In the first 2 hours of trading UJ managed to carve 30 pips lower to 106.3 but since then UJ has edged higher to 106.8 highs (atm 106.7). Whether we will hit the target at 105. im not sure, the starting data has been mixed. Whilst we ticked lower 40 pips which was a good sign, we quickly pulled back all of them and $yen is now trading 50 pips up from the lows -...
*Long $JPY, preferably buy limits at 105.5* 1. at 105.5 there are 3 significant UNSUCCESSFUL tests of the level over the last 3 years thus it is a great entry point. Also another plus is if you look at the monthly chart you will notice 105.5 is the 2nd most important level in $Yen's 20y+ history, the 1st most important/tested is the 101 level. 2.Further, over...
Google C-Class shares i am bullish over the 6-12m, hence I am buying any 5-10% pull backs from highs. Goog has been moving sideways but i think it has just started a cycle higher, in which it is about to make a higher low at 715 before moving up again to 750+ 715-750 is a 5% move hence i am interesting in buying at this price with reward skewed something 1.5:1...
The strong fundamentals aside, Apple is showing signs of upside stability and momentum. IMO after a failing bear run last week this week we are set up for a week of gains, given that friday - the naturally bearish day for stocks, apple managed to close higher, going against the trend of the previous two days of high volume and losses, and instead, carving itself...
Though id post as just one example, perhaps the most obvious, that shows how heavily the JPY is considered a risk-off asset and to show the clearly, since the SPX is a risk-on asset, that the JPY is negatively correlated with the SPX. In times of market fear/ uncertainty, YEN is sought out, just like bonds and gold, as a safe heaven asset. The theory behind this...
and there she goes. The start of the bear run i believe has begun, vols vxd have spiked up 4% already, the market is down us30 and volume is on pace to be the highest in a month - all of which are bearish signs INCONJUNCTION with my previous article where we are seeing riskoff assets outperform today with us1! , xauusd and usdjpy. Rates also as a result got...
Finally Gold completes the market risk-off 3 for rallying... we not have JPY, BONDS and GOLD all rallying - this completes the set of 3 -riskoff indicators, we are now in full bear mode for stock markets imo.. as you can tell from the US Treasuries and JPY, these riskoff assets have been gaining value for some time, gold has been lagging behind but today...
$Yen dropped 150 pips following the $ employment report and I for one am confused... I had assumed JPY had been acting as a Risk-Off function against the FED hike e,g, $yen had been falling to these levels as the fed hiking risk caused safety flows into JPY... turns out this may not be the case. The market has absorbed the emp report at dovish, UJ shedding 150...
$ Unemployment was soaring lower at 4.7% vs 4.9%, but markets went for the NFP print instead though - taking it as dovish for the $ pushing it lower. I think on the other hand this provides a great opp to sell the GBP or EUR topside Extremes at 1.451 and upwards as the fed considers unemployment as its target NOT NFP prints, i actually think this EMP report was...
as you can see below 8/12 months of the time the JPY is heavily negatively correlated with the spx, normally between 80-90%, there also is a pattern, that the JPY/SPX stayd negatively correlated for 8 months before turning positively correlated for about 4 months, this cycle continues unbroken below.. as we can see by the red correlation being above 0, The...
SP500 VS VIX - is increasing negative correlation - bullish move from volatility perspective BUT since volatility is so low i would like to see higher volume/ interest? divergence between volatility and volume = bearish people SHOULD be jumping on the cheap vol and we see higher volume? instead, volume vs volatility relationship breaking down? and low volatility...
GBPUSD closes below the 95% reversal SD Channel line, also LSMA gains momentum past price action indicating a pullback is close.. Short term is bullish but no interest in GU topside. INSTEAD we let the bullish technicals play out, hopefully carrying us back to 1.465-7, then we SHORT from these levels where several resistance levels lie and volatility resistance...
somethings not right - All time low volume too, JPY booming, Bonds rallying - low liquidity is artificially driving the market up??? The market will tank soon... the financial conditions are gonna tighten like post 2009 this bull move isnt backed by non-risk assets in true bull markets we see 3 things 1. Low GOLD 2. LOW JPY 3. Low US Bonds today we only see 1....