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$GTLB: AI SaaS Software stock for tactical and long-term trade
GTLB
, 1W
Long
GTLB: $GTLB: AI SaaS Software stock for tactical and long-term trade

In this blog space we focus a lot on the AI trade. Be it semiconductors, AI powered Cybersecurity, AI Powered Fintech or just the industry itself, but we have not quietly focused on the AI Software stocks. The second and third derivatives of the AI trade will be more on the software space than Semiconductors where most of the future value will be accrued. Now...

$PWR: The outperformer momentum stock within $XLI
PWR
, 1W
Long
PWR: $PWR: The outperformer momentum stock within $XLI

Many will say not all industrials are created equal. Some stocks give more α- than others. Within the SPDR Industrial subsector ETF AMEX:XLI we have stocks like Boeing which have done nothing for the last 5 years. On the other hand, we have midcap industrial stocks like NYSE:PWR , NYSE:TT and NYSE:GEV whose chart looks amazing and has clear uptrends. What...

$USOIL & $XLE: Sustainable bull run or short-term bounce?
USOIL
, 1W
USOIL: $USOIL & $XLE: Sustainable bull run or short-term bounce?

Recently the commodities and the commodity stocks are having a bull run. Oil being one of the largest categories within the Bloomberg Commodity Index Futures is late to the party after the AMEX:GLD rally. In my recent posts I made the case that the TVC:USOIL will remain range bound, and we will see 55 $ in $USOIL. But since then, TVC:USOIL has gone through a...

$CRWD: Relative outperformance compared to its peers
CRWD
, 1W
Long
CRWD: $CRWD: Relative outperformance compared to its peers

Cybersecurity is one of our favorite themes. This is known to all who have been following this blog space. We have been bullish on the tech sector AMEX:XLK and specifically in the sub sectors within the tech sector. Cybersecurity is one of them. Within Cybersecurity we have some stocks which have outperformed the rest of its peers. One such name is Crowdstrike. ...

$NIFTY: New highs incoming; 27500 can be cycle highs
NIFTY
, 1W
Long
NIFTY: $NIFTY: New highs incoming; 27500 can be cycle highs

NSE:NIFTY the index from India which holds the top 50 stocks in India. IN the chart below we have overlayed the SP:SPX index. The NSE:NIFTY and $S&P500 have been in lockstep for more than 5 years as shown in the chart below. The indices are just 2.5% away from their ATH. Even with these levels the RSI for NSE:NIFTY is 61 and 58 in case of $SPX. The RSI is...

Quiet before the storm: $VIX eerily at low levels.
VIX
, 1W
Long
VIX: Quiet before the storm: $VIX eerily at low levels.

TVC:VIX since the unusual April spike to 60 has been making new lows. It is surprisingly coincidental that the S&P 500 bottomed at 4900 @ which is 0.618 Fib retracement level if we chart the Fib level form the August 2024 spike to the lows of the Nov 2024. Since Feb 2025 highs have come down to 17. With VIX at 17 and SP:SPX almost 6000 which is 2.5% away from...

Story behind EURUSD chart and US10Y and DE10Y risk premium
EURUSD
, 1W
Long
EURUSD: Story behind EURUSD chart and US10Y and DE10Y risk premium

Let’s have a look at the Currency and Bond markets today after an eventful last few weeks in both markets. After Moody’s downgrade of the US Gov bonds the markets look seemingly quiet. There has been no sudden spike in the US10Y. But it makes lot of sense to look beneath the hood and compare the Bond and the currency markets. Today we are looking into the 2...

$SMH vs $HACK: Recent good correlation with breakout potential
HACK
, 1W
Long
HACK: $SMH vs $HACK: Recent good correlation with breakout potential

Many market watchers will say that Semis are the most important stocks in the market. Semis are great from a market direction perspective. They are the best to indicate a downturn and the fastest to recover during a bull run. In this blog we have appreciated the relative resilience of the Cybersecurity stocks during the recent bear market. The cybersecurity ETF ...

$US10Y and $DXY Divergence and correlation breakdown
US10Y
, 1D
US10Y: $US10Y and $DXY Divergence and correlation breakdown

Recent weeks we might have missed some underlying churn in the market dynamics. Recently there has been a clear visible divergence in TVC:US10Y and TVC:DXY in midst of all the noise about the tariffs. Usually with rising TVC:US10Y yield the US Dollar index TVC:DXY rises with it as visible in the chart below. In this blog we have been following the downward...

$SFM : Stock with no Tariff exposure and good momentum
SFM
, 1W
Long
SFM: $SFM : Stock with no Tariff exposure and good momentum

NASDAQ:SFM : We are revising this stock one more time in our blog series. Sprout Farmers Market NASDAQ:SFM is a retailer which sell high quality food with higher margin in good localities and the best part is the products are locally produced and sourced. This makes it immune to the tariff discussions ongoing in the market. Hence, we have seen relative strength...

$BTC.D : Have we seen the top or a local top in the $BTC.D ?
BTC.D
, 1W
BTC.D: $BTC.D : Have we seen the top or a local top in the $BTC.D ?

CRYPTOCAP:BTC has been a recent bull run and trying to reclaim the ATH of 107K USD. Currently firmly above 100K the Crypto currency looks very bullish in the near to medium term. But what we have seen is an the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D chart is having an initial hiccup in this later part of the cycle. For the first time in the last few quarters there has been a back to...

$UNH: With stock down more than 60%, is it in buy zone?
UNH
, 1M
Long
UNH: $UNH: With stock down more than 60%, is it in buy zone?

NYSE:UNH with one after bad news lost 60% of its market cap from its ATH of 600$. NYSE:UNH the largest insurer in US has been in news for all the wrong reasons. The stock after losing 60% of the value has a dividend yield of 3.1% which is 2.5 times of the S&P Yield. The historical dividend growth of NYSE:UNH has been more than 8%. This makes NYSE:UNH a...

$VIX: Where does VIX go from here?
VIX
, 1D
VIX: $VIX: Where does VIX go from here?

Happy Tuesday. A new week, new market KPIs to look at. Since the ‘Liberation Day’ VIX spike to 50 it has been a bear market for VIX and has been going down since then. Since then, the S&P had more than 11 day of positive close for the day. This is which we would expect when VIX is making new lower highs and lower lows. But where does the VIX go from here? It...

$NVDA: Full on Bull mode. 170 $ before end of Summer
NVDA
, 1W
Long
NVDA: $NVDA: Full on Bull mode. 170 $ before end of Summer

Happy Monday. A new week, new trade for you guys. How does the largest AI stock looks like today with US-China Tariff pause for 90 days behave? Today the stock NASDAQ:NVDA broke the 1.0 Upward sloping Fib retracement channel with which we have been working for months now. The stock opened @ 122 % which is the 1.0 Fib retracement level. If we extend the channel...

$CRWD : Exceptional performance. Next stop 500 $.
CRWD
, 1W
Long
CRWD: $CRWD : Exceptional performance. Next stop 500 $.

Very few stocks can claim the performance and resiliency of Crowdstrike. NASDAQ:CRWD not only resisted the recent downturn in the volatile markets but also is above it previous multi cycle highs. The stock was @ 400 $ when the major global outage happened, and the stock touched the lows of 200 $ before it had a massive bull run from the lows of 200 $. Before the...

$AVGO looks bullish here. Can go as high as 276 $
AVGO
, 1D
Long
AVGO: $AVGO looks bullish here. Can go as high as 276 $

NASDAQ:AVGO has seen a faster recovery from the April 8th lows faster that other Semi stocks. The recovery has been stronger than $NVDA. The stock lost 45% of its value during the recent bear market. Since then, the stock has also recovered 45% of its value form the lows of 145 $. The weekly close of NASDAQ:AVGO above the psychological level of 200 $ is very...

$US10Y making new lows. 4% upcoming. 3.5% target low.
US10Y
, 1W
Short
US10Y: $US10Y making new lows. 4% upcoming. 3.5% target low.

TVC:US10Y is going through a volatile period. After ‘Liberation Day’ the standard deviation if the movements in the TVC:US10Y has gone up significantly affecting the Equity and Bond indexes. This has been volatility story for the last 1-2 months. Now we are touching the midpoint of the downward sloping parallel channel which lies at 4.1 %. On the medium term...

$RUSSELL in a bounce back mode. But upside is capped @ 2400
RUSSELL
, 1W
Long
RUSSELL: $RUSSELL in a bounce back mode. But upside is capped @ 2400

IG:RUSSELL 2000 after failing from the highs of 2400 on Dec 2024 which it revisited after 2 years the index made a low of 1700 in April which was the lows of this major cup and handle formation pattern the index has been doing for the last 2 year. We discussed this Cup and a probable handle forming in this blog space for the index IG:RUSSELL a couple of times....

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