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USDJPY 01.05.2025
USDJPY
, 1D
Long
USDJPY: USDJPY 01.05.2025

~+ The sentiment is turning around - tariffs de-escalation talks, trade deals with major trading partners + COT + BOJ Bearish forward guidance ~+ US ec. news failure - USD shortly dipped on bearish Jobless Claims but quickly recovered and shot up on ISM PMI Mfg ~- USDJPY seasonals

GBPJPY 24.04.2025
GBPJPY
, 240
Long
GBPJPY: GBPJPY 24.04.2025

+Seasonality (until the end of April) +COT ~- Latest bad UK PMIs (although JP CPI Miss as well)

US100 21.04.2025
US100
, 1D
Short
US100: US100 21.04.2025

+US Leading Index Miss +COT Bearish ~+General gloomy sentiment about tariffs, Fed's independence & trade talks with Japan ~-thin volumes after holidays

XAGUSD 10.04.2025
XAGUSD
, 240
Long
XAGUSD: XAGUSD 10.04.2025
Updated 

+ Trump paused tariffs for 90 days (ex.China) ~+ XAU is overextended against XAG

XAUUSD 04.04.2025
XAUUSD
, 60
Long
XAUUSD: XAUUSD 04.04.2025
Updated 

~+ Tariffs impact uncertainty + Seasonals ~- * Although gold tends to follow risk assets once the expected risk is realized. In this case, specific tariffs were announced, and further impact could be envisioned.

SPX500 03.04.2025
SPX500USD
, 60
Short
SPX500USD: SPX500 03.04.2025
Updated 

+ ISM Services Miss + Reciprocal Tariffs + COT - Seasonals

US100
US100
, 240
Short
US100: US100
Updated 

+ Fresh US data (PCE and infl.exp. Up, Consumer exp. Down) ~+ Tariffs uncertainty (retaliation?) ~+ COT ~+ Timing (end of the week, month) ~- Seasonals

USDCAD 31.03.2025
USDCAD
, 1D
Long
USDCAD: USDCAD 31.03.2025
Updated 

+ Tariff risks (USD as a safe haven) + Seasonality + USD COT

EURCAD 31.03.2025
EURCAD
, 1D
Long
EURCAD: EURCAD 31.03.2025
Updated 

~+ EU CPI Beat - EUR COT - Seasonality - Tariffs risks

USDCAD 26.03.2025
USDCAD
, 1D
Short
USDCAD: USDCAD 26.03.2025

~+ Conciliatory messages from Trump on tariffs; Trump hinted at flexibility ("more targeted approach") + Seasonals - CAD COT

EURGBP 24.03.2025
EURGBP
, 240
Short
EURGBP: EURGBP 24.03.2025
Updated 

~+ Germany Services PMI Miss, UK Services PMI Beat (mixed with good Mfg PMI and good FR data) + Bearish eur COT + Seasonality

US100 18.03.2025
US100
, 60
Short
US100: US100 18.03.2025

~+ Scott Bessent's "corrections are necessary" * Market structure on 1h is also very compelling

EURUSD 18.03.2025
EURUSD
, 240
Long
EURUSD: EURUSD 18.03.2025

~+ Hopes about the German 500 bln euro spending bill * Buy limit

US100 17.03.2025
US100
, 60
Short
US100: US100 17.03.2025

+Tariff uncertainty, Trump's "period of transition"

EURJPY 13.03.2025
EURJPY
, 1D
Short
EURJPY: EURJPY 13.03.2025

- Trump: "I'm not happy with EU" ~+ Trump: "period of transition" (recession fears) ~+ JP Labor union wage increase - COT ~- Ukraine peace talks optimism

EURUSD 13.03.2025
EURUSD
, 60
Short
EURUSD: EURUSD 13.03.2025

~+ US CPI News Failure + Trump: "period of transition" (recession fears) + Trump: "I'm not happy with the EU." (tariffs) - COT ~- Ukraine peace talks optimism

USDJPY 13.03.2025
USDJPY
, 240
Short
USDJPY: USDJPY 13.03.2025

~+ Covering positions before the CPI release ~+ Trump: "period of transition" (recession fears) ~+ JP Labor union wage increase - COT

GBPJPY 05.03.2025
GBPJPY
, 60
Short
GBPJPY: GBPJPY 05.03.2025

~+Slight Miss in UK Serv. PMI , Slight Beat in Japan Serv.PMI ~+Seasonality GBPJPY - COT

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