


4xForecaster
PremiumFriends, $GBPCAD has been kind to us in terms of letting the Predictive/Forecasting Model remain tethered to the actual price action - See the following frames illustrating the prior successful forecast: $GBPCAD-4Hour Chart: 6 months ago SOURCE: "$GBP v $CAD - Wolfe Wave Completes; Model Eyes 2.08057 " bit.ly/1OvHueq Today, we are returning to this...
Friends, A prop geometry is completing at the 12.65 handle, whereas the Predictive/Forecasting Model eyes a probable low at 12.43 - Look for a reversal to the UP-side if and once price reverses with bullish initial quantitative target at 17.21 and secondary target at 17.68. Best, David Alcindor, CMT Affiliate Alias: 4xForecaster in Twitter/Linked-In
SYNOPSIS: MARGET GEOMETRIES: - GEO: This represents a high-probability event, whereby two Geos have a shared 5-second point defined. As per the Geo's Off-Set Rule list, this third condition calls for a limited rally to the price level corresponding to Point-3. - JANUS (Proprietary Pattern): A prop pattern is lending support to a probable near-term support...
SYNOPSIS: GEO: We return to this pair chart anew, looking at a geometric cycle completion of 2 Geo's: In essence, a rally to the 1-4 Line of the Geo is called for, based on the concomitant completion of a Geo (Black) within a Geo (Blue). CONDITIONS: 1 - AGGRESSIVE: Look for a slight retracement to the 78.619/78.139 range -- INVALIDATION: BACA <...
Friends, Looking at the low-high structures of DXY overtime, one has to wander whether the recent higher-low carved out on 04 APR 2011 represents a base for another cyclical impulsive leg to a new high. As you may recall, last month, I offered a case in favor of a rally in the greenback (see DXY and technical commentaries here: ). With the benefit of time, one...
Friends, I light of the recent market decline, I thought to put $AAPL under varying strengths of technical lenses, looking for potential support levels. PREDICTIVE/FORECASTING MODEL: First of all, standing on its own, the "Model" defined the following bearish targets: 1 - TG-1 = 100.28 - 22 AUG 2015 2 - TG-Lo = 91.86 - 22 AUG 2015 3 - TG-Lox = 86.40...
Quick Analysis: STRUCTURAL HURDLES: Two levels to watch for, each likely to determine the onset of a bullish or bearish price action, respectively ... Namely: 1 - One proximal yet technically at 2134.71, based on probable bearish entrenchment and 2 - A second at 1821.61, based on price behavior along this line. ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS:: WAVE COUNT: Wave...
SYNOPSIS: PRICE ANALYSIS: 1 - Dominant trend remains bearish in DAILY chart - See larger scale analysis here: bit.ly 2 - This 4-HOUR chart highlights circumstantial technical evidence of an interim rally: -- First bullish failure sets price into a descending series of 0.386-Fibonacci retracements -- Last retracement represents a higher-order of Fibonacci...
SYNOPSIS: A long silence here on $BTC #BitStamp, as the Geo completes an imperfect 5-prime (see parallel lines validation at 5') - Per Geo's Off-Set Rule #2, this 5-prime definition called for a rally with a HIGH probability target corresponding to the price level of Point-4. Turns out, this is exactly what price did, as it rallied from 5' but failed to continue...
Friends, Oil has been in a downfall over the past several weeks, based on a variety of fundamental opinions, be it geo-strategically, cyclically or economically driven. GEOMETRY: Technically speaking, since mid-July 2014, price resolved itself out of a geometry following a protracted sideways defined by the A-B-C-D-E points. From July 14th to August 04th,...
TECHNICAL SYNOPSIS: 1 - Predictive/Forecasting Model defines 20780 as critical high/High-prob. reversal level 2 - Technical analysis would define 20961 as probable resistance level based on June 1997 and April 2000 structural level and last month's failure to break above same level. 3 - Current bar carves out a lower-low relative to last month's bar Net Bias =...
SYNOPSIS : PREDICTIVE/FORECASTING MODEL: - Bullish - Top-most target = 307.50 MARKET GEOMETRY: - Internal reciprocal ab = cd symmetry - Geometry aligns with Model's 307.50 GEO: - Probable price attainment = 1-3 Line - Invalidation occurs < 165.57 OVERALL: - Bullish outlook - Invalidation if and once price BACA < 165.57 Best, David...
QUICK ANALYSIS: As per recent analyses in $USD major and minor crosses, the unanimous technical voice speaks of a decline in the US Dollar. It would take invalidation events in all of these charts (see today's analyses in $NZDUSD, $USDCAD, $USDCHF $USDMXN, $USDNOK, $USDZAR, as well as $XAUUSD and #USDollar charts where a variety of technical points are tending...
SYNOPSIS: PREDICTIVE/FORECASTING MODEL: Predictive/Forecasting Model remains intent on the following bearish targets, as defined this past October, 2015: 1 - TG-Lo = 0.68691 - 27 OCT 2015 AND 2 - TG-Lox = 0.68037 - 27 OCT 2015 MARKET GEOMETRY: On a geometric basis, a Wolfe Wave (www.WolfeWave.com) completes, with its 1-4 Line pending within the...
SYNOPSIS: GEO ANALYSIS: Geo demands a set of internal geometric rules that have been met so far: 1 - The 1-2 Line forms a simple reciprocal ab = cd symmetry, or a simple Elliott Wave zig-zag (ZZ): Here, the 04-1995 to 08-1998 span offers a) An internal ab = cd correction and b) a near-perfect symmetry of this geometric reciprocity. 2 - The 2-3 Line is the...
SYNOPSIS: Predictive/Forecasting Model sees reversal at 97.11 Geo's Off-Set Rule #3 sees support at 46.85 Interim Bullish support expected at 66.60 Best, David Alcindor Predictive Analysis & Forecasting Durango, CO - USA Twitter: @4xForecaster Linked-In: David Alcindor TradingView: www.tradingview.com .
Friends, A Wolfe Wave completed its fifth and last plot at Point-5. This offers a high-probability reversal with this geometry's 1-4 Line a probable level of attainment (along grey dotted line). Alternatively, a high-probability target is offered through the Geo's use of its internal "Geo-Anchoring" (green star points to the best-fit anchor point along the...
SYNOPSIS: Probable interim limited decline (i.e.: higher-low) at or along 2-4 Line (Point-4 remains unconfirmed). Longer term sees completion of geometry at Point-5. Consider Wolfe Wave if price reverses from Point-5 to 1-4 Line - If adverse excursion occurs along the 3-5-prime (5') Line, apply Geo's Off-Set Rule #3. Chart updates and technical notes...