As we near the proposed timing from our last post (linked idea) for the end of month/early October for a continuation of the initial decline from all time highs, it would appear that the present structure that is forming is validating our timing view and chose to extend itself. Yesterdays post Fed meeting double whipsaw satisfied the minimum requirements for the...
Morning everyone. It has been a week or so since our last post, but there really hasn't been much to talk about as we range race and chop around in what could be the formation of a larger fourth wave triangle. The Cyan 4/a is likely the demarcation point for the correction as much over that and a shadow of doubt would be cast over whether or not there is another...
As pointed out in the linked update from the 1st of September, the 1900 and magenta (2) level was to be an important inflection point for a potential alternate bull count and up to this point it hasn't disappointed bouncing almost 60pts from there in less than two days. Going forward we are being mindful of the upper magenta channel rail and the fib symmetry...
At the end of last week we were looking for the decline to resume as we reached the proposed fourth wave target area and so far the market has cooperated quite nicely. Ideally we are looking for new lows below white 3 which would complete the cyan 3/C and could easily run into the 1700's. Although it is not our preferred count, there is some potential that the...
We are still currently bouncing around in fourth wave chop and looking for a deciding move back to new lows from this general vicinity or up to magenta 'or 3'. We are also excited to offer a webinar showcasing a couple of our analysis systems and would be honored to have anyone with interest or questions to attend. The specifics for time and access to the...
We are approaching fourth wave symmetry and if this is to be nothing more than a corrective wave then we should start to see some selling develop in the general vicinity of 1975 +/- The more bearish scenario was invalidated on the break of the highlighted crash channel. Strength through the 1980 region would bring the wave 4 scenario into question and likely see...
While we are cautiously optimistic that we've entered into a larger fourth wave, the magenta crash channel is still intact and doing a very good job of containing price action at present, so there is no reason to completely dismiss that this may be nothing more than a breather before another brutal leg down ensues. While we are expecting a continuation of...
We're still tracking the proposed Elliott Wave Flat and are still in the third wave of the decline which should not be stepped in front of on the long side. I can't emphasize this enough as an analyst and as a person with a conscience that realizes peoples futures are tied to markets. See the progression history via the related ideas links. We've got a couple...
Good morning Everyone. The last couple of days have been a wild ride with the massive whipsaw on the Fed minutes release and subsequent market selloff. The proposed Elliott Wave flat that we highlighted back on the August 4th (see link for related ideas) still continues to track exceptionally well. We've entered into the wave 3 portion of the decline as is...
Based off probabilities we are looking at some higher prices for today's session, but the magenta alternate count must be considered due to the .618 symmetry that was obtained with magenta wave a. Ideally we'd still like to see the 2110 area to complete wave white (2) before revisiting/exceeding the lows at 2052. Please review the links to the related ideas for...
Good morning everyone. We are coming into a window of weakness so we are looking to begin layering in some short positions. The ideal setup would have us revisit the 2110 area without exceeding grey 2/B. We're also still very aware of the potential double retrace of an extended fifth wave highlighted by the magenta channel. So we'll be conservative with the...
Although the SPX chart is a mess up at the top it is the NYSE that was the dead give away that there is going to be a sizeable correction to take place and this chart was the key to changing our posture on the markets to one of caution. We would also like to extend an invitation out to anyone interested for an open house at our site for five days to showcase our...
While the rally out of the short term lows seems impressive, it would appear to be nothing more than an expanded flat implying that new lows are coming below 2050. We've got an additional article for you today regarding our proprietary Hindenburg Omen that recently triggered and is still in effect, hence our current cautious posture. Good luck today and...
We have a decent trade setup for today as Wednesday is calling for a bounce and Thursday is projected to be the weakest day of the week. Ideally the 75-80 zone would be the entry area and we'd look for new lows below white wave (i) as a mimum target with the potential to run down to a 1.618 extension, or in this case, 2040. Stops for this trade would reside at...
There hasn't been much change in the outlook since last week, but the market has been doing a lot of racing without getting anywhere. We're still looking for a much larger correction to ensue as can be seen via the linked IT and LT charts, but with every larger move, they take time to develop which frustrates all participants and ultimately has them wrong footed...
Yesterday's price action invalidated our more bearish scenario but not in it's entirety. It does however make it the alternate count at present. The decline down from from magenta alt 2 does look impulsive so there is potential for another downside leg. Buyers at present do not want to see price drop below magenta b as that would imply new lows below 2064 would...
Yesterday's session and continuation through the evening produced a large megaphone who's function is to clean out stops on both sides of the tape before embarking on a larger directional move. Count wise there is no material change while price remains between magenta 2/B and (1)/C. While there is room for some near term upside, our overall stance is for more...
Here is a more intimate look at the IT structure that we are assumed to be in. An EW flat must have a 90% retrace of wave A to qualify which was satisfied with the latest run up to 2132, and we are currently looking for the five wave sequence back below wave A at present. If you have any questions about our analysis or any of our analysis systems, contact me...