DatTong

DatTong

Macro theme: - On Wednesday, the BoJ announced an interest rate increase and a bond tapering plan, reflecting confidence in the domestic economy's recovery and concern over the weakened yen. - The BOJ raised the uncollateralized overnight call rate to 0.25%, marking the second rate rise this year after the Mar 19 increase, which ended negative interest rates,...

DatTong

Macro theme: The market is anticipating that the Fed will cut rates three times this year following the release of lower CPI numbers, which have fueled optimism that inflation is under control. Investors expect rate cuts in Sep, Nov, and Dec. This outlook is quite optimistic, given that the overall state of the US economy may not be dire enough to necessitate such...

DatTong

Macro theme: - The highlight of the past week was inflation data. US Jun headline CPI slowed to 3% YoY (vs. 3.1% expected, 3.3% previous), and core CPI was 3.3% YoY (vs. 3.4% expected and previous). - The core service component has been declining, and rental prices may continue to fall due to delayed contract renewals. With this inflation trend, markets expect...

DatTong

After the Non-farm payroll event last week, which saw 236,000 jobs added through March, it is clear that the job market is still creating many jobs compared to pre-COVID levels. However, the market has been experiencing some short-squeezing from yields to the dollar. The reason for this short-squeezing can be attributed to the mispricing between Fed fund futures,...

DatTong

The bank deposit outflow started since the Fed tightening cycle from March last year until now but got triggered more after the banking crisis a couple of weeks ago. Most of the deposit outflow ended up in the Money market fund assets, of which 80% are US T-bills, cash, or repos collateralized by government securities. This flee-to-safety trend triggered a buy in...

DatTong

Hi everyone, just share some thoughts regarding to the FOMC's meeting last week: - Fed's rate hike with 0.25% as expected after considering 1% before the pre-bank-crisis events and 0% for post-events. It's more logical for me than any other option, as inflation is still high, the labor market is still hot, and the economy is still boosted with hyped capital goods...

DatTong

- Nice boucing from D1 at the key structure level - Tested short EMA from an effort to reverse its previous downward structure. - It's clear path for positioning if you have not done yet - Still a lot of long-term holders from on-chain data

DatTong

Quick view: - Forming base and nice rejection - Bullish candle at support - OK RR Good luck as usual!

DatTong

Brief: - 1000 contracts bought at the 46000 levels to keep the Low - Price backed up from that point and went higher - Price trapped a lot of panic sellers - Good RR to trade

DatTong

Resoning: - Bear trap - OB - Confluence - High beta with BTC

DatTong Updated 

Hi all again, Briefs: - Market is running on sideways mode as my last comment on previous update - 47000 is a good point to hold (better than Elsalvador I guess). I observed in the last few days, many good buy around this level and ready for long-term - Price would make some back and forth at this level due to need to build up buyers and move when MM decides it's...

DatTong Updated 

FACTS: - Some good amount of rejections around current level - Nice Spring from BTC around 53k level - Accumulation phase at this level with higher Low I'm more bullish than another downward Leg and Accumulation phase around 52-53k. So the good case is BTC goes up after making a breakout above both the MA, then making some correction and look for Bid Wall to...

DatTong

Reasons for being cautious: - Bid wall looks very weak - Close below the Key Sup - Distribution pattern gonna complete if it drops from this retouching point So it's better to position wisely before the drop. Remember: Market is still uptrend even it touches 50-53k level. So just positioning wisely.

DatTong

It's simple: - Nice correction - Good Risk/Reward - Previous Brekaout tested - When hit SL, open another chance to Short sell, so it's not bad to hit SL as well (positive attitude) :) Good luck!

DatTong Updated 

You can have a flash swing on BTC form this level or better price when it makes modest correction. - OK risk/reward - bullish tendency - tested EMA - bullish candle - tested channel

DatTong

Hi all, nice to see all again from several months. Here is the recap from last time prediction: - BTC made top if the next Monthly cadle is black. - The bottom is around 30,000 for the correction. You can find all the views here Another bottom calling around 41,000 And now the next move: - Last month's candle close above 61,000 which is enough to well...

DatTong Updated 

BTC is making bottom around 41,000 level for several times. This presents a good RR trade provided that it succecced at least 5 times at this level.

DatTong Updated 

BTC had a sensitive touch around 47,000 level which is at the MA and supporting level. BTC just showed the signal candle with an OB and present a good chance to be long