ElGatoTrade

ElGatoTrade Updated 

14:15 EUR Deposit Facility Rate (Sep) 3.50% 3.50% 3.75% 14:15 EUR ECB Marginal Lending Facility 3.90% 4.50% 14:15 EUR ECB Interest Rate Decision (Sep) 3.65% 3.65% 4.25% At the same time we got US economic data which is in my readings leaning towards that FED will cut only by 0,25 bps. 14:30 USD Continuing Jobless...

ElGatoTrade Updated 

Tomorrow 04/25 14:30 USD Continuing Jobless Claims 1,810K 1,812K 14:30 USD GDP (QoQ) (Q1) 2.5% 3.4% 14:30 USD GDP Price Index (QoQ) (Q1) 3.0% 1.7% 14:30 USD Goods Trade Balance (Mar) -91.10B -91.84B 14:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims 214K 212K In case of the above mentioned data signaling no cool-down in the inflation pressure I...

ElGatoTrade Updated 

Economic calendar as of 11/07/2024 ( GMT +2:00 Budapest) (LEFT to RIGHT ) Actual(?) Forecast Previous 14:30 USD Continuing Jobless Claims 1,860K 1,858K 14:30 USD Core CPI (MoM) (Jun) 0.2% 0.2% 14:30 USD Core CPI (YoY) (Jun) 3.4% 3.4% 14:30 USD CPI (MoM) (Jun) 0.1% 0.0% 14:30 USD CPI...

ElGatoTrade Updated 

The dollar edged higher on Thursday, hoisted by wider interest-rate differentials as other major economies start cutting rates ahead of the U.S. and parts of Europe face political turmoil. The dollar index DXY, which tracks the currency against six peers, was last up 0.2% at 105.45 after a volatile 10 days marked by mixed signals from the U.S. economy, while...

ElGatoTrade Updated 

Altough I made huge mistake underestimate the market makers games, still holding my short. Todaz data could not be hack :P Take care

ElGatoTrade

The image depicts the EUR/USD currency pair on a 4-hour chart. Here's a brief description of the price action visible in the chart: 1. **Overall Trend**: - The EUR/USD pair shows an upward movement initially, followed by a period of consolidation, and then another upward movement. - Recently, there has been a downward sloping trend line indicating some...

ElGatoTrade Updated 

In the best case scenario they MUST LEAVE the rate unchanged but honestly for them would better to hike 0,25bps in order to avoid an other wave of inlation.

ElGatoTrade

Right now I wont go into details. The game is simple- I personally expect that FED wont raise nor cut the interest rate. Altough we schould be ready for every scenario. Outcomes EFECTS Rates will remain unchanged : 85% EUR - Slightly goes up - 1,093 (+0,90%) Rates will increase : 10% ...

ElGatoTrade Updated 

In the last two weeks, we have observed that FX:EURUSD is earnestly trying to establish a new base, aiming to finally take off. Unfortunately, this cannot happen if certain variables don't change urgently. If not, EURUSD faces significant downturns repeatedly. What are these variables? First and foremost, US inflation needs to decline more sharply. This...

ElGatoTrade Updated 

As of today Thursday, December 14, 2023- ECB ( European Central Bank ) at 14:00 PM ( Budapest Time GMT+1 ) will disclouse their interest rate decision in the following categories. 11:00 EUR EU Leaders Summit 14:15 EUR Deposit Facility Rate (Dec) 14:15 EUR ECB Marginal Lending Facility 14:15 ...

ElGatoTrade Updated 

Time to take cover on long position. Thanks Giving is comming market will slow down and also closed. Use next 4-7 days to dig into fundamentals. Trade Balances Goverment Debt level Gov Bond Madurity Sessionality of EUR/USD movements CPI data Unemployment Stop loss - Depending on your risk appetite. To be continued Have fun

ElGatoTrade

The Euro, for instance, is not just a monetary unit; it's a symbol of European unity and integration, a testament to a continent's effort to transcend centuries of conflict and division. Delving into the Euro's journey—from its conceptual birth to its physical manifestation—reveals stories of political negotiations, economic upheavals, and the collective identity...

ElGatoTrade Updated 

I love Elon I love what the reached but, this insanenaty is just ridiculous. Tesla fundamentals are funny, more participants comming to to the market with good range,old names, new names, different styles and so on. Its crystalclear that the trend is down in a long term. (May sooner than we think)

ElGatoTrade Updated 

As of today, we've reached a really strong support area. The surge in US government bonds does not support the Euro surge, so we need to see relatively acceptable economic data from the Eurozone. The new game is who will return back to business as usual, although in this entirely new interest-rate and debt environment, nothing will be like in the last 12...

ElGatoTrade Updated 

PEACE AND LOVE . We are waiting for central banks.

ElGatoTrade

Circuit breaker level - Lets see. We are waiting for FED officials which is mostly not that interesting , but now they can wipe the market with few words - the opposite also works. Do not forget : Control the inflation means the FED wanna see huge lay-offs. _____________________________________________________________________________________ Longer view If...

ElGatoTrade Updated 

Its highly unlikely that Jumia ll survive the comming market downturn and the omicron affect together. Thus based on this the technikal and fundament arget seems to meet eachother. Price target $7

ElGatoTrade Updated 

Good morning to everyone and Happy New Year! As you can see we are investigating the USD/HUF. I strongly suggest you finish your short position on USD due to the fact that technically and also fundamentally we HUF went way ahead way too fast under the current circumstances. We are looking for the dollar will get stronger and we will retest the 400 levers...