's about increasing your odds.
Be prepared to be wrong. Risk management is key. Capital preservation above all else.
ZIL/USD- Surely time to head North this week?Condolences to those that have ridden ZIL from the top on this 16 day retrace.
But.... Thoughts are that a turn around is in the cards within the next week or so.
Buyers seem more cautious over the last fortnight and the continued retrace has echoed through a lot of our favored ALT's.
I think we'll find some resistance on the way back up but entry on the break or support levels now seems more appealing due to the lengthy retrace.
There's certainly room for a further dip before a change in the trend but indicators look appealing for a reversal this week.
I'd be keeping on eye on this project over the coming days.
As always, not financial advice, just my thoughts and TA.
Thoughts and feedback welcomed.
Bingaz
ZIL Retracement Price Action Post Parabolic AdvanceZIL has had a brilliant couple of months, thus creating a very nice price trajectory in a parabolic advance trend, that now needs to be worked out next.
Seems like the $0.0215 level is lost for good, so I will for the time being discount any possibility to revisit it. BUT if this level is broken and closed above, straight up continuation is more likely.
$0.0173 Level has given the expected reaction already, so if this level is to be re-tested it is more likely than not to be broken, and so would create reason to test either $0.0160, or $0.0141 or both. There is likely to be a good reaction of this level and even a possibility of resumption of the uptrend, but IF broken and closed below, traders watching this pair should look down below.
The levels this chart has below the strong median support at ~$0.0150 are around the $0.0121 mark, down to $0.0083. Any of these levels could realistically be revisited and offer a great opportunity to enter, although the latter level is LESS likely.
Since the weekly did not manage to close a candle above $0.025, I'm afraid a deeper pullback is in play and therefore have my eyes nearer the lower values. As always, however, watching local levels play out will eventually show us where support is gained and a change of trend will happen. Till then NO BIAS and just watching the price action.
Remember that anything can happen, and trading is just a game of probabilities.
So do plan accordingly, and trade safe.