Since my last post BTCUSD has hit both my buy and sell targets. Looking at the bigger picture, however, I believe we may be in a larger expanded flat. Since our proposed (b) wave was a 1.382 retrace of (a), I anticipate a 1.236-1.382 extension of (a) for wave (c). Sell targets: $8,850-$8,750 Stop: >$9,000 *THIS IS NOT TRADING ADVICE*
Posting for tracking purposes, will elaborate if I get time or if it starts to come to fruition. My original expanded flat is invalid now, however I am still tracking it in BTCUSD.
Thought this was a wave two, but triangles are odd, possible a wave 4 concluding in a wave 5 down.
BTCUSD hit my sell target perfectly for the ABC correction I posted a few days back. Before this downturn/correction I made a post about a bearish butterfly harmonic pattern as well, that has panned out. The final target on the butterfly is the 1.618 fib shown, and if this is infact a downwards impulse wave, a common target for the vth wave is 100% of wave 1, this...
Overall I am still bearish on BTCUSD, but this is a short-term bullish chart. I believe we may be in an ABC corrective move off last nights low. This is just a quick post for tracking purposes of a potential B wave triangle. There is another interpretation that could have the triangle being complete, with a slight overthrow break on the E wave, but it respected...
Another fractal for you going back to 2014 for BTCUSD. Fairly self explanatory, but I will update as I investigate it further. The major differences here is that the 2014 fractal tops out before falling into the harmonic bearish gartley. Currently our bearish butterfly is leading into our top. I actually have that recent high as an expanded flat in my EW count....
Quick post, just showing that we perfectly touched the 1.382 fib exctension of wave A in this potential expanded flat. Also we are finding support above the 38.2% retrace of the entire rally. Good luck. BTCUSD.
I've seen BTCUSD bounce up into these corrective looking triangles quite often. One of which was posted about during the rally to $17k. That was a bearish gartley, but here I am tracking a possible bearish bat. I drew the two ABC patterns to show their similarity. I think right now we are at a inflection point. Other fractals I have seen have broken down from...
As a followup to my bearish case for BTCUSD, here are my arguments for the bull. We've seen impulsive action off our recent higher low indicating that $5900 was our bottom of wave 4. If we assume that is true, here are my targets for short-term longs. There is also an argument to be made for bullish divergence on RSI and MACD shown here. I am watching for possible...
Just posting to track it, this isn't something I have looked into a whole lot as of yet, just noticed the potential. Bearish Butterfly. $10050-$9900 sell target. $9500-$9150 buy target. *This is not trading advice*
Taking a look at BTCUSD some more I'm liking this count. Fits the channel well and indicates one more push up to finish off our wave (v). Hidden bullish divs on RSI and MACD as well on higher time frames. Short term I am still watching for a small retrace for a scalp position. Looking for a $9500-$9250 entry. Targets Posted, wave 5s are often 1, 1.618 or 2.618...
Been out of the country, going to try and start posting some charts again. Given recent market movements, there is a strong case for the bulls, which I will post following this. I am, however, still in favor of staying in tune with the trend until it looks invalidated. I think the bearish case would be we are either going to consolidate in a sym triangle here for...
Not sure if I've posted this before, but in case I haven't...just to help keep things in perspective. *Not trading advice*
Possible play for ETH. $300-$330 was my target for ETH looking at Elliott Wave fib ratios, and this would line up well with that looking at this channel and some indicator fractals.
Smaller name pharma stock. Definitely has the potential to be explosive. It appears we just break out of a triangle on major volume, finding support right now on top of the broken resistance. Super good R:R to long here and stop loss below the trend line. Initial target region is shown in the box. We're also sitting between the 0.618 and 0.764 log-fib retracements...
Posting this to track if it pans out. We found resistance right around the 1.0 extension of wave circle A, giving us a nice A=C correction. We'll see if we fall from here. Boxes are targets. Keep in mind, there are no timing predictions built in, just keep an eye on price levels. Fundamental dates to keep in mind: today is tax day, tomorrow CBOE futures expire.
In light of this morning's move up I am changing my count to a channel down for wave c of 4. I suspect one more leg down to finish off this bear run. We could see some more upside today. I would guess around $8300, and anything over $9300 invalidates this count.