In today’s market insights I explain why equities are not affected by reports that China wants existing tariffs removed in order to proceed with phase one of a deal! Perhaps, investors couldn't care less about the consistent back and forth between US and China before they go home for Christmas... I reveal how I expect the S&P500 to perform in December, and while...
In today’s market insights I talk about YouGov’s MRP (multi-level regression and post-stratification) poll and how predicting UK’s vote share with 93% accuracy in the past supports the British Pound! Aside from politics potentially moving the UK markets today, we have important GDP data coming out from Canada too. And this is likely to affect loonie. The...
In today’s market insights I talk about Trump’s latest move to support HK protesters by signing two bills, denting optimism around the recent trade war optimism! The shift in sentiment was expected but how risk vs havens performed may seem confusing to some when looking at CADJPY and AUDCHF. Here I explain how the yen and franc are likely to perform against...
USDJPY could move higher towards the 1.618x Fibonacci extension of the latest bullish minute pattern started on 107.88. This would validate the recent breakout above 109.32 as well as the intermediate degree structure which has a medium-term target near 114.55. The pair, however, could have just ended the intermediate move to the upside at the 2x Fibonacci...
In today’s market insights I talk about how the latest trade war and API developments affected the prices of gold and oil. Gold appreciated while trade optimism increased! That was owed to poor US data, however! But I do expect the upside to be limited! Crude, although supported by positive trade ware narratives, ended the session muted as bullish flows were...
In today’s market insights video recording I talk about the pound rally and how the cable is likely to perform now that polls show a comfortable Tory lead! I also explain why #Aussie isn’t moving higher while risk-on mood increases high-beta bets amid the latest #tradewar headlines that a deal is indeed possible before Christmas! What are markets waiting for?...
In today’s marketinsights video recording, I talk about SPX and DXY . SPX takes a breather from all-time highs offering some pocket-relief to short-term bulls, however, with weekend trade headline news the rally could continue higher. The US index looks bid too despite the medium-term bearishness as the economy performs incredibly well, supporting the dollar....
In today’s market insights video recording I talk about markets’ muted reaction to the impeachment hearings and focus on the assets that moved! USDCAD was bid on a hawkish Poloz as he lowered down markets' expectations of a Dec rate cut. Loonie was also supported by OPEC+ likely production cut extension. While at it, I also analyse EURUSD despite it ended the...
GBPUSD could have ended the wave minor 4 correction at 1.2768 Nov 8 low. This scenario sees the current structure as impulsive with minute waves 1,2 and 3 (perhaps 4 too) completed. In case prices slide below 1.2886 we could see the end of minuette wave a, then receive a b and c lower as part of an a,b,c zigzag. However, if prices break above 1.2940 the chances...
In today’s market insights video recording, I talk about EURGBP and AUDJPY FX Minors. Euro is affected by a report that a phase-1 deal is highly unlikely by the end of this year as the Chinese want rollbacks pushed to May 2020 and the US Congress just passed a bill supporting Hong Kong protesters; going against China again!? Safe-haven flows were also increasing...
In today’s marketinsights I talk about how the latest trade war and API developments affected the prices on gold and oil. Watch as I identify certain #elliottwave patterns that can’t go unmissed ahead of today’s FOMC minutes and EIA’s WTI report! XAUUSD is still expected to turn lower after the completion of this subminute correction, whereas US Oil, could...
In today’s #marketinsights video recording, I talk about EURUSD and USDJPY FX Majors Both major pairs were affected by incoming trade war flows, following China's rather pessimistic view on proceeding with a phase-1 of a potential trade deal. Euro could move towards 1.11 round resistance and yen could push the dollar down near the 108 round support. The above...
In today’s marketinsights video recording, I talk about SPX and DXY . SPX keeps hitting fresh highs despite Fed's message to keep rates on hold until 2020. Trade wars do seem to be influencing flows more than anything else right now? Whatever the case, sharp upside and overbought hints to exhaustion! The DXY's recent upside though should be watched closely. It's...
LONG short-term to complete the complex correction; 1.4700-1.4860 SHORT medium-term, where intermediate wave (3) concludes its course; 1.39120-1.3425 SHORT medium/long-term, where primary wave 3 completes its course - only valid if the primary impulse is not an A,B,C correction; 1.3625-1.3150 SHORT longer-term, where primary 5 completes the cycle degree...
In today’s #marketinsights video recording, I talk about FX Minors AUDCHF and USDMXN as they both seem to be moving down impulsively. Added uncertainty amid the latest trade delay, and poor Chinese activity and Australian employment data all add pressure on the Aussie. Mexican peso, on the other hand, weakened yesterday following Banxico's decision to cut rates!...
EURUSD could have found support at 1.10 round level! This assumes that we are still correcting towards intermediate wave (4), and are currently completing minor wave B of the A,B,C correction. Wave B is a minute a,b,c with subminute wave (v) being a triangle. Wave C of this correction could take prices to fresh highs above 1.1181. In case prices slide lower...
In today’s #marketinsights video recording, I talk about #crude #oil and #gold. WTI moved higher yesterday on a surprise #API draw, whereas gold, although would be expected to move down against oil, also moved up on the back of the latest trade negotiations impasse. With the market's appetite shifting to rollbacks but not getting the response they want from the...
In today’s #marketinsights video recording, I talk about NZDUSD and USDJPY FX Majors Not only markets expected with 80% chance that RBNZ will cut rates which they never got, but the central bank also said that kiwi is expected to be supported in the medium term by the low exchange and interest rates. USDJPY on the other hand, remained somewhat muted as Trump...