This is more of a short-term play. The advance for wave(i) is a leading diagonal. Price has broken above a resistance level in the 800-810 range and the price action looks impulsive which is consistent with wave(iii) action. As long as price holds above 656, any pullback will present good buying opportunity.
Montauk had a good run since listing on the JSE in January 2021. Since hitting an all time high at 36200, the share has lost almost 53% and could present good buying opportunity at current levels. The technical structure is still unclear though there are early indications that the selling pressure is waning. The MACD is moving strongly upwards towards the zero...
Life Healthcare stock peaked way back in 2014 around 4400 and has endured one the longest bear trends on the JSE. The hospital sector did not catch tailwinds in the post covid-19 crash everything rally. The share did catch a bid between December 2020 to June 2021 rallying from 1500 to 2820, though i must add cautiously, this rally looks to have unfolded in three...
Cashbuild is still trading far from its all time highs of 2018. The post-covid-19 crash rally from 7000 to 34599 unfolded in five waves and the correction has been prolonged but contained within a descending channel. Technically, this calls for further upside and price is currently hovering above the golden ratio 61,8% retracement level. The fundamental picture...
PAN released a trading statement today for the six months ended 31 December 2022. HEPS and EPS are expected to decrease between 31% and 41%. The decreases in EPS and HEPS for the Current Reporting Period, relative to the Corresponding Reporting Period, are largely as a result of an 19.2% decrease in gold revenue to US$156.5 million (2021: US$193.6 million),...
BAT released its annual results for FYE 31.12.2022 yesterday. There are some highlights and I recommend investors and traders read for themselves. Seeing that the share traded lower on the news, it can be concluded that Mr. Market is not that excited. Looking at BAT from an Elliott Wave perspective, it looks like the share price is going nowhere excruciatingly...
I last covered SAPPI in November 2022. The bullish medium-term outlook is still intact as price is not threatening the 1720 zac level. On the cautious side, the decline from 6348 to 3937 could be the first leg of a bigger three wave flat pattern. The rally from 3937 to 5835 is either wave 1 of a new bullish impulse wave or wave (a) of wave ((b)) of a flat pattern...
I probably do more grocery shopping at PnP than at any other store but it is one food share I avoid at all cost for investing. The share price performance over the last five or so years has been underwhelming and continues to do so. The company released a trading update for the 43 weeks ended 25 December 2022 today and despite improvements in sales, Mr Market did...
Sasol released a trading statement for the six months ended 31 December 2022 yesterday. The statement was indeed a mixed bag of expected results which the market did not take kindly to. The share gapped lower at the open and bottomed at 27801 zac. Whether the market over-reacted or not is not a debate I get involved in. On the positive side, the expected results...
Bidcorp stock has been underwhelming since listing, generally moving sideways in choppy fashion and as a result has not been in my watchlist, until now. From September 2022, the share price started to rally in an impulsive manner and on the 1st of February 2023 released a positive trading statement expecting HEPS and EPS to increase between 43% to 49%. The market...
Shoprite released a very good Operational update for the six months ended 1 January 2023 yesterday, a must read for anyone looking to trade or invest in this stock. As pleasing as this update was, a look at the charts shows a couple of red flags one must be cognizant of. The Elliot Wave structure suggests that the stock is trading in wave (5) and so far looks to...
Harmony released a SENS update this morning. Salient notes: Total gold production for the six-month period ended 31 December 2022 (“H1FY23”) was between 720 000 oz (22 394kg) and 745 000 oz (23 171kg). In line with guidance, all-in-sustaining costs (“AISC”) for H1FY23 was below R900 000/kg. Despite the ongoing electricity shortages and supply chain disruptions,...
BLUE had a strong sell-off in August 2022 from the peak of 750 zac. The decline to 435 zac unfolded in a clear five wave impulse pattern. What is uncertain is whether this sell-off is wave A, implying further downside, or wave C, implying 435 zac is a significant bottom. What matters in the short-term is after a five wave sell-off, as a minimum, price should...
Lewis released a trading update for the nine months to December 2022 last Friday and the key takeaways were: 1.Widespread inflationary pressures, rising interest rates and record high unemployment levels curtailed consumer spending. 2.Retail trading patterns were significantly disrupted by electricity load shedding, particularly over the festive season. 3.Credit...
**Changed from RMI to OUT from 07/12/2022. The group released its first trading update as OUT for the six months ended 31/12/2022 and it is a must read for anyone looking at OUT as an investment or trade. The technical outlook though contains a warning that a long overdue correction is imminent. The share has enjoyed a stellar run, gaining over 290% from the...
AVI recently released a trading statement for the six months ended 31 December 2022. The report was sobering at best and highlight various challenges the group is facing. Key takeaways from the report: Load shedding impact: back-up power added R22m to direct operating costs. Currency/commodity volatility, high fossil fuel prices led to higher input costs. Rising...
If "I want to move sideways" was a stock, it would be MCG as that is what it has done pretty much since its unbundling and new listing. From the March 2020 low, the stock took off in classic Elliott Wave fashion. After an impulsive wave 1, wave 2 formed a rare running flat which tends to be a precursor for a strong wave 3. Wave 3 did not disappoint as it was very...
Since peaking at an all time high of 3475 zac in 2015, MTM stock has been in a bear market that made a low in October 2020 at 1282 zac for a 63% decline in value. The bear market has characterized by a classic sequence of lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL). The 1386 low in mid 2022 gives hope that this trend has been bucked and a trend change is on the...