This is part 2 of "The Last Man Standing" series. The above chart is not of the S&P 500, it is of QQQ. QQQ completed a bearish harmonic pattern and has begun its decline. SPY (Part 1) has completed a bearish harmonic bat pattern and has not yet declined. Here are "Don's EIGHT GREAT Technicals": 1. The Ichimoku Cloud is FALLING relative to structure to the left. 2....
Yesterday I published three bullish harmonic patterns for SH, DOG, and PSQ. These are the SHORT shares for the DOW-30, S&P 500, and QQQ. The S&P 500 is still "The Last Man Standing", but I don't think for very much longer. The SH, DOG, and PSQ harmonic patterns are bullish (please review yesterdays charts that I submitted). This means the markets should...
This is part 3 of three views. The PSQ are the short shares you buy if you think the QQQ is going to decline. IF YOU READ PARTS ONE AND TWO YOU WILL BE FAMILIAR WITH THE FOLLOWING ANALYSIS. I BELIEVE THE STOCK MARKET IS SETTING UP FOR A SEVERE DECLINE. I wanted to look at the S&P 500 , DOW-30, and QQQ to study Fibonacci time cycles and also to see if there were...
This is part 2 of three views. The DOG are the short shares you buy if you think the DOW-30 is going to decline. I wanted to look at the S&P 500, DOW-30, and QQQ to study Fibonacci time cycles and also to see of there were any bullish signals. I found versions of bullish butterfly cyber patterns on all three, only, if DOG is bullish , the market would be in a...
This is part 1 of three views. The SH are the short shares you buy if you think the S&P 500 is going to decline. I wanted to look at the S&P 500, DOW-30, and QQQ to study Fibonacci time cycles and also to see of there were any bullish signals. I found versions of bullish butterfly cyber patterns on all three, only, if SH is bullish, the market would be in a...
This is a follow-up chart. Eleven days ago I published 5 charts for ISIL. I was negative. I still am. I did buy in-the-money puts that expire in July, but the decline was so sharp I have already sold. I made 15% in a little over a week. On the chart above I placed 9 bold red arrows for you to review. I would like to explain what they are: Arrow 1: a...
I really enjoy reading the contributions from all of you. One fine contributor is Piet.Hein. I read his recent work about a double bottom in CHFJPY. I was curious if there were Fibonacci time cycles for this trade. The above chart is what I found. With a Fibonacci start date of just before April, 2015, there has been a correlation to Fibonacci time cycles and...
This is part two of the OLN chart presented two days ago. As a disclosure I am long OLN. CIRCLE THE WAGONS and use Fibonacci cycles in conjunction with your indicators. Let's review Don's TRADE-MAP approach: TRADE = 1. T : Time and space (Fractals); 2. R : Repeating Cycles; 3. A : Advancing Trend; 4. D : Declining Trend; 5. E : Energy in Phase Forces. .....MAP =...
This is a follow-up for AAPL that I presented 4 days ago. AAPL has lost $38 billion in market capitalization since then. It does take effort to use Fibonacci time cycles (Y axis vertical lines as well as Y axis Fibonacci circles), but it gives you an edge. The time projections warn you of likely events on (or near) these dates. May all of your trades go well. Don.
I believe IWM is setting up for the completion of a long top which is rolling over. I believe IWM will fall to about $95 before moving on to higher highs. For those of you who chart XLF, please be aware that XLF and IWM move in tandem. If you are charting one then you are charting both. Both are lagging, both have had technical bounces, and both need to...
There was a sharp down-trend in OLN from December 7th, 2015 to the market bottom in mid February 2016. Look to the far right on the chart, around $18.00 (follow the large red arrows). You will note a yellowish line on top (lips), with black dots below (teeth), and a blue line (jaw) below the black dots. Now, all three are rising, correct? This is where I ask you...
The chart of ARQL is showing signs of strength after a long decline. Fibonacci 2 (long blue vertical line, mid-July, 2015) indicated a base. Fibonacci 3 (long blue vertical line, September, 2015) indicated an upside breakout. This action was confirmed by the three indicators on top. The phase energy during this time period (Sep 1-Dec 7, 2015) remained very strong,...
Don's "TRADE-MAP" approach. BIB: TRADE = 1. T : Time and space (Fractals); 2. R : Repeating Cycles; 3. A : Advancing Trend; 4. D : Declining Trend; 5. E : Energy in Phase Forces. .....MAP = 6. M : Momentum and Velocity; 7. A : Analysis of Structure; 8. P : Price Performance. When I mention "Don's Top Ten Technicals", I use the elements of the "TRADE-MAP"...
This is a two part thesis about BIB, the Biotechnology shares. The above chart shows you how much these shares have declined since mid-July 2015. If you take the time to construct vertical Fibonacci time cycles and Fibonacci Circles, which I will call Don's CTW (Circle The Wagons), there is a wealth of information that you can use with your other trade...
The basic premise of Charkes-DOW is the industrials must be confirmed by the transports. The chart above shows the wide divergence of the industrials and the transports. Yes, there has been near term strength in IYT, but the transports are still lagging badly. Since November of 2015 (green and pink regression trend, lower right) ITY has sagged lower overall. The...
This chart is for a nice comment I received from one of you. The reader is thinking of AAPL puts. On a side note, it was announced yesterday that AAPL was/ is the worst performing DOW30 stock over the past one year (down 16%). Always use caution and be smart, LIKE THE FOX. The above chart is from Don's toolbox. Yes, I am bearish on AAPL. I have published a TLW...
This is a follow-up to using your X as well as your Y. Eleven days ago I wrote this: "The next Fibonacci time cycle is due on April 18, 2016. Does this mean MO will keep hitting new highs until this date? Will Fibonacci 1.272 ($65.06) be hit on this date? Who knows? But, I now have a clue as to WHEN something is likely to happen. It forces me to anticipate...
Here are the letters and what "TRADE-MAP" means to me (first the letters in TRADE): 1. T : Time and space (Fractals); 2. R : Repeating Cycles; 3. A : Advancing Trend; 4. D : Declining Trend; 5. E : Energy in Phase Forces. Now the letters in MAP: 6. M : Momentum and Velocity; 7. A : Analysis of Structure; 8. P : Price Performance. Don's personal "TRADE-MAP"...