From 1982 to 1997 the market, I believe, was valuing BHP fairly giving a good base-line for long-term growth forecast and intrinsic value given that the fundamental story does not change. Well the fundamental story did change... crazy unsustainable rises in the price of iron ore (a classic bubble & subsequent bust). From a market cap stand point BHP is the...
Analysis on price behaviour for orange juice for the past 30 years shows a potential profit opportunity. Recommend only allocating a relatively small % of capital. For example you want to risk about $2000, open a short position with the worst case scenario of OJ going to ~215 resulting in draw-down of $2000. As history has shown, when OJ goes (rarely) to a...
