Ludwig_Von_Mises

Ludwig_Von_Mises

Trend is intact measured by volatility and registering an extreme oversold condition at the edge of the trend. Heighted fear and uncertainty can result in some very handsome buying opportunities....

Ludwig_Von_Mises Updated 

The electrification of America and the world is going to require huge amounts of copper. New all-time highs should be expected. Copper resources are likely going to become highly valued throughout this decade as more and more copper is needed to overhaul the energy and infrastructure grid.

Ludwig_Von_Mises Updated 

Natural Gas has already been bullish over a trend duration (3 months or more) as it recovered from the Covid Global Deflation. Now Natural Gas is quietly setting up for a bullish TAIL Breakout, i.e. the start of the next bull market in energy and commodities. To call the next commodity supercycle is a little early but we can see several factors hinting at that...

Ludwig_Von_Mises Updated 

This is not my idea or research. This is an idea from one of my favorite analysts, Brian McGough, who is a retail director at Hedgeye Risk Management. He said GME GameStop was a potential 10-bagger when it was at $20 late last year, and he's recently said he thinks PlayBoy is a 10-bagger (from ~$20). The general thesis is that the old management is gone and new...

Ludwig_Von_Mises

Just sharing a series of investing ideas that interest me. This is not investment advice or licensed research. CX has moved quite a bit off of its cycle low but still maintains quite a bit of upside, I think it has multi-bagger potential. Incoming Infrastructure stimulus will be between $4 and $10 trillion just in 2021 alone.

Ludwig_Von_Mises Updated 

I want to apologize for my lack of activity the past few months. A lot has changed in the markets and a lot has evolved in my approach to reading and navigating the markets. When it comes to my process, I have added the use of multiple lenses beginning first with a fundamental macro overlay called the GIP (Growth, Inflation, Policy) Quad Model, which give us 4...

Ludwig_Von_Mises Updated 

Notice the major multi-year higher low formed in 2019, followed by the rounding basing pattern and subsequent breakout outside of the multi-year triangle. The higher low in 2019, before the Covid deflation crash, tells me the agriculture complex was already bottoming ahead of Covid and now has a full head of steam. Corn, Soybeans, Sugar, Fertilizer have all...

Ludwig_Von_Mises

We're already in the midst of record runs in the equity and commodity markets but as bubbly as it seems, its not over. We are in an environment that not many people are familiar with. The last time Growth and Inflation on a global scale were accelerating as fast as they are now was immediately after World War 2. Previous commodity cycles were sparked by 1 or 2...

Ludwig_Von_Mises

Contrary to opinion of virtue signalers, lots of coal is required for the production of electricity, solar panels, and electric vehicles. Coal didn't go away, we just outsourced it to China, which consumes 50% of the world's coal. This is just a simple mean-reversion play. It's one of the few commodities still near their 2020 crash lows and has healthy upside in...

Ludwig_Von_Mises

Uranium is in the early stages of building a bullish regime of volatility over a Tail duration. It currently already has that over a trend duration. You need to be taking full advantage of dips in this environment. Buy the damn dip.

Ludwig_Von_Mises

ETFs to play the agriculture sector. VEGI MOO DBA JJA TAGS COW VEGI has a 0.39% exp ratio and 1.65% dividend

Ludwig_Von_Mises Updated 

One of the only potash producers listed on a US exchange. Has been left for dead for over a decade. Intrepid Potash $IPI has returned 150% since the day of the election 11/3. I am a buyer on weakness and pullbacks. If the inflation cycle really does heat up over the next few months, $IPI could make a move to $100 in 2021.

Ludwig_Von_Mises

The Entire Agriculture Complex is in the process of breaking out, and not just breaking out, but breaking out of a 12-year old downtrend. I will be posting more charts showing the developing bull market in ag and other commodities, and how I'm expressing that outlook in the portfolio. In terms of the macro inflation cycle, I think we are somewhere similar to...

Ludwig_Von_Mises Updated 

OJ1 Oranges have been building a higher low since spring of 2019 and completed the higher low in the Feb. 2020 crash. With broad commodities CRB having formed a long-term cycle low in the 1Q2020 and the global economy already heating up and many commodities already breaking out of their multi-year downtrends (Uranium, industrial metals, agriculture), it has...

Ludwig_Von_Mises

I couldn't find any ETFs for oranges, I don't think one exists. In instances like this you have to get creative. In one of my value scanners, I found a citrus company $LMNR Limoniera. International citrus producer. I've been long this stock since it the mid-$14s. If the thesis on commodities, oranges, and global reflation turns out to be even somewhat correct,...

Ludwig_Von_Mises

I prefer to look at and use logarithmic charts because they're less dramatic but included the regular one for comparison. DYDD. The targets I put on the chart are conservative. Conceivably a $3 to $5+ stock. In the medium and long-run I think it makes new all-time highs. Technical Analysis doesn't have to be fancy.

Ludwig_Von_Mises

Silver technicals and structure has an intact bullish makeup The long-term analysis shows that silver has cleared all major resistance and should follow gold to a new all-time high within the next 6-12 months, possibly much faster. The macro fundamentals are supremely bullish: Negative interest rates and the beginning of a global currency war/easing...

Ludwig_Von_Mises

Massive volume coming causing a technical breakout. Currently consolidating at support. I hope you are long metals and mining. Should have been a core portfolio position for awhile now.