The rally from $204.00 looks very strong and is part of primary wave 5 (black). The current pullback looks to be a simple zigzag that is testing the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $317.80. A deeper pullback will next test the 50% retracement level at $296.07. $204.00 does not look under threat so the bias is strongly bullish.
The decline from $88.77 looks to have completed its five-wave sequence. Primary wave 4 (black) unfolded as a triangle, and the decline to $47.73 could be all of primary wave 5. Primary waves 3 and 5, if the decline is complete, have created a double bottom reversal pattern. $47.73 is the key invalidation level for the bullish outlook.
Trade summary: The major correction from 43860 cps has seen the share price decline by 87.91%. The decline traced out a zigzag pattern and has potentially bottomed at 5301 cps, which is the key invalidation level. The bounce from 5301 can be labelled as a five-wave advance when looked at in the daily timeframe. Any retracement must hold above 5301 cps for the...
Trade summary: Wave 4 low @ 18576 cps is the key invalidation level to maintain the bullish outlook. MRP is in wave 5, which looks to be unfolding as an impulse pattern which is setting up for its 3rd wave advance.
See link below for previous analysis. Cashbuild has been trading in a falling wedge pattern for over two years but the April 2024 low could be significant. There are two technical reasons for optimism in Cashbuild: 1) Price looks to have broken out of the wedge pattern, though without much acceleration. 2) The MACD has been converging with price since October...
See link below for previous analysis. Price continued higher to peak at 24476 cps after the previous analysis. The strong sell-off broke below 15503 thereby invalidating the outlook. Reason for optimism though is that the key invalidation level of 14662 still holds. I am now looking at the large corrective structure as an expanded flat for wave 2. For this...
See link below for previous analysis. MTN did not take long to reverse aggressively after the previous analysis. The bounce from 7043 cps looks impulsive and has broken above an intermediate trendline with wave 5 of (C); I will get more conviction with a break above 9876 cps as that will confirm that wave 5 is complete in the context of the ending diagonal. The...
See link below for previous analysis SPG stock has traded back to the support zone of the large rectangle pattern that started forming back in September of 2021. Price has been consolidating in the 2400-3700 price range. Current momentum is still to the downside so it will be interesting to see what price does at this critical lower support zone. I will sit on...
See link below for previous analysis. The dip has kept on dipping since the last analysis and the invalidation level of 109 cps looks under threat. A break below 109 will prompt a fresh outlook of the bigger picture so now we wait and see what price does.
See link below for previous analysis. The advance from 4366 cps to the peak just below the all time is best labelled as a diagonal, but the big question is, is it a leading or ending diagonal? I am tentatively labelling the sell-off as a simple zigzag but the extent of the sell-off will provide clues. I am on the fence on this one.
See link below for previous analysis. Wave 3 has unfolded as a textbook five wave impulse. The correction from 10269 cps is for wave 4 and is still showing downside potential. My initial price range target for wave 4 is between 9000-8400 cps. The outlook is still bullish as wave 5 still needs to unfold. A deep sell-off below 7800 will invalidate this outlook.
See link below for previous analysis The break below 1756 cps has prompted an update of the wave count. A minor wave count adjustment shows wave 3 of (C) extended into five sub-waves and wave 5 is now currently unfolding and looks to break below the March 2020 low of 1537 cps. The momentum is still to the downside but wave (C), which began in January of 2023...
See link below for previous analysis. There is more clarity on the big bear from the 2021 all time high. The bear looks to be unfolding as a double zigzag (WXY). There is no sign of a reversal yet and 25000 cps looks a likely short-term target followed by the March 2020 low so I maintain the bearish stance.
See link below for previous analysis. There is a case to be made that the bounce from 11036 cps is a five wave impulse. The correction looks like a flat pattern which must hold above 11036 to keep the bullish outlook valid. A break above 15000 cps without first breaking below 11036 cps will add to my conviction that Sasol bulls are back. Bullish with a...
See link below for previous analysis. FBR stock has been in a downtrend since January 2022 but the are reasons for optimism. The downtrend is forming a falling wedge which has bullish reversal implications. The MACD is making higher lows giving a bullish convergence signal. The key level to watch now is 4600 cps but i will stay neutral until price breaks out...
See link below for previous analysis. The double bottom target and new all time high of 685 cps has been reached and exceeded. Looking at the price structure from 283 cps, I am now viewing the advance as a five wave impulse that is currently in wave 3 of (5). A correction for wave 4 will set the scene for further advance in wave 5; in commodities and commodity...
First time coverage AECI stock has done very little except to consolidate since 2018. The consolidation is in a textbook contracting triangle which is very close to its apex; such triangles tend to breakout aggressively but one can never be certain in which direction. I will sit on my hands for now and let price lead the way.
See link below for previous analysis The wave structure has not changed but i have made a slight adjustment to the ending diagonal wave count to cater for more upside potential seeing that the MACD has broken above the divergence trendline. Ending Diagonals can reverse aggressively so again, lock in profit if you are already in or let this one go if not in already.