Classic evening star formation on the weekly chart for EURUSD. TP1 @ 38.2% retracement area. TP2 @ 61.8% retracement area. Given formation on longer time frame, Could take a few weeks to months to play out.
USDJPY has been consolidating around the range of 111 - 115 since the low in early feb 2016. MACD has however been pointing towards upward momentum on a break of the triangle. There do still exist a risk of a downside break beyond 111 given both BOJ policy and FOMC coming up next week. But 111 and subsequent support at 110 seem to be strong given that prices...
Gold has formed a reversal candle at the top of a downward channel with Friday's close. The divergence on MACD is getting more pronounced as indicated by the pink lines. Looking at a price target of about 1130 - 1150 to coincide with both 200 day Moving Average as well as Fibonacci Retracement 61.8% level. Since 2013, prices has fallen on average 9-11% from the...
Slight Divergence observed on Daily chart. Gold looking overbought, trading near downward channel from 2013. Should be seeing some unwinding of long positions on XAU in the next few weeks. Looking for at least a 9% drop back down to 200Day MA.
Minor resistance at 50 day moving average. Might see some open short interest pushing prices down back to 1860 or so given that current market conditions are ideal for volatility. If we are lucky, should be able to see an inverse H&S that should push price upwards over the 200 MA in the coming months once the market realize the over-reaction to economic activities...
The SPX has fallen to a 52 week low following concerns on the Chinese economy and oil glut that drove oil prices to record low. It appears that the SPX has found temporary support around 1820. The Index has previously on two other occasion (in October '14 and more recently August '15) failed to break past this level. Daily close candles points to a reversal of the...
With false breakout capped by 50 day moving average, we could see a break to the downside if the daily candle closes below current level. We could see a retracement back to support at 118.3xx
USDJPY consolidates after a strengthening in the yen following a risk off environment two weeks prior. Pennant forming might point to further strengthening of the yen in days to come. Looking out for breaks below the trend line for confirmation of direction.
ABCD Wave on the EURUSD, pullback to current level attractive for a short from around 1.12 region
Risk Reward justifies a potential SHORT TERM pullback from current low to about 1.09-1.10. Looking for a better short position to ride through the eventual rate hike. From a technical pov, if morning star forms EOD, we might be seeing a retracement/consolidation after the fall from 1.12 a week ago. With Greece's exit unlikely or at least on hold, attention is...
Current prices on the EURUSD pair trades above 1.13 in anticipation of Friday's NFP data. 200 day moving average at 1.18xx might be hit if NFP data disappoints. A string of weak data the last two months could see EURUSD floating higher. The downside pretty much remains attractive with QE ongoing in Europe.
After forming a morning star 2 weeks ago, upside potential still present though minimal. Potential sell set up between 50% fibo and 61.8% fibo retracement from Mar 16 low. Presence of 50 day moving average within the price range acts as additional area of resistance. Volatility expected in the coming days therefore chances of prices moving up to 1.10 might be a...
EURUSD gains capped by 200 period EMA on the 4H charts. Double top near 1.10500. If it plays out, could be the right place for a reversal towards monthly low. Volatile market conditions and uncertainty recommend against heavy trading. Trade safe, pips to all.
USDJPY trading within range. Consolidation before further upside. Downside should be capped by rising trendline at aroun 117.xx. If trend line is broken, 200 day moving average will be the next level of support. Longer term should see prices going higher as Fed begins to normalize rates. Till then, the channel is likely to hold so look for opportunity to enter...
Hanging man on the 1H chart may indicate a possible sign of exhaustion. If it plays out, we could see prices lower.
Short term USD weakness driven pullback on the EURUSD. potential area for retracement around 50% and 61.8% retracement level. Long term trend points toward further downside for this pair. Upside should be capped by 50-period moving average.