USDMXN on positive NFP #'s rallied to test the historic highs around 15.5000. I have a pending sell @ 15.5950 which is very close to this week's R1 and looking to target this week's weekly pivot or better yet the past level of resistance around 15.2. The MXN gets the blood pumping but typically does amazing technical things.
The AUDNZD is holding nicely at the 1.0300 lows with last week's new high taking out a previous high. I have positions pending at 1.0390 and 1.0330 to BUY this pair and trade back to 1.06 and hopefully stay in the trade if the rally continues to this year's pivot at 1.0750 area.
EURNZD is nearing historic lows again - I'm interested in confirming a double bottom or looking for a 1.27 retracement off of the recent swing to buy a bullish pattern in the 1.4500-1.4600 range. Target is 1.5000 area of higher if you manage to hold onto the negative carry.
GBPAUD is setting up for a rather convincing Head & Shoulders pattern that would push it right down to 1.9300 - this level matches up nicely with past resistance. I'm selling the neckline break at 1.9605 and will consider adding to the position provided it goes positively in our direction. One can either sell the neckline break or let price break the neckline and...
February has been a nasty wedge/range month. I noticed the GBPNZD off of this recent bearish channel resistance may push down to 2.03 or lower to find some support. Ideally, I'd love to sell and hold until 2.000 but I'll most like take profit at 2.03 or move my stop to lock in profits.
Janet Yellen testifies in front of Congress Tuesday (oops for the chart saying Wednesday - IT'S TUESDAY) February 24th at 10am ET. The USD crosses and the DXY / USDOLLAR look to be wedged with anticipation for some guided direction from the FED. I'm just looking for price to confirm the move, put the stop where we're wrong and ride the movement. I'm slightly...
The GBPCAD and the CAD crosses in general have probably been a sore spot for most traders looking to take shorts. The GBPCAD continues to press higher in the rising wedge. I'm looking for an aggressive sell below today's candle with a day's corrective movement for profits and if it presses more than lock in those pips!!! Ideally, 1.9000 is a BIG but respectable...
The GBPAUD amazes me with its beautiful setups and symmetry despite a pair capable of moving well over 200 pips per day. We've hit the channel resistance levels and last week sold off nicely to confirm more bearish structure. I like a short position building off of the 50 and 70 retracement levels to target 9100 - even the midpoint of this large channel would make...
We have now 3 yearly pivots that may be targeting price for the USDJPY. This trade will be best serviced with risk aversion and a sell off in stocks, but we don't have to guess when the USDJPY will stop going up. This is a sell below the low trade and get the party started to see if it can run and trend down to 114.20 area.
I'm looking for some ounce of NZD weakness and this trade looks pretty solid on the larger time frames. The recent down wave may conclude around 1.5000 so I'm considering a buy trade to rally up to this year's pivot.
We had a nice sell off on the USDMXN to end last week. The formation I'm seeing is a rising wedge. I'm looking to sell the re-test of the highs and see price drop to the lower part of the channel and hopefully breakout south for further profits. The trade is invalidated if price drops lower first.
NFP #'s made the USDJPY pop pretty nicely. I'll take my chances with a pullback to BUY and see if the pair can breakout and re-test the 121.83 high or perhaps go further to 125 area. I don't want to fight this one but we may see this opportunity this week.
This could be a HUGE trade this year - it'll take some effort from the RBNZ most likely but we have a 900-1000 pip opportunity to trade to the low 70's on this massive formation - it'll take time to setup but I'm looking forward to this plan coming to together.
I'm looking for a smidge of a GBPNZD recovery and a re-test of the 3 month channel around 2.02. From this point I love the idea of looking for BIG BUY trades to trade to 2.15 and 2.20 as the NZD may next join the ranks as a weakening commodity currency.
This could be a really nice swing/carry trade to re-test 1.4000 or make a new low around 1.3600. I'm looking to sell EURAUD this week and see what I can hold onto.
Looking to the AUDUSD to make a squeeze near 7920-8000 after making some new highs last week. Our RBA pal Stevens is speaking and there's an unmployment report this week for some extra volatility.
The super exotic currencies are difficult to trade for most retail traders with insane volatility levels. But structurally, I see a nice H&S pattern emerging on the USDMXN. With this week's FED meeting and statement, there may be enough technical divergence to see a USD retracement across all currencies and this could be a BIG opportunity. I'm looking to sell...
I'm in no hurry to look long on USOIL, but technically, I like the idea that a reveral pattern may help this fallout recover towards $70 in 2015. $40 is the technical support area but we may see patterns emerge a bit sooner as that LOW of a low has geopolitical implications. We'll see what happens.