David_Wilson1

David_Wilson1

The current gold price stands at $3,288. The gold market was volatile in the early session: after the opening, prices plunged all the way, hitting a low of $3,247 at one point. However, it quickly rebounded, climbing back above $3,280. It was quite a roller-coaster ride, full of thrills. **Influencing Factors** - **Geopolitical Situation**: While the Middle...

David_Wilson1

The current gold price stands at $3,273, showing a significant decline from previous levels. Looking back at Friday's trading, the gold market was in a state of "unrelenting decline": during the early Asian session, gold attempted a rebound, edging up to around $3,328, but was quickly met with resistance and pulled back. The downward trend continued into the...

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Four Bullish Drivers Behind Bitcoin's Rally (1) Institutional Capital Rampage: From Whale Holdings to Market Scarcity - **BlackRock et al. as anchor investors**: BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) has ballooned to $71.9 billion, holding 660,000 BTC—equivalent to 3.1% of total circulating supply. Such "whale-level" positions not only provide liquidity support...

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First, geopolitical dynamics significantly impact gold prices. When Trump announced a comprehensive ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran, tensions in the Middle East eased substantially, causing a rapid cooling of market risk aversion. As gold has long been a favored safe-haven asset, reduced market panic directly diminished demand for gold, triggering...

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Influencing Factors on Gold Prices: - Geopolitical Factors: Trump announced a comprehensive ceasefire between Israel and Iran, which will greatly ease tensions in the Middle East. The market's safe-haven demand triggered by the Israel-Iran conflict will drop significantly, and investors' safe-haven buying of gold will correspondingly decrease, thus exerting...

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Three Driving Logics Behind Oil Price Collapse: From Geopolitical Ebb to Supply Loosening (1) The "Security Pledge" for Strait of Hormuz Materializes As the "lifeblood" for 30% of global seaborne crude oil, blockade expectations for the Strait of Hormuz were the core support for oil prices above $75. However, during the recent attacks, Iran deliberately...

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Bitcoin is currently fluctuating around $105,500, rebounding 4.5% from yesterday's low of $101,000 and successfully breaking through the key psychological threshold of $105,000. Looking at recent trends, the price touched $105,000 in early June before pulling back, and now standing above this level again indicates that bullish forces are attempting further...

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Bitcoin is fluctuating around $101,000, like driving to a crossroads. Looking down, the average price over the past month is supported at around $100,000. Looking up, $105,000 seems like a hurdle. In the United States, although the possibility of a rate cut in July is low (only 10%), some Fed officials have said they support rate cuts if inflation is under...

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Gold Trend Analysis and Trading Strategy: Interpreting Bowman's Rate Cut Signal I. How Did Bowman's Speech "Fuel" Gold's Rally? Fed Governor Bowman dropped a key statement today: "If price growth stabilizes, I would support a July rate cut." This is like a gas station attendant telling a driver, "Prices will drop soon—fill up less for now." After fixating...

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Gold Price Surges Then Pulls Back Amid Middle East Tensions This morning, gold opened like it hit the "fast-forward" button. Tensions suddenly flared in the Middle East—after Iran threatened to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, the price surged above $3,990 at the opening. However, as Iran didn’t immediately enforce the blockade and Israel launched counterattacks,...

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Bitcoin Trading Strategy: Navigating $101,000 Volatility with a Three-Dimensional Model Current Bitcoin prices oscillating near $101,000 reflect more than just technical support battles—they embody an expectation gap between policy implementation timelines and institutional fund flows. This strategy constructs a "Policy-Funds-Technology" three-dimensional...

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1. Technical Support at the $74 Safety Cushion Current prices sit squarely in the $74-$78 trading range, with $74 acting as a proven safety cushion—history shows prices rebounding each time they test this level. The $75.03 dip is a hair's breadth from this buffer, testing its resilience. 2. Why the Pullback? - **Geopolitical Fatigue**: Markets are...

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Investment Opportunities Amid Geopolitical Risks and Recession Expectations I. Fundamental Support: Persistent Geopolitical Risks and Escalating Recession Expectations Middle East Situation: Potential Risks Not Fully Priced Although Iran's threat to block the Strait of Hormuz has not yet translated into actual action, its strategic value as an "ultimate...

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Urgent Gold Market Analysis: Trading Strategies After Iran's Parliament Approves Closing the Strait of Hormuz I. Geopolitics: Market Reactions from "Threat" to "Action Countdown" Iran's parliament has formally approved closing the Strait of Hormuz, though final decision-making rests with the Supreme National Security Council. This news is like lighting a...

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Analysis of Market Dynamics Under Geopolitical Conflicts The current conflict between Iran and Israel has entered a critical phase of "reciprocal retaliation". In the early morning of June 22, Iran launched missile strikes on Israel, targeting military command centers and nuclear R&D facilities in Tel Aviv, while Israel carried out multiple rounds of...

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Crude Oil Market: Geopolitical Risk Premium Soars Sharply (1) Strait of Hormuz: Global Energy Artery in Crisis As the gateway for 20% of global crude oil transportation, every disturbance in the Strait of Hormuz grips market nerves. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard has now deployed missile boats and mine-laying vessels at the strait's narrowest point (just 33...

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Geopolitical Landscape: Gold on a Powder Keg 1.1 Escalating U.S.-Iran Conflict Ignites Gold's Safe-Haven Demand Trump claimed the U.S. had successfully destroyed three Iranian nuclear facilities, but Iran swiftly responded that it had evacuated the sites in advance, suffering no major losses. This incident has fueled market fears of further Middle East...

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I. Next Week's Crude Oil Trend Analysis (1) Supply Side: Gas Stations Signal Shortages, but Refineries Keep Pumping More The supply dynamics present a paradox. OPEC+ is like a massive refinery deciding to continue increasing crude oil production by 411,000 barrels per day in July, marking the third consecutive month of output hikes. Strangely, however, U.S....