Macro-Traders-Strategies

Macro-Traders-Strategies Updated 

META, along with Nvidia and Microsoft, appears to be at the forefront of AI advancements. While Nvidia and MS have been well-recognized players in the AI domain, Meta and Google also wield substantial potential, given their vast data repositories that train their AI models, including releasing their powerful LLM model (Llama 2) to accelerate training and...

Macro-Traders-Strategies

This is what data dependence looks like! Powell indicated they 'COULD' raise again, but the CME FedWatch disagrees, according to the markets, the next move will be a cut starting in 2024. But now we are looking at data, data dependency. Good luck with your trading

Macro-Traders-Strategies

Month end rebalancing could mean risk on equities and risk off dollar. The EURUSD triangle is nearly complete. We will know in August, with a move to 1.14-1.16 as the Fed is likely to pause in Sept, October and the any increase in rate hike will only be in November.

Macro-Traders-Strategies

Dollar usually falls as investors chase the markets. Going into the 2nd half, alot of hedge fund managers are offsite and are lagging the S&P! Now if they are to receive their bonuses, they will need to perform, and the only way to do it is to chase the market. Unless ofcourse if you think the Market will fall by 20%, which is now unlikely as earnings are...

Macro-Traders-Strategies Updated 

We were promised so much Crypto and Web 3.0! but the next big tech bubble will be about huuuuuuge productivity gains from AI, not crypto or blockchain which have a singular use-case. AI will be part of every day life, it will turn you into an expert marketeer overnight, an expert Doctor, an expert lawyer, or someone who was never trained but has the AI able to...

Macro-Traders-Strategies

EURUSD could be giving out bear trap signals as many of the retailers are one-sided (short) at the moment! This could be a contrarian indicator as many will exit their positions quickly causing a short covering rally

Macro-Traders-Strategies

US eco data shows less people claiming unemployment insurance, with many seeing wage increases. This means, we could see the Fed increase beyond its tow hikes towards a 6% interest rate handle. TVC:DXY could make a double top, but weakness will mostly be concentrated in the asian economies like China & Japan, but also POUND which I think is totally over valued...

Macro-Traders-Strategies

In my opinion, it seems unlikely that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in July. Instead, I believe the Fed will choose to pause indefinitely for the next 12-18 months before potentially taking a downward turn. From a technical standpoint, there is a possibility of a movement towards 1.12 in the market, with a broader potential range of 1.20-1.23 over...

Macro-Traders-Strategies

Out of all the FANNGS, META is the cheapest across all metrics! They also have a pipeline of their own AI chips, AI workloads and contribute to the AI open source community with their own LLMs. Unlike Open AI, they also own their own data. META is ticking all boxes, its core business is performing well, but it is also well positioned when the AI bubble really...

Macro-Traders-Strategies

Eurusd is looking like a clear inverse H&D pattern as the US economy completes its final 10 years secular bull-market. EURUSD will falter around 1.22 before falling back to 1.05

Macro-Traders-Strategies Updated 

The only question is when? and who will be the players

Macro-Traders-Strategies

The AI bubble has undeniably begun, evidenced by the increasing number of hedge fund managers incorporating AI as a key factor in their stock selection processes. Currently, many companies mention AI in their operations, but they lack their own intellectual property and instead rely on purchasing AI solutions off the shelf to integrate into their core offerings....

Macro-Traders-Strategies Updated 

Continue to buy META as TikTok is likely to be banned from the Apple store! meaning new apple device will no longer have access to the app, nor will there be any updates. In Addition, there are rumors, retailers have banned together to bypass Apple's tracking restriction by creating a customer influencer database tracking centered around META technology! this...

Macro-Traders-Strategies Updated 

It is quite astonishing to think that with just a $200B market capitalization, BABA alone can satisfy China's immense demand for AI and digital growth, even if you consider in the presence of monopoly laws. If we take a step back and analyze the situation, NYSE:BABA should ideally have a market capitalization of $1T. The current share price seems to be...

Macro-Traders-Strategies Updated 

There is a possibility of a 7% correction and a 50% retracement from previous highs as the Federal Reserve contemplates a further 0.5% increase over the next two meetings, following the release of robust PCE numbers. The Federal Reserve is persistently applying pressure to control inflation and deems the current timing suitable, particularly with technology...

Macro-Traders-Strategies Updated 

The Dollar basket is currently on the verge of a breakout, which is likely to lead to a substantial correction in EURUSD and GBPUSD currency pairs. A notable indicator of this trend is the US2YR yield, which has surpassed 4.5% after hovering around 3.5%. Many market participants had previously anticipated rate cuts by the Federal Reserve during the summer. Now,...

Macro-Traders-Strategies Updated 

Now that the debt ceiling issue has been resolved, there are fewer reasons to hold and invest in the US Dollar. The United States is unlikely to default on its debt, providing stability for investors. In contrast, Germany has entered a technical recession, but the focus of the European Central Bank (ECB) is primarily on maintaining price stability rather than...

Macro-Traders-Strategies

It presents a remarkable chance for investment due to the ongoing Ukraine war posing a threat to Euro economy. However, as the war persists, Europe will increasingly prioritize sustainable supply chains and self-investment, laying the foundation for substantial infrastructure development and an economic upswing. As the significance of the Dollar diminishes,...