FRED-RABEMAN

FRED-RABEMAN

Shaikh 2016 writes "Gold is the currency of last resort for the international system" & shows that each time since 1840 the commodity price (CPI, PPI) sinks against Gold, there is a crisis. We are there. My guess is that the international monetary system will be in crisis.

FRED-RABEMAN

An impeccable channel suggests that USDHUF is likely to bounce from oversold condition and gets back above 430

FRED-RABEMAN

A triple top has formed at 19 When USDZAR falls below 17, ZAR is definitely bullish

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A bearish wedge has formed. The bullish trend is exhausted. CHFJPY is likely to pull back down to 176

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Let us look at the comparative behavior of USDEUR, USDGBP and USDSEK. Both USDSEK and USDGBP suggest that the Dollar has hit a through against European currencies. The lines are creeping higher, so USDEUR is lagging. Strategy : Sell EURUSD as long as USDSEK rises

FRED-RABEMAN Updated 

A simple Fibonacci projection seems to show that EURUSD might reach the 1,618 mark at around 1.1955 A 5 Wave pattern is also clear

FRED-RABEMAN

I believe that the spread between the 2 major beer firms TAP / BUD will increase 28% from currently 68.89 to 88.18 It might take a few months I am ready to buy more in the case it falls down to 57.28 in which case my exit will be 73.32

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As seen on the chart, a TD COMBO (TomDeMark) SELL has been completed at the close on Friday 16th May This means a higher probability of a sell zone above that close. The support is the TDST line. If broken SPX would plunge further.

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STRONG SELL until November 2025 First Target : $52 Second Target : $43 Under the screening of 100 Weeks Bollinger Bands, Oil is in the same situation as in 1986, 1993, 1998, 2014 and 2020 Since there is talk of a glut " Strong production growth expected to increase global oil glut in 2025, 2026" Bloomberg 11/02/2025, the target could be as low as $32 (High 2022...

04:58

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Here is an option strategy with the help of 4 indicators Commodity Channel Index Distance to Upper and Lower Bollinger Band DMI Parabolic First I look at the emergence of a trend change through the Parabolic Then I look at the 3 other measure of strengths Most of the time selling naked works . I am expecting my DMI indicator to move into green. Then by next...

02:33

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Here I have a screening with simple criteria on a 4H basis. Today there were many coins on the upside. I took 5 of them and for each allot 3,233,499 USD with a 1:100 margin therefore 32,335 USD required margin for each. That gives the following position...

FRED-RABEMAN

As seen last Fall 23 and Spring 24, there is the case that the MOVE index has peaked and is reversing . Thus the bottom for ZB and other rates (ZF, ZN) and TLT is in sight. We consider a buying opportunity

FRED-RABEMAN

Given NATO admonition to political leaders to prepare for possible confrontation with Russia in 5 years and the deterioration of the situation in Ukraine, the EU has decided a massive plan of arm production where states are the customers of defense companies. defence-industry-space.ec.europa.eu The SIPRI Arms Industry Database lists all major producers...

FRED-RABEMAN

Recent bullish action in Bitcoin has crashed the spread between these 2 bitcoin stocks. We see a opportunity to be long the spread for a 19% gain

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It is time to consider being LONG Gold Miners / SHORT Gold. The chart speaks for itself. The ratio is not at absolute low however below the low of 2008 and within the low area There is a 4 years cycle 2008-12-16-20-24 alternating low and high. Final low is expected this year. After which the ratio will rise up until 2028. Should 24 be challenged (supported...

FRED-RABEMAN Updated 

The stock has traded within a very narrow range for 9 weeks. Neutral view: This alone supports the idea of initiating a straddle with a 6 months view (August) with strike 205 BUY BURL August205 C & BURL August205 P and close the trade when the stock reaches above 240 or below 160 Long view As shown by the CCI 21w, the outlook is bullish. The CCI could...

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EU Banks are rising. This can be seen in the Eurostoxx 600 Banks Index : BLK Healthier banks indicate that the tensions over the Eurozone are waning. This is positive for EURCHF Our chart shows a large bullish divergence (dark black line rising against EURCHF). This means that the downtrend has exhausted. The CCI is rising. The 200 days moving average is...

FRED-RABEMAN

According to Tom McClellan, Oil follows Gold with a 18-20 months and so he forecasts a low for May 2024. Gavekal IS Research has formally uncovered this lag though without issuing a strategic forecast. The logic is that Gold "stores" the future price of energy It is very easy to see that a 5 Wave pattern has occurred and is currently being followed by a...