


OssianH
The COT reports show that smart money is steadily decreasing its long positions. With this shift in positioning, I’m anticipating potential short momentum either this week or next.
This is a trade where I’m staying patient, and the COT numbers are particularly interesting. Speculators' behavior has driven prices bearish, and while the sentiment remains predominantly short, we could see a relief rally from those heavy shorts in the coming weeks, or potentially sooner. It will be very telling to see what the COT report shows by Friday. If we...
OT Report Insights: Preparing for a Short The upcoming COT report will be pivotal. If large speculators show signs of taking profits, I’m planning a short entry next week. Here’s why: Positioning at Extremes: Despite speculators adding longs for 10+ consecutive weeks, we’re now hovering around the 52-week high in contracts. Such extreme levels often signal...
Large speculators are aggressively taking profits, which raises an important question: How will the price react? There are two likely scenarios: The short sentiment remains dominant, but profit-taking could trigger a short-term bullish run as positions are closed and the market reacts. Speculators could shift their stance, but will they go fully long? At this...
The Volume and COT reports suggest a promising potential for a swing trade this week, even amid the recent market volatility driven by political uncertainty
The Volume and COT reports look promising, highlighting a potential swing trade opportunity for the week despite recent market turbulence from political uncertainty. I’ll attempt a long here but will proceed cautiously, considering the RBNZ Press Conference is just a few minutes away. I might hold off and scale in afterward, depending on how the market reacts.
The current outlook for crude oil appears mixed but leans slightly bullish due to the following factors: Inventory Trends: While there was a smaller-than-expected build in crude oil inventories (+500,000 barrels), it contrasts with larger builds from previous weeks. Additionally, gasoline inventories rose, but middle distillate inventories only slightly declined,...
After analyzing the forex market's COT report released last Friday, I have aligned my bias with the macroeconomic reports scheduled for this week. There are fewer key events compared to last week, but I am confident that the ones we do have are worth paying attention to. Now, let me explain why I consider USD/JPY to be a good long trade. First of all, the COT...
Gold's potential to push higher today can be attributed to a few converging factors despite recent volatility. The metal saw significant downside pressure yesterday, likely due to profit-taking after recent highs, yet it remains supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for safe-haven assets. Notably, tensions in the Middle East continue to...
Current Position: Average entry price stands at 5741, ATM. Trading Plan: Targeting a push toward 5800, with plans to exit prior to the U.S. market open. Although seller momentum appears depleted, I remain cautious about the likelihood of a sustained rally. Intraday Strategy: Hold a bullish outlook until the market open. Anticipate a retracement toward...
The tech sector has experienced a decline following the Q3 earnings reports. I am looking for a balanced retracement to yesterday's closing value. From that area, I plan to initiate a continued short position.
Fed meeting: If the Fed signals a pause in rate hikes, it could weaken the dollar, which supports gold. Geopolitical uncertainty: Rising global tensions often push investors toward gold as a safe haven. Technical level: prices break and hold above the $2,800 level, it would signal a major bullish move
Gold may show bullish momentum at today’s open due to several key factors: Safe-Haven Demand: Rising inflation or economic instability often drives investors toward gold, bolstering its appeal. Weaker Dollar: A softer dollar makes gold more attractive to international buyers, supporting price gains. Interest Rate Outlook: Speculation around potential rate cuts...
Gold is anticipated to undergo consolidation down prior to the U.S. market open today. Initiating a short position with a target of approximately 2,785.
Q3 results for Pfizer were solid, with adjusted earnings and revenue surpassing expectations. The current drop in share price seems excessive and may be driven by liquidity concerns rather than underlying performance issues. The significant decline in expected sales for COVID products is concerning, but overall, the fundamentals appear stable. This drop could...
Small fast trade, bullish open. Trailing stop close
Waiting for the open, ideally below yesterday's close to allow for a bullish gap fill. With the solid Q3 report, I’ll aim to hold the position throughout the entire day. Update during the trade. First tp 298
Waiting for the open, ideally below yesterday's close to allow for a bullish gap fill. With the solid Q3 report, I’ll aim to hold the position throughout the entire day. Update during the trade. First tp 298