eth showing lower volatility takeover POS vs POW btc is worthlesss dinosaur tech.
LONG ES: 4625 IS -2.5% algo buy zone & daily macro sup 4535 big daily supp 4500 IS -5% algo zone TP: N/A SL: N/A TIMEFRAME: 5-7WKS
LONG NAS & MACRO SUPP LEVELS 1X 16350 2X 15930 3X 15720 15930 is the -5% algo buy zone 16350 is the -2.5% algo buy zone 15720 is bigly bear pivot. TP = 4-6WKS es 4950 SL = NA TIME FRAME: 5-7weeks
LONG Intel @49 down to 44 double down every 5% or 10% drop so 1x49 & 2x44 or 1x49, 2x46.5, 4x44. SL: NA TP: 100-200% higher at $100-150 1. Semi shortage/ supply constraints vs ever increasing demand 2. china vs usa semi uncertainty 3. resulting usa infra investment set to benefit current incumbents like intc 4. massively cheap vs market at 9.6x 5. 2.5% div...
Long baba 1@140 & double down limits at 2x130, 4x88 and 8x58. Possible to hedge with LONG $55 baba put LEAP hedging 5-10% of ur stonk notional. Also possible to participate in the downside between 140-130 and 130-90 and 90 to 60. these key bear 'breakout' levels smart buyers may want to structure option exposure around and between to take alpha out on the...
Long GS @383 TP: 600+ SL: N/A GS at -10% correction lvl. Only trading 6x 12ttm and forward earnings. fed hikes/ inflation/ increasing rates good for banks especially as GS ramps up retail exposure/ loans. Also if u look at last 2 years GS has bounced off of the -10% lvl every time.
Long rut for 2600 rut breakout of ath consolidation after 8 months. recent bear failed to break down and invalidated =breakout BOOON confirmed.
12-18m target 0.95 or lower fed-ecb inflation & monpol divergence technicals - macro yearly supp (arrow) turning to resistance and resisting into daily breakout = 0.95 run has officially begun!12-18M TARGET 0.95 OR LOWER FED-ECB INFLATION & MONPOL DIVERGENCE TECHNICALS - MACRO YEARLY SUPP (ARROW) TURNING TO RESISTANCE AND RESISTING INTO DAILY BREAKOUT = 0.95 RUN...
GET LONG US RATES AS MUCH AS YOU CAN. TMV IS THE BEST EXPRESSION OF US RATES IMO. FISCAL & MONEY SUPPLY INCREASES HAVE DEMAND AND COST PUSH INFLATION BOOOONING. INFLATION INEVITABLY PUTTING PRESSURE ON FED TO HIKE RATES. THIS DIP IN RATES IS TECHNICAL MISALLOCATION. DONT MISS IT, THIS IS A VERY RARE OPP.. RISK ON ALSO HAS NATURAL BOND OFFER. SHORT ALL THE BONDS U...
RUT DAILY STIMULUS BREAKOUT = 2500 (2475TP) THE LAST TIME WE HAD STIMULUS RUT BOOOMED (JAN 4TH). WE ARE GETTING STIM CHEQUES AGAIN = SIMILAR MOVE. THIS BULL RUN COMES AFTER A -10% CORRECTION HENCE THERES PLENTY OF RE-COMMITTING BULLS (WE'RE NOT EXHAUSTED HAVING JUST HAD A CORRECTION). ENTRY 2300-2320 SL 2295 TP 2475 THIS IS 8X PROFIT FACTOR - SHOULD...
GOLD HIT BULL CONFIRMATION 1 - CLOSING ABOVE 1850 ON THE DAILY 2X. GOLD BULL CONFIRMATION 2 (FINAL CONFIRMATION) - WEEKLY/ 2X DAILY CLOSES ABOVE 1900. IF WEEKLY CLOSE ABOVE 1900 THEN 2050 GUARANTEED. 2200/50 BREAKOUT TARGET. STOPS DAILY CLOSE BELOW 1850. ENTRY @MARKET 1870/ QLT @1860. TP 2000 or ATH or 2250 MINIMUM RR = STOPS 20PTS, TP 140PTS = 7x MARCH/...
Market leaders often like to 'FAKEOUT' fomo traders on the first ATH break of 3588ATHs - price runs up and through to say 3595-3615, making retails think the market is breaking out then this big +3% green ends up being the end of the irrational bull run.. Especially into round numbers like 3600. That said its worth noting, this is my LAST bear ticket. Im not a...
DXY bouncing off 91.8 KEY pivot which historically sends USD above 100. Stops below 91.5 level TP = 100 unless fundamentals change possibly 103
3K is the final high in SPX. Fed is spent. Economy is spent. Technicals are spent. Earnings SPENT. Short ALL rallies into 3k looking for 2900 over next 4wks OR 6-12 months view at 2000.
EUR$ LONG: 1. Daily support base formed ABOVE previous channel highs at 1.17 2. Fundamentally driven breakout on Friday (draghi vs yellen sentiment) should provide continued bullish EUR within the supply/demand complex. 3. Broadly eurozone crisis discounting contoinues to be faded out of the market. I expect RM names to begin pricing the ECB/FED convergence...
LONG VIX SEPT FUT @12.8 TP 16-20VOLS 1. Fading risk sentiment - back of googl, msft, fb strong earnings not able to push market higher implying risk bid is over. 2. Time value - 7wks for this view to play out. I expect maturity in around 2wks but an extra 5wks of float is only positive.
WILL THE DOW JONES CRASH AT 22K?
Why has the relationship between inflation and unemployment reversed in recent times? (Phillips curve) - 1. 1980s vs 2017 - Expansion in govt and consumer credit, economic boom, demographics 2. unemployment manipulation/ part time, participation rate 4pts lower 63 vs 67. 3. Servicing debt rather than consuming more goods/ services - wage v debt differential 4....