Binary_Forecasting_Service

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

SUMMARY - I wrote in #009-3 that there's 1 more shift higher possible that was 1 in 6 at that point in time. At this second, this path (#009-5) is gaining on #009-3 even before the next move up to 1930s by 11/22. This creates a couple of problems that require us to scrap the old plans from #009-3 and before (so stop waiting to get long). I wrote in #009-4 that...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

SUMMARY - After talking to bond guys and more experienced traders concerning expectations for yields, I have to be responsible and post this now. My regression math has a virtual lock on 2070-2140 by 12/31-01/03. The problem now is that I completely expect 1915 to get hit next and the traders who I have complete respect for expect 1930s to 1950s. This is not...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

SUMMARY - So #008-4 path (slower and lower breakout) was eliminated at end of day on Nov 10th. With that solved, makes this path (same as #008-5 and #009-2, just refined and detailed) is now 75%+ favorite vs all other paths combined (bull/bear/otherwise). This path is the gray high light above with the boxes. There is a 17% chance of a higher drift, marked by...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

PLEASE LIKE FOR SUPPORT! - First replay #006-13 after the notes below. Then come back and read this in a minute. With the caveat that next 9 hours closes under August 2008 down trend line (roughly 1830), this is the absolute favorite path remaining by a wide margin WITH NO MORE MAJOR CHANGES. Right now, #009-2 is over 75% vs all other routes combined,...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

SUMMARY - This is in case #008-4 high bound fails to hold and 1885 gets hit prior to 11/16. DETAILS? - If you are new to this, read #008-1 to #008-4, links are below. So same basic pattern as #008-3 and #008-4, but roughly 80-90 pts higher all the way to 01/03/22. This is back up plan for #008-4 in case we do break-out after CPI. In this scenario, chill out...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

PLEASE LIKE FOR SUPPORT! - Odds are 88% this idea makes serious bank in December, brought to you by 6 years of legit research. SUMMARY - We are breaking out soon. Right now it looks like 2030 by last day of 2021. The only question is short term path between now and 12/03. DETAILS? - You need to read #008-1, -2, and -3 for background. Links are below. The...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

PLEASE LIKE FOR SUPPORT - This post and trade idea have been brought to you by 6 years of legit work. Enjoy! SUMMARY - If you've been reading me at all, I said last Friday that bullish outcome was better than 5:1 AND that #008 was 40% vs #007 at 30%. Right now, I can say that bull outcome is better than 8:1 (possibly closer to 9:1) AND #008 is standalone at...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

SUMMARY - Consider this as context for #008-3. Meanwhile, #008-1 link is below. DETAILS? - This chart, and the charts below I will add w/in the hour, are important context for #008-3 I will post soon.

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

SUMMARY - Friday's 33 pt spike off the low changed everything. Right now bull scenarios are better than 5-1. Because of the close of the weekly bar above 1815, this scenario has to be the favorite over #007-6. DETAILS? - I foresaw this possibility, but didnt think it would happen bc it was a big underdog vs. #007-6 during the drop between Wednesday's ADP and...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

PLEASE CLICK LIKE FOR SUPPORT!! SUMMARY - First, replay #006-11: Because of the high detail, you have to HIT REPLAY 3 TIMES to see it all. #006-11 was hands down the most accurate detailed work I've presented prior to this post you are reading (#007-6), AND WAS ACCURATE FOR 30 DAYS where there were no more boxes. However, I believe that #007-6, which is 45...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

SUMMARY - Like for support! This is continuation for #007 series. Links for #007-1, 2, 3, and 4 are below. For the purposes of forecasting, this most-updated chart is all you need because it includes all information from the previous 4. Infinite Regression is expecting more zig zags to a lower high under 1815 by FOMC on 11/03. This cat will get rug pulled to...

Binary_Forecasting_Service

SUMMARY - This adds two more boxes to #007-3, which is now over 55%. See #007-3 here: DETAILS? - This move is a bit weaker than I imagined months ago. So targets are: 1825 by 12/15 and 1920 by 12/31. 2075 by 5/31/22 at the latest, but long term momentum say it should get there by 3/31/22.

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

SUMMARY - This is part 3 to #007. We should hit 1815 before going to 1700. This part I'm confident about, which ever way December will play. DETAILS? - This needs to happen before possible December explosion if there is going to be one. I can't say that this is the "big favorite". I CAN say that my technical work has improved another step once again. And...

Binary_Forecasting_Service

SUMMARY - This is not a standalone idea. This is just long term supporting detail for #007-1. Let's nail the rest of 2021 first and we will figure out the rest after the New Year.

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

SUMMARY - Getting closer to to bull thesis outcome, but not quite yet. If bull thesis is true for this December, it will look like this. DETAILS - All the lines are price regressions. Blue vertical bars are FOMC, gray are ADP, black are NFP, red are CPI, and of course, yellow are new moon dates for November and December. Current odds strongly favor one more...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

SUMMARY - It's decision time again for Wednesday FOMC (9/22). Long term regressions favor black outcome. Intermediate and short term favor red outcome. The new low that occurred Sunday night to Monday morning is bending the short curves down really hard. This is what the binary outcomes look like. DETAILS? - Both S&P 500 and oil look really weak. This is...

Binary_Forecasting_Service

SUMMARY - In #003 posted yesterday, I said that gold has to hold the red box. It has just hit the red box level this morning so I wanted to point this out. So now this path (still the same path as#003 with 2 more conditions). First is that there are two orange boxes now instead of one. Second is that THEY BOTH HAVE TO HIT in order to avoid 14xx-15xx outcome. ...

Binary_Forecasting_Service Updated 

SUMMARY - This is most updated regression outlook. The odds on favorite is explosive move up starting 12/03 breaking 2000 last 2 weeks of the year and tagging 2060+ from Christmas to January 3rd. But the red box HAS TO HOLD. If it doesn't, it's going get nasty quickly. DETAILS? - See the highlighted route? If price leads the highlighted path DOWN (meaning...