ElGatoTrade

ElGatoTrade Updated 

Its your chance to start to short. expect 1% down. At least. Watch out for TVC:DE10Y since thats force behind.

ElGatoTrade

The approval and implementation of Germany's new infrastructure and defense spending plan involve several key steps, both political and administrative. Here’s an outline of the necessary steps: 1. Drafting and Proposal of the Plan The German government (typically led by the Chancellor and the Finance Ministry) drafts the detailed proposal, including budget...

ElGatoTrade Updated 

The technical formation is cristal clear. Look at the 4hr char. Fundamentals are not clear as the technicals, but smart money is posioned themself long ago and constantly buying reasonable dips, since its a probability game now. Is the Ukraine war will end in the comming months Yes: 60% Europe inflation is under control? Yes 80% ECB will cut on th next...

ElGatoTrade Updated 

The German elections went as expected, the next step is to form a viable coalition which is of course we'll have some ups and downs, but generally speaking I'm bullish on the euro for several reasons. First of all, the biggest treat that Donald Trump will impose some kind of tariffs on the European Union is high but also the impact is not as severe as we...

ElGatoTrade Updated 

As we are getting closer to February 1 which is the new deadline of the tariffs to Mexico and Canada(25%) everyone is, nervous whether he has a long or short position. Since we own you want to tweet or just a single word from Trump, and your position can get liquidated basically. As expected a Fed maintained the interest rate I do believe it's due to the fact...

ElGatoTrade Updated 

After some us survived the last few trading days we just heading to another crucial event. JOLTS opening - A survey done by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics to help measure job vacancies. It collects data from employers about their businesses' employment, job openings, recruitment, hires and separations. JOLTS defines Job Openings as all positions that are...

ElGatoTrade Updated 

The dxy technical challenge shows a possible uptrend which is can be confirmed by the data coming at 2:30- our suggestion is that the data will be positive for the US dollar since yesterday ATP no phone payroll came strong and it's going to be a strong indication. If the data confirms our logic, we expect another 0.40% positive appreciation of the dollar...

ElGatoTrade Updated 

It seems like the Euro USD is testing the trend line on a daily And also under 15 minutes. Option market is pointing to 1:05 But at the same time, the risk of I'm saying something about the European tariffs is raising minutes by minutes. Key resistance 1:0482-R1 1.4420-R2 1.0512-R3 Good until February 5...

ElGatoTrade Updated 

It's just amazing to see on different time frames how the price actions can be so confusing if we just looking one time frame. If you don't care with the fundamental data which is right now at this moment were the initial jobless claims, which to be honest doesn't really show us any surprise it's became neutral, its indicating that the ranging what we can see...

ElGatoTrade Updated 

As of today we are waiting for the US JOB-data. If somehow its will show a sudden spike in claims the EURO will get relieffed. 14:30 USD Continuing Jobless Claims 1,873K 14:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims 220K 217K www.investing.com I do not support Donald Trump since he's policy & politics is against Europe who's already in big trouble so...

ElGatoTrade Updated 

Minimum margin in % -5000% If less forget it. The base effect impact in the inflation will take places soon. Winter, Christmas.

ElGatoTrade

FX:EURUSD Please check out the related idea! On this week we have as always a few economic event which is giving us further hint about the direction of FX-Pair possible direction, whether is continuing its trend or its the wind is about to change its direction. Therefore this are the following events, you can fillter based on your interest, I will show...

ElGatoTrade

Thursday, October 10, 2024 14:30 USD Core CPI (MoM) (Sep) 0.2% 0.3% 14:30 USD CPI (YoY) (Sep) 2.3% 2.5% 14:30 USD CPI (MoM) (Sep) 0.1% 0.2% 14:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims 229K 225K 19:00 USD 30-Year Bond Auction 4.015% In case there is no negative surprise in the US data I do believe that this is the most realistic scenario. ...

ElGatoTrade Updated 

14:15 EUR Deposit Facility Rate (Sep) 3.50% 3.50% 3.75% 14:15 EUR ECB Marginal Lending Facility 3.90% 4.50% 14:15 EUR ECB Interest Rate Decision (Sep) 3.65% 3.65% 4.25% At the same time we got US economic data which is in my readings leaning towards that FED will cut only by 0,25 bps. 14:30 USD Continuing Jobless...

ElGatoTrade Updated 

Tomorrow 04/25 14:30 USD Continuing Jobless Claims 1,810K 1,812K 14:30 USD GDP (QoQ) (Q1) 2.5% 3.4% 14:30 USD GDP Price Index (QoQ) (Q1) 3.0% 1.7% 14:30 USD Goods Trade Balance (Mar) -91.10B -91.84B 14:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims 214K 212K In case of the above mentioned data signaling no cool-down in the inflation pressure I...

ElGatoTrade Updated 

Economic calendar as of 11/07/2024 ( GMT +2:00 Budapest) (LEFT to RIGHT ) Actual(?) Forecast Previous 14:30 USD Continuing Jobless Claims 1,860K 1,858K 14:30 USD Core CPI (MoM) (Jun) 0.2% 0.2% 14:30 USD Core CPI (YoY) (Jun) 3.4% 3.4% 14:30 USD CPI (MoM) (Jun) 0.1% 0.0% 14:30 USD CPI...

ElGatoTrade Updated 

The dollar edged higher on Thursday, hoisted by wider interest-rate differentials as other major economies start cutting rates ahead of the U.S. and parts of Europe face political turmoil. The dollar index DXY, which tracks the currency against six peers, was last up 0.2% at 105.45 after a volatile 10 days marked by mixed signals from the U.S. economy, while...

ElGatoTrade Updated 

Altough I made huge mistake underestimate the market makers games, still holding my short. Todaz data could not be hack :P Take care