MAGICMARK

MAGICMARK

OK, I've been reading up a little, trying to make sense of the downtrend since Dec 2017, as well as the recent rally. I admit I sold out to early, getting excited about 40% profits, and thinking a reverse is around the corner. I guess it's better to be safe than sorry, but I could have made another 30% on some alts ... oh well, no point looking in the rear view...

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Here we have it guys, as predicted, we have touched that important green trend line (within a few $). So it's D Day, kind of. Remember, if you're a whale and want to short ... what's the best option now? Probably a fake bull over that line by a few $100, get everyone long, and then short it to pieces. The squeeze will liquidate many and send it back to the...

MAGICMARK

Well folks, not too much change on my chart, just a few updates. No doubt the alts are getting some action while BTC is confused. Seems that the whales are fighting. One dumps, one buys. Or maybe this confusion is what they want? Where are we going whales? 8500 is something I'll watch closely. A break out from here is a bullish indicator ... but I also don't...

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We're coming up to an important resistance level, all time high trend line 1, and a fib is also converging there. Interesting zone is the 8500 to 8700 level, and breaking this could mean a run up to test the previous high of 9177 (call it 9200). A safer long at 8800 though (although there's no guarantees as you already know), but 9200 could be the turning point,...

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So in the past few weeks, a couple of people have questioned whether this is a grand impulse wave down, annoyed by the fact that wave 4 would have to go into wave 1 territory. I've updated my chart to show an ABC correction after an impulse up to 19.9k. The outcome that is applicable over the next few weeks doesn't change much, as I have been saying. In an ABC...

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Well, well, well .... just as I gave up on wave 4, here we are. At this point we've reached the all time high trend line and we are hitting a key Fib. Are we all wrong (oh yes, many have changed their tunes now after calling a 4k, 3k, 2k, 1k bottom). Wall street always wins, remember that. They want your money, so they do what's worst for you. Short you say, stay...

MAGICMARK

Well, interesting and confusing movements from BTC. Is this a grand setup for a bull trap, which will set off the final decent to sub 6k levels, or has grand wave 5 ended, and the confusion as sign that BTC has reached bottom, and a market reversal is fueling up? Scenario B assumes we are now forming wave 4, and the bull trap is being set. It was clear that...

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Guys, I've decided to put Scenario B back on the table. Zooming into the data, I see we could be in wave B of a ABC correction. Others think this is about to turn into an extended wave 5, which is also possible. So it's possible that mini wave 4 is not complete. So to recap: SCENARIO A - assumes we are still in mini wave 3, and the rally of yesterday is just...

MAGICMARK

Hello gang. So a quick update. I think that drop has invalidated Scenario B, which took wave 4 to the All-Time-High Trend line 2. In the least, it's definitely hurt the probability of it going there. I've removed it from the graph, to simplify the TA. The scenario I've shown here are Scenario A ... this assumes that we are still in mini wave 3 of an impulse wave...

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Just a quick updated guys. I'm plotting 3 scenarios: - Scenario A - WE ARE STILL IN WAVE 3. See points 3a, 4a, 5a (see continuation of pink mini-wave). This assumes we have not completed wave 3 and the current run up is just noise. This targets a 6k double bottom test to complete wave 3, up for wave 4, and then down for wave 5 to complete the mini-impulse wave...

MAGICMARK

Hello all, so just some polishing up of the graph. I've slightly adjusted the 6m trend line and that fits better with the bounce off the 6400(ish) level. It's possible we have started wave 4 (see the path to point 4b, dark purple line). Could stop at 7200, but 7800 also is possible, if we allow Elliot wave principle to be broken. Who knows with potential market...

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After a good discussion on the Chart-Attack group (Telegram), thanks to one member Urban V, I'm more convinced of the above possibilities. What we have in this chart is Grand Wave (impulse) shown in red. In pink is the mini-wave which is forming wave 5 of the grand wave. The pink is scenario A, and you will see a possibility off that in a dark purple, which is...

MAGICMARK Updated 

Well, since publishing my last idea, we have confirmation ... we are not in a triangle wave. This has simplified things, and it is likely we are in wave 5 ... the final, darkest hour for BTC. Of course everyone is asking, where is the bottom. I've read 6k, 4k, 3k, and even 1k in the blogs. Could any of these be discarded? NO! Why? Because it is BTC, and there are...

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Patterns, we look for them all the time, to give us a hint at the future! Friends, I know this chart is busy, and I was in two minds about publishing it, but read it closely and you will get what I'm saying. There's a school of thought that we are currently in Grand Wave 5 (see red impulse wave), and this is the basis of my first idea published "Fork in the...

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Well, I've had a change of heart ... perhaps, maybe we might not see a double bottom. Please don't get me wrong ... it's still on the cards, but a new pattern could be emerging. Maybe there's a different way to interpret what has happened with BTC in the past 3 months, and that interpretation does lead to a different opinion of what could happen in the weeks to...

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Just an update guys, on the Fork in the Road. I've cleaned up the chart a bit, and added labels to help everyone read this easier. I was confident BTC 3.50%would try and test the bottom of the one year trend line (log), and gave up on that yesterday ... should not have. Patience is key! Also I've adjusted the slopes of wave 4 and 5 to be a bit shallower than 2 and...

MAGICMARK

Just an update guys, on the Fork in the Road. I've cleaned up the chart a bit, and added labels to help everyone read this easier. I was confident BTC 3.50%would try and test the bottom of the one year trend line (log), and gave up on that yesterday ... should not have. Patience is key! Also I've adjusted the slopes of wave 4 and 5 to be a bit shallower than 2 and...

MAGICMARK

Well after the bears crashed the party, some clean up is happening to day with a less than enthusiastic recovery. We do have a fork in the road though. Most, including myself, would think we are in wave 4 of an impulse down. But BTC has a mind of its own, and certainly the powers that be do not like us anticipating their next move. So one possibility is wave 4 is...