KenzoYagai

KenzoYagai

I like see optimism before capitulation. As crazy as it sounded by the end of 2023, I thought, the death of U.S. Dollar might come in 2026. Now, I'm afraid, it might be sooner than that as Trump continues to beat all expectations.

KenzoYagai

To complement the earlier publish idea, I'm hereby adding another scenario as I'd feel dissatisfied with several candles being displaced. Both tell the same story as I'm fundamentally remain bearish over a prolonged period of time. I expect the things to get moving as soon as mid May for a major move. This year's summer time might hit different.

KenzoYagai

I felt like I wanted to post something positive amid the madness, although I remain bearish on SPX and USD since the beginning of 2024 - as my past predictions suggest. So far, the greatest businessman and dealmaker, Donald Trump has successfully outperformed on the time line most of the expectations that I deemed possible in a real-world setting. If that...

KenzoYagai

This deserves a closer look.... The orange thug is going to destroy the biggest economy inevitably. Sadly, stock charts are just the beginning, and things will escalate fast. Brace for a world order change.

KenzoYagai

A rough idea how this could play till mid April. I do expect unusually disturbing readings on early-warning indexes and ISM since Trump inauguration to finally show up in metrics such as unemployment and CPI. This could weight strongly on the US Dollar. If basic axioms hold true, we're about to witness a major change in perception on the global reserve currency.

KenzoYagai Updated 

A rough idea how this could play till mid April. I do expect unusually disturbing readings on early-warning indexes and ISM since Trump inauguration to finally show up in metrics such as unemployment and CPI. This could weight strongly on the US Dollar. If basic axioms hold true, we're about to witness a major change in perception on the global reserve currency.

KenzoYagai

With major financial institutions expecting the gold price to sear up to 3,100 - 3,200 USD per 1 oz., I personally think that is a very optimistic scenario. Considering both geopolitical and economical factors that are looming ahead, the most likely nearest stop seems to be around 3,600-3,800 USD / oz. As the investors brace for volatile and uncertain times.

KenzoYagai

This has been an unusually disturbing prediction that I have ever made, and yet so long expected. It's also probably for the first time, I do it on a weekly chart! The huge question mark here, is how FED will react to stagflation turning into a recession, and to recession with a looming threat to progress further. At some point, they might be tempted to act with...

KenzoYagai

The U.S. dollar experienced heightened volatility on the day of Donald Trump’s hypothetical inauguration for a second term as president, reflecting market uncertainty around his policy agenda. Below is an analysis of potential drivers for the dollar’s trajectory, incorporating short-term dynamics and longer-term risks: --- 1. Tariffs, Inflation, and the Fed’s...

KenzoYagai

After reaching 1.61 Fibbo., I do expect a correction towards 2,800 AUX/USD, and in March upward trend over 3,000 AUX/USD.

KenzoYagai

Buying opportunities for BTC during the first part of the year.

KenzoYagai

As we all know, soft landings are incredibly hard to achieve... And all it takes through the journey, is one small stone that will start an avalanche. Based on a series of early indicators, it is a well possible scenario for the inflation, to finally show up again in March - which might lead data-dependent FED to quickly adjust its stance on monetary policy. The...

KenzoYagai

With ISM on record highs and Trump in the office, FED won't likely cut rates on its meeting in January and might signal the possibility on increased rates if inflation raises again. That might send crypto markets into correction, and we might see market participants withdrawing from the equity to treasure or governmental bonds. Gold will continue to soar towards...

KenzoYagai

Dolorem Ipsum, dolor sit amet... everything is in the chart.

KenzoYagai

Publishing in retrospective about a week old analysis on minor movement and months-long on the major...

KenzoYagai

Slightly updated view. According to the technical analysis is above I expect now to confirm 0.382 Fib level around 40k before testing out the upper side of the triangle formation, eventually breaking the pattern to see a small pull-back around 60k, and then heading up towards 100k and 150k-300k (248k) target area by the end of the year.

KenzoYagai

According to the technical analysis is above, I expect one last dump to around 40k, a small pull-back around 60k, and then heading up towards 100k and 150k-300k target area with the most probable single PT around 250k by the end of the year.

KenzoYagai

As shown on the simple analysis above, we can expect to see numbers close 300k USD per BTC by the end of the year (2021)