Without a S. American weather problem soybeans could struggle. Corn and wheat are doing the heavy lifting. I am neutral this market for now.
In (3) of 3-the power leg. Wheat has been leading the ag commodity sector.
Not much fundamentally going on with corn which makes me like this rally even more. I'm buying 3 swing set backs.
I am looking for a test of 506^6. If it holds the correction could be done. If it breaks then I am looking for more down side. Early #soybean planting in S. America helps the chances of a better second crop of #corn. High fertilizer prices and availability could hurt corn acres in the northern hemisphere for 2022. Watching for clues.
I have updated my wave count on short soybeans. I am posting it as a new idea. Maybe I'm suppose to update the old?? IDK , new to this s**t. South American weather is ideal for planting-this is not bullish soybeans. Crush margins are great in the USA keeping basis firm through harvest.
Fundamentally looking for soybeans to drift lower through fall and reaching the .618 level of the impulsive move higher that started last year. Since this is a continuation chart I am not married to that level but will be looking for signs of bottoming. The catalyst higher will come with Chinese buying and South American weather premium.