Binary_Forecasting_Service
PremiumSUMMARY - It's decision time again for Wednesday FOMC (9/22). Long term regressions favor black outcome. Intermediate and short term favor red outcome. The new low that occurred Sunday night to Monday morning is bending the short curves down really hard. This is what the binary outcomes look like. DETAILS? - Both S&P 500 and oil look really weak. This is...
SUMMARY - In #003 posted yesterday, I said that gold has to hold the red box. It has just hit the red box level this morning so I wanted to point this out. So now this path (still the same path as#003 with 2 more conditions). First is that there are two orange boxes now instead of one. Second is that THEY BOTH HAVE TO HIT in order to avoid 14xx-15xx outcome. ...
SUMMARY - This is most updated regression outlook. The odds on favorite is explosive move up starting 12/03 breaking 2000 last 2 weeks of the year and tagging 2060+ from Christmas to January 3rd. But the red box HAS TO HOLD. If it doesn't, it's going get nasty quickly. DETAILS? - See the highlighted route? If price leads the highlighted path DOWN (meaning...
SUMMARY - This is continuation/update to #001. Link to #001 is below. DETAILS - Update price regressions say this right now. First, 9/14 is CPI, 9/22 is FOMC, 10/06 is ADP, 10/08 is NFP. Current regressions say top #1 is AFTER 9/14 and top #2 is BEFORE 10/08 before drawdown. #3 is short term bounce before washout that should end around/after Thanksgiving. ...
1) I"m back but this is what I can post. I can not answer questions due to contractual obligations. 2) Right now it looks like gold follow the three black boxes, UNLESS it tags gray box early. IF it does, then I will post update when I can. 3) The red line is CPI release on 9/14. The blue line is FOMC on 9/22. Current odds heavily, HEAVILY, favor 1900+...
SUMMARY - I couldn't just end it w/o an explanation for the last note in 4-M. This is what volume is saying, confidently and aggressively. BACKGROUND - If I analyze purely by price, I would say 4-M (last post) is still good. But I said at the end yesterday that I couldn't forecast that with good conscience bc volume disagrees. After examination of 3 spot...
SUMMARY - Due to a special request for final post, this is the finale. Despite moving away from #006 series several times, the #006 forecasts continue to hold. Furthermore, they imply that they are holding TO DECEMBER!!. BACKGROUND - Posts you need, in order, are #006-10 (intermediate weekly), #006-11 (last super detailed sheet, hit replay 3 times you will see...
SUMMARY - This is what the math says will happen. It is surreal. BACKGROUND - This takes over for 4-K, link below. DETAILS - In 4-K I mentioned 2 legs that needed to happen, and that there wasn't enough time left to fit it. Well, apparently there is and I didn't have enough imagination. So this is what 3 separate angles of regressions (think 135 regression...
SUMMARY - We are roughly 70+/30- on the big move down still to come. This is what should (and in a way NEEDS TO) happen in order to continue with this entire series of ideas from 4-A to 4-J, and including this post, 4-K. BACKGROUND - Links below are 4-E, 4-F, 4-I and 4-J. If you are new, they are the 4 posts you need to catch up on this. DETAILS - *All...
SUMMARY - We should be lower than the box, we are not. Gold just attempted to break 1806 again. So here are the stops. BACKGROUND - All ideas from 4-A to 4-J go together. If this stops out (gold hits 1807 OR FAIL TOO HIT THAT BOX ON TIME), all of those ideas are dead until further notice. DETAILS - This break of 1806 happening here says something else is up. ...
SUMMARY - This is the adjustment for Kaplan's Delta-variant speech. Federal reserve always in the expectations game to prevent a major equity draw down. That said, the rubber band is wound REALLY tight. The path of least resistance should be to cool off equity markets a bit. Is there a real choice here? Infinite Regression stands by 85/15 forecast. ...
SUMMARY - The gold crash forecast projected by INFINITE REGRESSION must be understood through market wide context. This chart is for S&P 500 futures, or ES1!. BACKGROUND - First links below include most recent forecast for oil, bitcoin, TSLA, dollar index, prior intermediate forecast and most recent gold forecast (CALL OF THE YEAR). All of these, INFINITE...
SUMMARY - This post, with 4-F & 4-G, serves as market context to 4-E. BACKGROUND - Links to 4-D, 4-E, 4-F, & 4-G below. DETAILS - This one is harder to forecast a 10-11% draw down based on structure. But combined with all information in 4-F, -G, & -H, INFINITE REGRESSION thinks 14000 is in the bag by 9/6.
SUMMARY - This is in addition to 4-F (S&P500). BACKGROUND - Please read 4-F, link here: DETAILS - This is essentially same situation as S&P 500, only except there is little doubt here.
SUMMARY - Simplified trading plan. Due diligence for Call of the Year. BACKGROUND - 4-A, -B, -C, & -D. Links below. DETAILS - This is a giant move, quick too. So the main thing is to not get cute. Short 1, 2, & 3 and please don't follow the 6-steps in 4-D. I decided this after careful consideration of the r/r . The boxes in the "3" area have been...
GIST - THIS IS COMBINING 4-A AND 4-B. BACKGROUND - Links to 4-A and 4-B are below. DETAILS - Black vertical is FOMC. Blue vertical is September NFP. Short at 1, 2, 3, 4, & 6. Long at 5 BUT MUST CLOSE BEFORE 6. 2 is not a high value short that should occur at a spike on Wednesday morning.
GIST - SIMILAR TO 4-B CHEAT SHEET #1 W/ NOTABLE DIFFERENCES: BACKGROUND - All links you need to understand where we are at is below. If you are new to this start w/ #006-10 and then #006-14. After that, Please Read 1-A, 3-A, 4-A & 4-B. Please SPECIFICALLY READ 1-A and replay both charts to understand why we are so heavily bearish. If have been following,...
GIST - I BET ALL MY REPUTATION ON THIS CALL (AGAIN). BACKGROUND - Read #006-10, #006-14, 1-A and 3-A, in that order. 3-A is new and it's brief, but it's very important in terms of what lead to this. Links RIGHT HERE. DETAILS: First, here are dates and levels: 8/24-25 at 1745 to 1755, 8/27 at 1750's 9/1 at 1670, 9/2 at 1715 (this one ball park),...