MrPhilNewton

MrPhilNewton

Tariffs Drop, SPX Slips, I Sip Tea | SPX Analysis 04 April 2025 Tariffs are back on the menu, and Wall Street’s not exactly throwing confetti. Trump’s talking tough again, markets are wincing, gold is surging, and Bitcoin - being Bitcoin - couldn’t care less. But me? I’m grinning like the cat that shorted the cream. The plan said: Stay bearish below 5700. Get...

MrPhilNewton

Post-Trump Dump: Bear Bias Validated | SPX Analysis 03 April 2025 Well, we’re officially post-Trump-dump, and the market’s not exactly throwing a parade about it. Futures have dropped nearly 200 points and are camped out near the lows as I write this. It’s shaping up to be one of those "big gap, big drama" mornings – the kind that rewards patience and punishes...

MrPhilNewton

March Was Boring. April Could Bite | SPX Analysis 02 April 2025 At the risk of sounding like a scratched CD (or whatever the Spotify kids call repetition), yes – I’m still bearish. Some might say I’m stubborn. I say I just know a pattern when I see one. And while March was about as exciting as watching paint dry in slow motion on a frozen chart... April's...

MrPhilNewton

Don’t Let a Green Candle Fool You | SPX Analysis 01 April 2025 We got the “boing” – but not the bounce that changes anything meaningful. Monday opened like a trap door - gap down, quick poke near 5500, and then a full day of rallying that had CNBC anchors high-fiving like they just called the bottom of the century. Except… they didn’t. We’ve seen this act...

MrPhilNewton

Bear Hedge Trigger Hit - It’s Risk-Off This Week | SPX Analysis 31 Mar 2025 Well, it’s officially the start of a new week... and the end of the month. A time when markets often go a bit boing-boing as portfolio managers do their monthly “window dressing.” But let’s not get distracted by the glitter - Friday’s price action just ripped the rug out from under the...

MrPhilNewton

Bullish Entry Spotted – Now We Wait... | SPX Analysis 28 Mar 2025 Imagine the market dressed like Jack Nicholson in One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest—slack-jawed, glassy-eyed, and strapped into a straightjacket made of indecision. That’s been the vibe all week. SPX continues to shuffle back and forth around 5700 like it's lost its meds and forgot where it was...

MrPhilNewton

Bull vs Bear: The 5700 Flipzone | SPX Analysis 27 Mar 2025 Some days, the best trade is no trade at all. It’s Thursday, the kettle’s on, the charts are up… and I’ve done absolutely bugger all from a trading perspective. Not out of laziness (though I do love a good sit-down), but because nothing’s screaming "go". And when nothing’s screaming, I don’t go...

MrPhilNewton

SPX Stalls at Resistance - Here's What I’m Watching | SPX Analysis 26 Mar 2025 You know that scene in every action movie where someone’s finger hovers over the big red button… and they don’t press it? That’s me right now. Because once again, sitting back and waiting for a cleaner entry zone is paying off. SPX tagged the upper Bollinger Band – like a polite tap...

MrPhilNewton

Bear Slippers Off. Bull Boots Laced. | SPX Analysis 25 Mar 2025 The tide turned Monday, and for once, the charts didn’t just mutter vaguely in Morse code – they actually gave us something to work with. After weeks of grindy, gummy-bear movement, SPX finally flashed a bullish signal. The classic breakout-pullback has shown itself on the 30-minute timeframe, and...

MrPhilNewton

Why I Took the L (and Feel Great About It) | SPX Analysis 24 Mar 2025 The markets are meandering again, and I’m starting to feel like a one-man tribute band for “Brimful of Asha” on repeat. Another grindy week, another re-run of the up-a-bit, down-a-bit SPX drama. Today’s vibe? Picture those magnificent men in their flying machines… looping up diddely up-up and...

MrPhilNewton

Bollinger Bands Pinch, Market Yawns… I Stay Ready | SPX Analysis 21 Mar 2025 It’s Friday, the market’s half-asleep, and I’ve redrawn my trendlines more times than I’ve refreshed my tea. The weekly chart (top left, if you're playing along at home) is shaping up to close with a tight little range bar, which basically tells us what we already knew: we're in a...

MrPhilNewton

5700 Holds the Key - But I’m Not Chasing | SPX Analysis 20 Mar 2025 There was a time—many, many moons ago—when I’d stare at the screen, heart pounding, watching every single tick, second-guessing myself, sweating over every micro-move. And you know what? It was exhausting. Now? I don’t play that game anymore. I check my charts twice a day—once in the morning,...

MrPhilNewton

Tight Coil, Big Move Coming - FOMC Could Be the Trigger | SPX Analysis 19 Mar 2025 Sometimes, doing nothing is the best trade you’ll ever make. While I was off enjoying my long weekend, SPX’s bullish move got slapped back into the range. Had I jumped in long, I’d probably be hedging or cursing my screen right now. Now, price is coiling into a bear flag, and...

MrPhilNewton

SPX Rally or Trap? Here’s What I’m Watching | SPX Analysis 18 Mar 2025 After a well-earned extra-long weekend, I’m playing a little game of catch-up. SPX has broken out of the range, now making a strong 2-day rally—but is it the start of something bigger, or just another fakeout before the next drop? 📌 My bull trigger is locked in above 5705. 📌 My bear trigger...

MrPhilNewton

Markets Open, Guinness Poured—Can SPX Deliver a Perfect Finish? | SPX Analysis 17 Mar 2025 SPX feels like it’s stuck on a broken record—a little up, a little down, an occasional intraday yo-yo… and then back to square one. But this time, history might repeat itself—again. 📌 A bullish breakout isn’t off the table, but it needs to clear 5650. 📌 Until then, I’m...

MrPhilNewton

If SPX Rallies Here… I’m Hitting the Sell Button Hard | SPX Analysis 14 Mar 2025 The lazy bear keeps rolling downhill, but if history has anything to say about it, it might just wake up for a quick stretch before heading lower again. 📌 Last time, SPX pushed down, bounced, then continued lower. 📌 Gamma Exposure suggests 5500/5520 are price magnets, with 5550...

MrPhilNewton

Bearish Darvas Box? Here’s How I’m Trading It | SPX Market Analysis 13 Mar 2025 The market is stuck on repeat, playing the same song over and over. Drop, pause, drop, pause—sideways, down, sideways, down. This looks very much like a bearish Darvas box pattern. And guess what? We nailed it (yesterday). 📌 SPX continues to stair-step lower, just as we...

MrPhilNewton

Bearish & Boring? Maybe. Profitable? Definitely. | SPX Market Analysis 12 Mar 2025 You know that feeling when you wake up and wonder if you’re stuck in a time loop? Yeah, me too. For what feels like the hundredth time, I’m reporting that the bear move is grinding lower. The difference? The profits keep stacking up—so I’m not complaining. Yesterday’s rally was...