Coulisnosaj

Coulisnosaj

Metcalf's law BTC Cycle on Weekly TF. BTC has much lower to go before this cycle is up and trend changes, see red box with days.

Coulisnosaj

Using a 10yr -3m Inverted Yields VS. Stock market bottom recession. June 2025 is when the market will start to improve if history repeats itself.

Coulisnosaj

The last two times of market recessions, Dotcom and the Great Recession both times the stock market did not hit bottom until 3yrs after the inversion happened. Meaning we are only 129 days into this one. I would take advantage of this current rally and not get overly long on positions, but sell out of positions into strength. The FED has made it clear there will...

Coulisnosaj

Not sure, what your buy avg is, but you need to look at is it worth going down this level and then waiting for you to get to break even or selling and rebuying at a newer level. Example: Let's say you bought $10K worth of BTC at $40K. Giving you 0.20 BTC. You sell at $20K, losing 50%, leaving you with $5k. On the theory that BTC will bottom at $10K. Now...

Coulisnosaj

@ Dec meeting Dec 14 Cur Rate 3.75 4 3.75 4 3.75 4 4.25 4.5 Fed Hikes 0.25 0.25 0.5 0.5 0.75 0.75 0.25 0.25 Future Rate 4 4.25 4.25 4.5 4.5 4.75 4.5 4.75 4.125 4.375 4.625 4.625

Coulisnosaj

BTC Index is in Phase 2 of Hyperwave, good news for HODLERS (Long term), and people who thought they were too late. The bad news (short term) Also, we are creating a right shoulder and completing an ABC correction, and will most likely see a return to the trend of phase two in 1-2 months ($29k BTC).

Coulisnosaj

The last three corrections in the DOW.

Coulisnosaj

If we close below the blue 3 trend line on a weekly, most likely we are in a stage 7 downtrend and worst case we go back $1400 which is the beginning of the cycle trendline 1. There is a possibility we test 2 trendline at $4k and we are in a bigger trend and this is just a blip in a much larger uptrend. Best case in the short term if we hold trendline 3 on weekly...

Coulisnosaj

We need to break this upper channel at some point to be considered bullish or all bets are off Long if we don't. I would only short down to the other side of the channel only with tight stops. BTC can run both ways so don't take too much risk. 3-1 or more is the minium target you should shoot for on all trades in Crypto.

Coulisnosaj

Needs to break the longterm trend line to start the march above $20K.