After this stock has dramatically fall into bear market, mega hyper run, I do not expect to fall more, not with all sport gambling industry potential, a lot of noise about Some hedge funds shorting the stock, but the truth is that small caps was decimated, sin september, this offer tremendous potencially, im long stop 25 easily could get back to $41-$51 levels...
%its is difficult to talk about controversial stocks like baba, but the fact is: during market bottons or tops there is a lot of speculation, that people for get about the real business or intrinsic value. baba is company that has 29 % revenue growth and will probably still growing, sometimes is better to buy the panic selling and just by patience 90% of traders...
im not a perma bear i really want america to prosper but seeing this what make me barf, im not angry because i missed the rally and losse money trying to be rational, i know, markets could be more irrational that i can stay solven. There is always risk involved, but now i confirm that stock market is a complete and absolutely fraud. why? first the political...
i Have waiting for these moment, clearly im amazed what micrsoft did these week with low volume, all these week after sever drop on monday, they push fang the first hour and long the carry trade agressively, so the rise first and then slow fall, but friday microsoft is exhausted, msft gain like 100 B In 3 days, looks bullish, but to me it looks like that the...
I have waiting for months to pop these fraud, in the last 5 months,market manipulation created by false optimizing about a possible trade deal, the level of stupidity of these fund managers and media is just amazing, just a week ago, CNCB publish that a trade deal was in the cards May first News at 2:00 pm so people by the dip, but i think these was all planned to...
My theory is very simply, hedged fund have aggressively short GlD, because they dont want the gold to pop and spooke the markets,wedged down waiting to breakout 1300, again, because of trade uncertain, no trade deal all bullshit market manipulation a long with the treasurys, just delaying the inevitable, Im long Gld, waiting for 1300 to breakout then buying...
im not a permabear or someone that try to predict something, but my thesis is simple ,In april 2000 occur the same thing market recover from april to august market recover, then on september first nasdaq started to fall to october 2002. look all similarities history tend to repeat itself because times are different but human emotions are the same thats why in all...
Looking for history the last time apple recover so quicly was in 2007 it recover for 4 months then start to droping like hell, the question what justify apple trading at these levels, all fang not only absurd overbought, RSI Of stocks are in the 80, like msft, dis, amzn fb, the question you have to ask is why now? we are in a bull market so quickly you see in the...
The past 5 months, this absurd rally so quicly often happens when fund managers and speculators want know they are near the cycle ends, watching nflx fundamentals, they expect nflx growth at the same level, 35% revenue last year but also their cost rise by 30%, trading 135 x P/E, When you have so much competitors now, including, Comcast,Warnerbros,HBO,...
So, if you look at XLF, Never fully recover since the financial crisis, so the big jump in Yields, since 2017 trump presidence is back where all rally started, the weird thing is that correlation bewteen yields, and bank stocks was right in dicember and these 5 month rally, in anticipation of earning is not price in, earning cuts, honestly did you know that banks,...
So, the last time apple run up like that was indeed in Sept, the thing is that these 2 week rally the volume is so low man, is like there is no risk at all, i think that everyone is short vix, and will cause an explosion, anytime im 99% sure thats is going to happen, because i have been in all corrections, and there is a global bubble right now, just look the...
It is pretty clear that in order to MSFT To sustain absurd level $120, the most expensive dow component right now, this stock is gonna flush like apple and facebook, all people are currently long msft that dont event let it drop to 20 SMA, You are nuts if you are not selling here, my theory is symple, these is the most overbought stock here, with volatility in 13,...
the market seens to be indestructible, but the thing is, market has not retest dic lows, like it dit in april 8 2018, that was real whats why markets did go to all time highs, when we have market correction in feb 1, tax cut new sell the news, now we have another story china deal but these news have already price in, the last time that i see market not let it fall...
I Have been watching apple stock since the rise to 1 trillion with a lot of speculation, down hard, but this time is different, apple has rise to fast to furious, What a shot that stocks become parabolic on march 7. just in january they anounce rare slow iphone sales and they are not even revelead how much units have sale, they have 15 % revenue decline in iphone...
Fang stocks are in a inflexion point, we are close to earnings, and this crazy buying frenzy in march, is because everyone is bullish, and the reality is that low volume trades end badly. last week looks like some of the fangs, cant break important levels without earnings, i have to admit this looks like huge manipulation, the scary thing is that all people are...
If you compare this bubble when they keep short vix until implode, stock market has go parabolic since march 7 Using fang names like apple Amazon, fb, and my favorite bubble is microsoft, the vix is so low, and never im my entire life as a trade have seen non correlated yields with the stock market. and earnings not even release market keep ignoring data, just...
On december, i said that gold, could rally under the theory that there is a lot of uncertain in the world, for the first time, the inversion of the yield curve happen on friday, if you look this look in the channel, they coudnt break support $121.00, I expect GLD Tobe above $125, in the next weeks, for get about the dollar, if you notice people have being...
Sooner o later bubbles burst, MSFT is an amazing company but know is just being manipulated to the upside for the absent of volatility and complacency of the market, the last earning quarter for MSFT Was not that great,azzure revenue was flat overrall revenue 12% YOY but actuallly missed estimates, the thing is im worried is valuation 27x His earnings at low...