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PremiumJuly 29 Gold Analysis 🔥 1. Current Market Structure: A Deep Game of Bulls and Bears Current Gold Price: Surging around $3,325/oz, at the intersection of the early July rising trend line and the key support zone ($3,310-3,325). Core Conflicts: Short-selling Suppression: The US-EU trade agreement (EU increased its holdings of US goods by $1.3 trillion) stimulates...
7.28 Gold Analysis 📉 1. Daily Market Overview Gold opened low at 3322 due to the impact of the 15% unified tariff agreement reached between the United States and Europe, but quickly rebounded to around 3340 US dollars, indicating a fierce game between long and short positions. After a three-day plunge of nearly 130 US dollars, the short-term potential was...
7.25 Gold Analysis I. Market Trend Review Yesterday, gold showed a trend of rising and falling: After a slight rebound at the opening of the Asian session, it continued to be under pressure, and $3386 became the all-day high; The European session continued to fall, and the short-selling momentum was gradually released; The US session bottomed out and rebounded,...
7.24 Gold Market Analysis Currently, gold has fallen back after rising, plummeting by $44.50 in a single day, a drop of 1.30%. The daily K-line of gold price closed with a long negative line and completely swallowed up the previous day's gains, indicating that the short-term attempt to challenge the high of $3,450 failed. Intraday, the gold price fell below the...
7.21 Gold Analysis Gold continued the trend of last Friday, briefly dropping to $3,345 in the morning before rebounding. Last Thursday, the gold price accurately touched the trend support line of $3,309 and started a V-shaped reversal. On Friday, it reached a high of $3,361, and technical buying continued to exert force. Analysis of key technical patterns I....
7.18 Gold Analysis Perspective of Long and Short Powers ▶ The core of short-selling suppression The resilience of the US economy is highlighted: both consumer data and the job market are improving, strengthening the Fed's position of maintaining high interest rates, and the continued strength of the US dollar directly suppresses gold; Hawkish policy expectations:...
7.17 Gold Market Analysis Intraday Market and Dominant Factors: Today, the gold price fluctuated in a narrow range around $3,330/ounce. The overall trend continued to be under pressure, and technically it was constrained by the middle track of the Bollinger Band (currently about $3,344.82), showing a fluctuating and weak pattern. Analysis of core long and short...
7.16 Gold Analysis 🔥 1. Inflation stickiness becomes the biggest shackle for gold The latest CPI data reveals that inflation has fallen: Overall CPI exceeded expectations: CPI annual rate in June rose to 2.7% (higher than the previous value of 2.4% and the expected 2.6%), and the monthly rate increased by 0.3%, a five-month high; Core inflation is more stubborn:...
7.15 Gold Market Analysis Driving Factor Analysis 1. Safe-haven demand: the bottoming force of policy risks and geopolitical games Trade frictions escalate: Trump announced that tariffs will be imposed on the EU and Mexico from August 1. The EU has prepared a 21 billion euro counter-list, but the opening of the "negotiation window" has weakened the...
7.14 Gold Analysis I. Market Review and Current Situation: Last week, the trend of gold showed a bottoming-out and rebounding pattern. Affected by the fluctuation of market sentiment at the beginning of the week, the price of gold once broke through the important psychological barrier of $3,300. However, as the market gradually digested the threat of radical...
7.11 Gold Analysis At present, the long and short forces are in a tug-of-war between three key factors: 1. Expectations of Fed rate cuts (core support) Latest developments: Fed Governor Waller strongly called for a rate cut in July, but the market expects a rate cut in September with a probability of over 70% (CME data). The chairman of the San Francisco Fed...
7.10 Gold Analysis I. Fundamentals (1). Escalating trade frictions boost safe-haven demand: On July 9, the Trump administration imposed tariffs (20%-30%) on six countries including the Philippines and Brunei, and announced a 50% tariff on copper imports from August 1, sparking concerns about the global supply chain. The EU is accelerating negotiations with the US...