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Quick Inertia Tactical Long
EURCAD
, 240
Long
EURCAD: Quick Inertia Tactical Long
Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment EUR: - Some recent positive economic data CAD: - 0.5 Cut should spur some short-term bearishness Technical & Other Setup: S(B) Setup timeframe: 1h Trigger: 1m (right after the BoC 0.5 cut announcement) Medium-term: Range Long-term: Range Min target: Local high Stop loss: 0.25% Position size: 0.5 of the normal Risk Unit.

Positive Risk Sentiment Shift Bet
AUDJPY
, 1D
Long
AUDJPY: Positive Risk Sentiment Shift Bet

Fundamentals & Sentiment AUD: - Recent economic data is good - Bullish market internals JPY: - Bad PMI data - October is negative seasonally for JPY Technical & Other Setup: S(B) Setup timeframe: 4h Trigger: 4h Medium-term: Sideways Long-term: Sideways Min target: 103.0, mirror level Stop loss: 0.49% Position size: 0.8R

What If China Recovery Isn't Happening Just Yet?
USDCNH
, 240
Long
USDCNH: What If China Recovery Isn't Happening Just Yet?

Fundamentals & Sentiment CNH: - PBoC cut the rate; other stimulus measures USD: - Recent strong data - Cautious, "balanced" approach by the Fed Technical & Other - Chinese equities struggle to keep the upward momentum Setup: TC(RTF) Setup timeframe: 4h Trigger: 1h Medium-term: Up Long-term: Down Min target: Local high Stop loss: 0.28% Position...

Another Bet On China Optimisim
HK50
, 60
Long
HK50: Another Bet On China Optimisim
Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment HK50: - PBoC kicked off funding schemes and urged swift adoption of policies to support capital markets - PBoC Rate Cut USD: - Risks: geopolitics Technical & Other Setup: S(M) Setup timeframe: 1h Trigger: 5m Medium-term: Up Long-term: Up Min target: Local highs, harmonics Stop loss: 1.28% Position size: 0.5R

News Failure And Follow-Through Tactical Play
GBPUSD
, 60
Long
GBPUSD: News Failure And Follow-Through Tactical Play
Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment GBP: - The pair didn't hold lower after the negative CPI this week - Strong Retail Sales today - There's still a miniscule chance that the rate will be unchanged - Biggest carry currency USD: - Shrugged off good US data yesterday Technical & Other - Entered 3m after the Retail Sales release - Failed breakout below 1.3...

CPI to Knock It Off - Reentry
USDCHF
, 1D
Long
USDCHF: CPI to Knock It Off - Reentry
Updated 

USD: - Undervalued according to many market internals - CPI Beat - Monster jobs data (NFP, Unemployment, etc.) - USD held well on Fri-Mon so the last mixed data (Initial claims beat - dovish) was shrugged off. CHF: - Generally, the franc is too expensive for SNB's liking - Bearish Internals Technical & Other Setup: S(B) Setup timeframe: 1h Trigger:...

Press Kiwi Further As Inflation Cools
NZDUSD
, 240
Short
NZDUSD: Press Kiwi Further As Inflation Cools
Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment NZD: - Data: CPI along with prior recent data are dovish - RBNZ: "there's a scope for further cuts..." USD: - Fed: Cautious approach to cuts - Data: mixed - Bullish CFTC Technical & Other - Sell limit Setup: TC(B) Setup timeframe: 4h Trigger: 1h Medium-term: Down Long-term: Range Min target: Next support...

Renewed Hopes And "Positive Uncertainty"
HK50
, 240
Long
HK50: Renewed Hopes And "Positive Uncertainty"
Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment HK50: - Expectations of some positive clarifications on the real estate briefing tomorrow - HK launched some measures to stimulate its economy USD: - Risks: rates expectations, geopolitical risks, Technical & Other Setup: S(RTF) Setup timeframe: 4h Trigger: 1h Medium-term: Up Long-term: Up Min target: Local high Stop...

JPY Weakness To Drive Up Nikkei
JP225USD
, 240
Long
JP225USD: JPY Weakness To Drive Up Nikkei
Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment JPN225: - BoJ: "proceed cautiously" - can be interpreted as dovish; CFTC - Weakness in JPY: Market internals, CFTC - New PM to prevent deflation - Dull economic data - dovish USD: - Risks: elections, Middle East tensions Technical & Other Setup: TC(B) Setup timeframe: 4h Trigger: 4h Medium-term: Up Long-term: Up Min...

China Stimulus As a Bullrun Trigger
HK50
, 60
Long
HK50: China Stimulus As a Bullrun Trigger
Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment HK50: - Yesterday's news of 6 trlilion yuan stimulus USD: - Risks: pre-elections uncertainty, Middle East tensions, undervalued by market internals and CFTC. Technical & Other - Got in 5 minutes after the announcement during the US session; not the best entry technically Setup: Other Setup timeframe: 1h ...

CPI to Knock It Off
USDCHF
, 240
Long
USDCHF: CPI to Knock It Off
Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment USD: - Undervalued according to many market internals - CPI Beat - Monster jobs data (NFP, Unemployment, etc.) - Risks: Initial claims beat - the market might see it dovish CHF: - Generally, the franc is too expensive for SNB's liking - Bearish Internals Technical & Other Setup: S(B) Setup timeframe: 4h Trigger: 4h ...

Kiwi Cut Fade
AUDNZD
, 60
Short
AUDNZD: Kiwi Cut Fade
Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment AUD: - Undervalued according to CFTC - Chinese stocks are under pressure - The recent Minutes weren't dovish enough NZD: - Risks: the momentum from the cut continues Technical & Other - seeing the pop up as overdone Setup: TR(RTF) Setup timeframe: D Trigger: 15m Medium-term: Up Long-term: Range Min target: pre-cut lows ...

China Stimulus Exuberance
HK50
, 1D
Long
HK50: China Stimulus Exuberance
Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment HK50: - Stimulus package - Home sales increased USD, HKD: - Risk: Strong NFP might put pressure on equities but it's quite ambiguous in the case of Chinese equities Technical & Other Risk: quite stretched Setup: TC(B) Setup timeframe: 4h Trigger: 1h Medium-term: Up Long-term: Up Min target: 24000 Stop loss: 1.52% ...

Enough Jobs to Knock It Off - Aussie
AUDUSD
, 60
Short
AUDUSD: Enough Jobs to Knock It Off - Aussie
Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment USD: - Undervalued according to many market internals - Monster jobs data (NFP, Unemployment, etc.) AUD: - Bearish Internals & recent economic data Technical & Other Setup: TC(B) Setup timeframe: 1h Trigger: 1m Medium-term: Range Long-term: Up Min target: Mirror level Stop loss: 0.38% Position size: 0.6R

Enough Jobs to Knock It Off
USDCHF
, 60
Long
USDCHF: Enough Jobs to Knock It Off
Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment USD: - Undervalued according to many market internals - Monster jobs data (NFP, Unemployment, etc.) CHF: - Generally, the franc is too expensive for SNB's liking - Bearish Internals Technical & Other Setup: S(B) Setup timeframe: 4h Trigger: 5m Medium-term: Range Long-term: Down Min target: Aug highs Stop loss: 0.33% ...

Is It That Bad in EU?
EURCAD
, 240
Long
EURCAD: Is It That Bad in EU?
Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment EUR: - Market Internals - Service PMI Beat after a gloomy series of news in EU (CPI, French deficit) - Quite a bearish rhetoric of ECB CAD: - Some bearish comments - Oil is subdued Technical & Other - Seeing euro decline as overdone, expecting shorts unwinding Setup: S(RTF) Setup timeframe: 4h Trigger: 1h ...

Yuan Strength Continuation
USDCNH
, 240
Short
USDCNH: Yuan Strength Continuation
Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment USD: - Middle East tensions reaction seems exhausted - Mixed recent economic data CNH: - Relaxed restrictions on home buying should stimulate yuan demand - Chinese stock market should drive the demand for yuan Technical & Other Setup: Other - S(RTF), No Stop Hunt Setup timeframe: 4h Trigger: 1h Medium-term: Down Long-term:...

Kiwi Fade
NZDUSD
, 1D
Short
NZDUSD: Kiwi Fade
Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment USD: - Undervalued according to many market internals, CFTC NZD: - Dovish course of RBNZ - Bearish market internals Technical & Other Setup: TR(RTF) Setup timeframe: 4h Trigger: 1h Medium-term: Up Long-term: Up Min target: DMA(10) Stop loss: 0.52% Position size: 0.5R

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