See prev DXY chart, after a nice rip in cable yday these are the levels im looking for to be raided prior to another leg higher, Euro should also be playing catch up today but I think this is a clearer picture. Will keep an eye on Euro though.
Purple boxes = stops/LP's. Blue lines = orderblocks
Chart annotations are pretty self explanatory, see EURUSD raided the 1.1064 LP low and made a LL today where as the DXY failed to make a HH. I will be looking to buy EURUSD at some point providing I get the PA I look for, another further odds enhancer for me is that CMC clients are 97% long USD so im very happy to take the other side of their trade.
Similar situation to NG, stops resting on both sides of the market, 4h orderblock below at 56.95 on CLN5. Ill be looking to help fill the stops once the a level gets popped and I see evidence.
Nice range here on NG, ranges means lots of stops, HTF's are bullish so the buy side remains higher probability, from here ill be looking for set ups once they pop some stops (pink lines), ideally id like to see a move lower into the bullish order block at 2.934
Here is the corresponding level in EURUSD, the purple zone is the kill zone.
Looking for a raid of the stops into the red line, once we trade at the red line i will be looking to play USD weakness via EURUSD providing there is a bullish order block and sufficient LTF evidence on the Euro.
Please see description of previous CL chart, same situation here, I dont think the stops at the high are safe and far too many people are posting this bearish H&S pattern so I think we will need to take them out.
After a nice reaction from 60.50 yday as highlighted in previous ideas price did eventually trade through it and now i feel that the 62.55 stops aren't safe, from here i will either be looking to buy it up around 60.60 if i get sufficient evidence and take it up to raid 62.55 or if 62.55 comes first i will be looking to sell to all those buy stops up there, once...
Heres what im watching on CL, very 'clean' lows at 58.30 which means lots of stops down there, 59.09 is a LP from the Asia session with a bearish 1h orderblock resting above it (turtle soup) I will be looking for LTF evidence as soon as we raid 59.09 and touch the red line, if i get what Im looking for i will be a seller down towards the 4h bullish orderblock at 56.96.
Looks like my accumulation plan wasnt right...shame. On reassessment I am looking for another leg lower in DXY, whether it will fall from here or go to 95.45 first I wish I knew but be prepared for either situation. There is a nice liquidity pool and bear trap (bullish orderblock resting just below the LP at 92.78)
This would be my ideal situation, pop into 1.1350, LTF orderblock, sell it down into the liquidity pool / bear trap into 4h orderblock. Remember to align it with the DXY to aid timing as much as possible. I dont think we will get there before NFP but its easily possible that we get there via NFP.
I will be looking for LTF selling opportunities as soon as price trades at the red line, I do not just enter on these levels, I wait for LTF evidence with a tight stop, this is my filter so I know which block is likely to hold and consequently boosts the winning % as well as greatly improving the RR. If no evidence appears at this level and it fails I will reassess.
These are the levels i'm watching to take action on crude. If the red line comes into play before the green & blue line, I wont be looking to buy there but if the green & blue comes into play before the red line, I will look to buy with a max tg of just before the red line.
These are the levels I will be watching in gold, as soon as we trade at 1201 i will be gazing down the sights of my 50.cal looking for a bearish orderblock on a LTF to sell it with a max TG of the 1185 stops & bear trap. I will align this with the DXY, hopefully the DXY will hit the H1 bullish orderblock i highlighted in my previous idea around the same time.
Stops popped at 59.84, we can either fail here and move back into range... A typical entry would be a LTF orderblock up here. More likely scenario is we keep moving higher into the 62 daily orderblock, as soon as it touches the red line i will be looking to short for a resumption of the downtrend.