NZ_Shareman

NZ_Shareman

Probability Estimate for USD/JPY to Move Lower Given the current strong bearish sentiment on USD and JPY USD/JPY lower: 70% Factors Supporting the 70% Probability of a Drop COT Commercials Traders are what drives the market to a large degree and are usually correct in the Medium to long term. They are heavily short USD and Closing shorts in JPY. Reversal...

NZ_Shareman

NZ has dropped rates as expected. Great British Pound has been strong last couple of weeks against the NZD so would expect it to continue to be, even more so. GBP has Fundamental score of 5 NZ has score of -1 GBP has just had Inflation data yesterday pointing higher so BOE less likely to cut rates so investors park their their money there. GBP Core Inflation...

NZ_Shareman

Story is Strong for Gold Brics Nationals all Buying Banks all Buying Hedge Funds all Buying Everybody Buying Transactions may have to be completed in Dollars at the moment but that will end eventually as using ones own currency in transactions between countries is seen as normal. US obviously is a bit of a concern with their humungus Debt spending money...

NZ_Shareman

Probability for MSTR Returning to $453: in the current environment, MSTR can return to its previous highs if Bitcoin continues its upward trajectory and macro conditions remain favorable. However, the stock remains highly speculative, and traders should watch Bitcoin closely as the primary driver. 1-2 Weeks: ~50% — Needs Bitcoin above $40k. Resistance...

NZ_Shareman

Considering the bullish momentum, strong fundamentals, and analyst targets, Walmart reaching $98 seems likely within the next 1-3 months if the current trend continues. However, short-term resistance or a broader market pullback could cause temporary delays. Estimated Probability: 70%-75% over the next 3 months, assuming no major market disruptions. Let me know...

NZ_Shareman

Panic over Looks Like NY is Buying they do on a Friday especially. With Elon on Trump's advisory panel America may have a chance that is good. Inflation is still the main thorn in the side of everyone especially investors I would Suggest. Interest rates ticking down step by step so interest rates-Bonds are not as attractive as they were so might as well Buy...

NZ_Shareman Updated 

They are so crafty all this is rigged to get fuel to head higher. Larger stop the better. 1:1 perfect if u wana sleep at night. Looks like Trump Gona Win Simple Question to GTP "Oy what is likey hood Gold Bullish or Weaker after Trump Win." If Donald Trump were to win the election, several of his policies could potentially influence the price of gold....

NZ_Shareman

The recent drop in gold appears to be a classic profit-taking move by algorithms using the latest economic data as a justification to temporarily drive prices lower. Despite some stronger U.S. data, nothing has fundamentally shifted in terms of gold’s long-term outlook. Fundamental Justification: Inflation Stability: Core inflation indicators remain...

NZ_Shareman

Based on the analysis, here’s a probability breakdown for the upward continuation of Gold (XAU/USD) toward the $2,800 - $2,820 target leading up to the U.S. election on November 5: Probability of Reaching $2,800 - $2,820 by End of This Week or Early Next Week: 75 out of 100 This is due to strong recent momentum, supportive fundamentals, and robust buying...

NZ_Shareman

Gold is a solid investment right now, and here’s why: 1.Interest Rates Are Going Down: When central banks cut interest rates, saving in cash or bonds becomes less attractive because you earn less from them. Gold, which doesn’t pay interest anyway, becomes more appealing since there’s less to lose by holding it compared to low-yield savings. 2.De-dollarization...

NZ_Shareman

Probability Score: Given the technical pullback, but strong fundamental and macroeconomic factors still supporting gold. The probability of a continued bullish move in gold a score of 75 out of 100. There's still upside potential, but short-term corrections are likely. ------------------------------ 1. Recent Market Action (NY Session Profit Taking) As you...

NZ_Shareman

New York open Sell off on profits made on today's up trend from the start of the day. Same Fundamentals and reasons to Buy haven't changed. A Return to Previuos Level Pattern most probably in play Why should gold drop now ? No reason at all All major 8 countries are forecast to drop interest rates from now until the end of next year except...

NZ_Shareman

Probability of Gold hitting $2,800: Probability: 75% This estimate is based on the strong upward momentum, safe-haven demand due to geopolitical risks, and continued economic uncertainty. Gold has already broken prior resistance levels, and the market sentiment is strongly bullish. Time Frame: 2 to 4 weeks Gold appears to be in a consolidation phase...

NZ_Shareman

Here are the three most compelling reasons why gold prices are likely to continue rising in the current environment: 1. Persistent Inflation Concerns and Falling Interest Rates Ongoing inflation worries keep gold attractive as a hedge against rising prices. Interest rates are expected to drop further, making non-yielding assets like gold more appealing. The...

NZ_Shareman

Reasons for Target (21,325) Being Hit: Strong Uptrend: The market is clearly forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating strong bullish momentum. Momentum: Buyers are currently in control of the market, with price action continuing to push higher. Interest Rate Expectations: Fed estimates of 2 more drops before Xmas which will provide further...

NZ_Shareman

Gold is up 17% since March 15th BTC is Down 21% since March 15th Who is King ? Shows everyone jumping out buying Gold No One wants to be the last one Holding an Empty Bag of BTC Fed is Dropping Rates Powell has said so himself Some may be baked in by the time we get there. Date: Sept 18th "With inflation cooling toward its 2...

NZ_Shareman

Target: 23,050 Stop: 16,700 Partial: 20,800 b]Key Considerations: Fed meeting on September 18th Traders are positioning themselves ahead of the announcement regarding the drop in the interest rate a 75% probability of a 0.25% drop. USA is the last cab on the rank that has not dropped yet, they may think we are the big boys, we do what we want, when we are...

NZ_Shareman

Target: 23,050 Stop: 16,700 Partial: 20,800 b]Key Considerations: Fed meeting on September 18th Traders are positioning themselves ahead of the announcement regarding the drop in the interest rate a 75% probability of a 0.25% drop. USA is the last cab on the rank that has not dropped yet, they may think we are the big boys, we do what we want, when we are...