Auguraltrader

Auguraltrader

In line with the earlier posts about SG10Y and Combined US indices, the VXX is showing similar spiking potential. Observable with bullish divergence of MACD and VolDiv and a bottoming out of the VXX with a strong bounce off support

Auguraltrader

Here is how I see it... 1. MACD Bearish divergence on both MACD and VolDiv and being extended further, increases probability of a retracement happening; 2. Sequential counts completed... retrace ent could begin within the next 5 candles; 3. Candlestick pattern shows a toppish doji; 4. SG10Y heads up for volatility and retracement incoming, So there... heads...

Auguraltrader

Track record of tracking the SG10Y yields in giving heads up to the S&P500 or US market direction has been quite uncanny... This time, the technical outlook for the SG10Y is suggesting a breakout, and in doing so, should see market volatility to the downside. MACD is suggesting a potential breakout, as is a recent close to the high and breaking the Fibonacci...

Auguraltrader

Heads up that there is a significant development in the market structure, as observed by the last two weeks of activity. Previous week, the weekly candle broke down two support lines, and closed well below. In addition, there was support from the TD Sequential counts for a downward momentum. This was also corroborated by the MACD and the VolDiv. However,...

Auguraltrader Updated 

Over the last couple of days, the previous posts have been showing a number of indications from various perspectives about a financial market breakdown, and here we have an essential heads up... VOLATILTIY. I use the VXX ETN for the metrics it provides, albeit its idiosyncrasies. August into September, a breakdown into a lower range indicated that a RISK-ON...

Auguraltrader Updated 

EWS really going to do it this time it seems... close below the support line. This is premature on the weekly chart, but heads up, two things to happen... First, a close below the support means a breakdown underway, especially if it is accompanied with a lower low. Second, there needs to be a late week rebound strong enough to get it back above support line. Then...

Auguraltrader

The last week proved to be the straw that broke an important support level, to close the week at a recent low. This is very significant as it is the first indication of downward momentum, having bounced off the same support three prior weeks. MACD appears to be deteriorating again in the past week, and the VolDiv is definitely not improving. What this is...

Auguraltrader

IF you had been following the series of The Gold Odyssey, you would know how well the probabilities are in the analyses. To the point, Gold is ready to break its almost three year consolidation (huge) range. 1. You can see the powerful reversal off the mid-range support; 2. The candles show and project good momentum to follow through; 3. A trend line breakout...

Auguraltrader

Heads up... all supports and resistances are being broken. Very quick take... equities going down! other markets will follow suit accordingly.

Auguraltrader

Back to this set of chart overlay... So, it is where it isand the SG10Y Govt Bond yields are again rocketing. This is yet again to push the SPY further down. Combine this with the double top seen recently; probabilities stack up for more downside into November.

Auguraltrader Updated 

Previously mentioned that the supports are being broken. It gave way after an expected bounce. The dip that followed came with confirmation technical signals as well as a lower low… suggesting that there is downward momentum still. Saving grace lies with a pullback rally to end the previous week just above the support line. However, this appears to be futile, with...

Auguraltrader Updated 

Just noted that the combined equity index chart showed an interesting bullish setup. The downtrend has been a little stronger than (probably) warranted, and now a sign is showing a probably bounce off a support level. Support broke and the next day rebounded to recover. This formed the bullish Piercing Line Pattern and it reclaimed the support that was broken...

Auguraltrader Updated 

Previously, I said this would be a slow bleed to death… it is bleeding critically now. 32 support was eventually broken and every shred of bullishness GONE. Technicals are clearly bearish, and it’s NOT OVER. Expecting a bounce about 25 in the coming weeks (within Oct). Last stop to consolidate else it can pretty much halve from there, worst case. This was...

Auguraltrader

Quick update for a good friend… DQ as said previously had a downside target of 32. It’s slowly getting there, and surely too. But at this point, which the technicals are showing some beginning of a bullish divergence, I’d dare say that there is one more spike down below the orange line before it ends. Still possible for 32… And then if and when that happens,...

Auguraltrader

As previously posted, BEAR. The thing is, since the last post, the EWS (and other indices) made a sucker rally that pulled in the bulls. And a few weeks later, they burned. This time, the burn is shown by a failed breakout that is followed through the other side. Technical indicators are now in full support as cross downs are registered. Critical supports are...

Auguraltrader

This is the VXX (VIX ETN) and can be used as an indicative heads up to the equity market volatility. We are now at a rather unique point where the rubber band has been stretched so far, and at a point where you can just feel the tremor of it about to snap… The daily chart of the VXX has been falling over the months, and in recent weeks, there is a long term MACD...

Auguraltrader

Bear in mind that the most obvious is the clearest (pun not intended). The combined weekly charts stalled and reversed to breakdown hard and fast. Technical point to more downside, after a relief bounce due soon. This September already starts to look really bad for the equity markets. The daily support will be tested, and expected to eventually break. Then the...

Auguraltrader

Seldom you get to see my SPY chart, and the hand is shown here. A more detailed hand as the situation warrants a good understanding and effort to read too. Summary line is that there is a retracement in play, already if you had not noticed yet. Furthermore, this retracement should last to November. Good thing is that it is still possible to be shallow, although I...