MurderHamberder

MurderHamberder

So I published an idea a while ago (in May) suggesting that ETH had more upside than most alts. We're now close enough to support that I would consider adding some alts. Among my favorites: SUI SUPER AVAX TAO PENGU And of course the ETH beta plays ANDY PEPE BOBO BRETT WOLF

MurderHamberder

Alts vs ETH got quite overextended but we rejected that deviation and are now holding at the same resistance that marked the prior two cycle tops. I sense a pullback is coming soon and we will likely revisit the 280M level. Be careful out there!

MurderHamberder

Polkadot break and retest of downtrend from 2023. Lots of dev activity onchain, great nakamoto coefficient - this is the most decentralized smart contract platform without question. As we start to see advertising and ETH/BTC pushing higher, it's my belief that DOT will be one of the star players in the L1/DEFI narrative.

MurderHamberder

INJ/BTC looking good for a big move here. Descending wedge should break and see a retest of the .618 between now and March 17. The base case would be a run to 70-80% vs. Bitcoin and the bull case is more than double that. I am not fading INJ here.

MurderHamberder

as you can see we are forming a strong descending wedge again here on AVAX/BTC. Once this trend reverses, I believe AVAX will very quickly start to outperform BTC in a major way. What is the catalyst? IMO, it's the ETH/BTC chart that will trigger altseason, but also AVAX on chain activity with respect to Off the Grid and other projects that will cause bullish...

MurderHamberder

I see BTC pushing to ATH between now and March, and then having a pretty large correction before resuming uptrend in July-Aug, with a potential cycle top Sep-Oct 2025

MurderHamberder

As you can see, XRP has made quite the bullish move vs. Ethereum. However, I think this price action in the pair is a perfect opportunity to dump a coin with massive dilution problems and a dead narrative for one that will quickly outperform it. Reasons for being bearish on XRP here -double top on XRP/ETH pair -use case for XRP in Defi has been overrun by newer...

MurderHamberder

SUI's blockchain is fast and cheap - this could very well be the SOL of this cycle. And it's down almost 50% from recent highs. If you missed the entries on good blockchain projects so far this cycle, this one might suit your portfolio.

MurderHamberder

The recent bullish price action in solar names like ENPH and FLSR has me looking at SEDG. I think we can easily get a push up to the $80-90 zone.

MurderHamberder

Based on past fib levels, we can estimate that the range of possible highs for this cycle go from 168K to over 500K! I believe either or both of these could get cut short due to a market correction between now and 2025, but I will be buying dips aggressively for the next couple years.

MurderHamberder

As you can see ETH/BTC broke the recent downtrend just as many people had given up hope that it would, just in time for the first ETF decision this week. DTCC has shown that the tickers are listed, does this mean the ETF will be approved? All we're missing is a tweet from the SEC saying the ETF has not been approved, I guess. ;)

MurderHamberder

If you were holding XRP for multiple cycles, sorry for your loss! This recent false breakout was invalidated as we head into the Ethereum ETF decision coming for Van Eck's Spot ETF.

MurderHamberder

So from previous halving cycles, we can see Bitcoin usually bottoms some time before the next halving event. In the case of 2023, I believe the bottom will be in sometime between the end of March and the end of June. I'll be looking for BTC to test/reject the range at 22K and then retrace the zone between 13,800 and 11,800... I'll be buying in this whole zone...