BTC was up roughly 70% from October 5 to December 5 with the current price action observed within a horizontal trading range. I will be opening a long position on the Spring position around $40,000. If the Spring fails then I will exit the position at a small loss. I think we will observe a sign of strength (SOS) rally that will take the price to around...
Eight Chains 1.002 printed a short EUR/long USD signal. Eight Chains 1.002 printed a long USD signal on the DXY. Thus, one should be short EUR/long USD with take profit targets of $1.01259 and $1.0038. This is not financial advice. I am not your financial advisor. This is my opinion.
My ceiling and floor prices for DigitalBits (XDB) are $0.0070 and $0.0058, respectively. Eight Chains printed a short signal. Our entry is $0.00677325 and our take profit targets are $0.0061 and $0.0058. I have a stop loss at $0.00704418. This is not financial advice. I am not your financial advisor. This is my opinion.
Since Oct 21, 2021, Bitcoin (BTC) has exhibited a stepping-stone pattern of re-distribution. I have clearly documented these events in a series of publications as the price action unfolded. In this stepping-stone pattern, the price trades within a well-defined trading range for a time until the price commits below the lower boundary of the trading range in a...
Cognitive flexibility, required to shift one’s bias from bullish to bearish, long to short, and vice versa, based on market conditions, is extremely valuable as a trader. In previous publications, I mentioned that since the BTC price has been in a down trending environment for nearly 9 months we should assume that the current trading range (31 days and counting)...
USD dominance will likely continue through the remainder of July. In the 1 week time frame, the red and blue lines of the Phoenix Ascending (PA) indicator are rising as is the momentum (Energy, grey shaded area). Given the levels of the blue and red lines, we will likely see the DSX push up to around $110, which is between the upper aqua and upper red Bad Ass...
An analysis of a variety of time frames ranging from the daily to the monthly month time frame suggests that the EURUSD price will continue to be observed in a down trending environment, which started June, 2021. In July, 2022, the EURUSD price may find support around $0.99xxx and resistance around $1.03xxx. In the daily time frame, the EURUSD may continue to...
The BTC price continues to be observed within a Wyckoff re-distribution trading range (to be confirmed or to fail) with the upper bound given by the automatic rally (ARa) daily high and the lower bound given by the selling climax (SC) daily low. The secondary test (ST) on July 3 had a Spring-like effect, catalyzing a very nice rally (+19%) that wicked above the...
The Nasdaq 100 index (NDX) price continues to be observed in a down trending Wyckoff re-distribution trading range. The NDX price broke the support of the previous trading range on Jan 18, 2022 and the downward price move was halted several days later with the selling climax (SC) event. Here I offer two scenarios for the future NDX price: (1) a bullish scenario,...
A lot of people have asked “Where is the bottom for Bitcoin?”. Of course nobody knows for sure but it is fun (and arguably important) to speculate. Here I’ve plotted the BTC price since several months prior to it’s parabolic run in fall 2020 to the present. I’ve added trend lines to smooth out the data and used linear regression channels to highlight the up...
The BTC price continues to be observed in Phase B of a Wyckoff re-distribution trading range. We should consider this a re-distribution trading range (to be confirmed or to fail based on market events) rather than a re-accumulation trading range as the BTC price has been in a down trending environment for the past 6 or so months. This Wyckoff re-distribution...
In my previous publication, I opened a long position at what I thought at the time was a selling climax (SC). My analysis was incorrect, as what I thought was a SC was, in fact, a preliminary supply (PS) like event. The PS is known as the first concerted attempt to stop the down trend. Lesson learned. Nevertheless, the BTC price has entered another Wyckoff...
Previously, I’ve demonstrated stepping-stone descending horizontal Wyckoff re-distribution trading ranges for BTC. Interestingly, the last 3 transitions from Wyckoff re-distribution Phase E to Phase A were similar. In all 3 cases, we observed a climatic level of volume. In all 3 cases, we observed sell bars with a large spread. The percent change in price for...
This chart builds on previous ideas I’ve shared regarding the BTC price action since October, 2021. In a previous publication, I stated that we likely had observed a shakeout (SO)/sign of weakness (SOW) in potential Phase D of Wyckoff re-distribution. I presented a scenario that would confirm my idea (solid red line). According to this scenario, we would observe a...
Previously, I’ve demonstrated stepping-stone descending horizontal Wyckoff re-distribution trading ranges for BTC. The fact that the BTC price action broke the trading range support to the downside for a sustained period of time supports the notion of a re-distribution trading range. I opened a short position near the trading range support ($41,313). Since then,...
Previously, I’ve demonstrated that, oftentimes, there exists a strong positive correlation between the BTC price and the NASDAQ 100 Technology Sector (NDXT) price suggesting that knowledge of the BTC price allows one to predict the NDXT price with a reasonable degree of accuracy and vice versa. The purpose here is to test the notion that when the US dollar is...
Numerous podcasts and other news sources suggest that there exists a strong positive correlation between BTC price and the price of tech stocks. To test this notion, I plotted the BTC closing price and the NASDAQ 100 Technology Sector (NDXT) closing price on the daily time frame. Based on visual inspection of the upper panel of the chart, there are time periods...
Price action for XDB from March 14, 2022 to the present has been pretty remarkable. From a Wyckoffian perspective, we observe a hyperdermic distribution after the buying climax (BC) on March 23. The red arrows point to volume spikes. In these 3 instances they illustrate heavy selling. It’s possible that we have observed a local selling climax (SC) on April 7. If...