resumes frm 18), fkli-feb dropped down to slightly lower than the expected 1575, reaching low at 1572(1571.5 precisely), THEN a rebound on FRiday! A classic false breakout to the downside. A reversal is said to be formed when the price broke abv the previous lower-high at 1583 (the red marker) and closed at 1589.5 on FRiday, 21st Feb25. Now, bull is in charge. ...
update frm 19), Fcpo-May will continue next MOnday, 24-28th Feb 2025, the last week in month of February. What happened last week was fcpo-May made what seemed like a false breakout, 4700-4720, then quickly went down. The range of 4634-4700 is important for bull to stay afloat. Price breaking below 4634 indicates the possible reversal of trend. Price within...
update frm 16), price frm fcpo-apr has come to an end. Fcpo-May will appear next MOnday, 17-21st Feb 2025. What happened last week was unpredicted. Price gapped up to 4640-4700 then sank lower to the 4630-4650 range. The next day, it gapped down 30pts to 4620 and fell to 4540, then rebound back to 4630... IF the market is aggressive drop, THEN it will hit the...
resumes frm 17), the latest high has broken above previous high of 1590 and creates higher-high at 1600-1605. Basically, bull is still IN CONTROL but a possible "head" has been formed. At the end of the week, price falls at 1592.5. Bull still maintains till 1575 closest higher-low is broken. This could be a mere consolidation phase of a bull or a reversal... IF...
resumes frm 14), the previous Lower-high 1564 has been broken. NOw, fkli-feb has been creating more and more higher-low and higher-high till now, reaching 1590. IF the market is aggressive, THEN it will hit 1600-1613 and probably hit higher. IF the market is slow-ish, THEN watch out 1583-1588 support, where it is playing tug-of-war with bear. IF the market...
update frm 15), price frm fcpo-apr has resumed to break to higher-high, above the previous 4400-4420, making the uptrend continues higher at 4600 now (close to). Previous resistance is now the support level, which is 4500-4540. The overhead resistance ranges frm 4630-4650. IF the market is aggressive(since fcpo-apr ends this week), THEN it will hit the 4630-4650...
update frm 13), price frm fcpo-apr has broken abv the previous HL, 4280 on 28th and 31st Jan 2025. Again, I have missed some really exciting moves bcox of my absence in holiday. Price might move back to 4300-4330 or even 4280 IF it is a deep retracement, form some kinda base thr and rebound. price could oso gap up further around 4420-4480 as bull pushes further,...
Fkli-feb has shown a possible reversal, creating a higher-low tdy. price to watch out is at 1564, the previous Lower-High, before descending further into the previous support level...1540...that was the lowest point set (around that level) on 17th Jan 2025, forming double bottom in daily chart. IF this price 1564 is broken to the upside, THEN we have a...
As I continue frm the previous 11), I quoted that fcpo might test the 4280 soon. Well, this wasn't the case for last week, 20-24th Jan 2025. fcpo was trading within the range frm 4135 - 4280. Although price had fallen frm 21-23rd Jan, market has rebounded in the last minute, which was on the Friday, 24th...so it is possible that a reversal has happened. Price...
Thing is not looking gud for my last week paper trading in fkli as a "downtrend channel" is formed (red color "bridge" heading downside). The immediate support is at right now, 1560. Price needs to test immediate resistance at 1570, and if it is successful, then it will go back to the recent high at 1585. Further above 1585 signals the recent uptrend continues or...
instead of super huge 4280 yesterday, I shall focus on what is happening now. price will fluctuate between 4170 -4200 and move higher to retest 4280 IF it is a real rebound. ...fcpo is a fast moving market, so before u know, it is ald testing higher and higher price at like 4400 and 4530... IF it is not a real rebound, THEN u will see price descend lower to 4100...
it is very obvious! nothing is wrong with the strategy. it is me. ok. long story short, I short fkli at 1546, SL 1552...and yes...it was stopped out...bcox market is heading for rebound...so wait for price to break abv 1570, then retraces back...see how... be patient...wait... PLS remember, I am not a guru and this is not a signal service provider. THIS is mere...
by the time I am writing this, fcpo-apr has slipped down further to 4140...fcpo has gone tru a 100pts gap down on the exchange date and another two more gaps after that. My bias, fcpo-apr is oversold! of course, my bias, not the market. I tried to long the market three times and all losers. down 40pts++. maybe I should have stopped as my plan. when it hits 10%...
I don't know what is the news but the market has broken way lower than my expected 1580 and are now in the next range of 1530-1550 region. I really have my own bias and I thought the market is oversold. That is the "counter-trend's bug" in my head. When I tried to short the market, there will be a voice in my head saying "it will rebound!" and making it worse is...
my earlier prediction that fcpo might go on strong bullish action has gone bad. three trades, two losses, one breakeven. now since I have hit the 10% drawdowns, I think I need to stop trading real ones and wait till Feb. let see how it goes. haiz. maybe I should set "stop-and-reverse" straight away. tmr is the last day of fcpo-march, at least break for one day...
- as a respond to the previous no 3), YES! I am reacting too fast and miss out on a big fall. That feeling was devastating. Just entering the second weeks of new year and I made a horrible mistake by cutting the profits short. These are indeed bad, winning trades. Repeat these actions more then I will end up "retiring" early this year. - next week, IF bear...
next week, 13-15th Jan 2025, is the last week of fcpo-march. fcpo-Apr will emerge on 16th Jan 2025. -IF the price retraces back to 4350-4375 region OR lower at 4300-4320 region before bouncing higher. This will probably end up as tug-of-war between bull and bear. THEN, it will probably end up as a sideway pattern... -OR a better bullish action is the price will...
2 trades, 2 loses ...I am on the right direction but got stopped out bcox too early entry...short fcpo last night at 4374 and got gapped up SL at 4395 in the early morning, lose 21pts and then re-entry too soon at 4376, SL 4386 was hit immediately, lost another 10pts... more frustrating is, fkli which I short at 1633 x2, were both gud winners but I took them out...