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10 10year 10yearnote 10yearyield 10yr 10yryields 2year 2yr aa aal aapl abt aerospace aerospaceanddefense afrm agg aggriculture ai air airlines algt alk amc amd amt amzn amznshort anf appl apx arkk artificial_intelligence asset au200aud audusd audusdlong aus200 aususd azn ba baba bankdeposit banking bankingsystem banks banksector base bbwi beyondta biotech-etf bist100 bitcoin bitcoinforecast bond bonds bondshort bondsignals bondyields brazil breakouttrading bric brics brl btc btctry btcusd btcusdanalysis btcusdlong buffett bulltrap cad cae capacity capacityutilization capex car cat cauusd ccl centralbanks cew chartanalysis charting chartinganalysis chartpattern china china50 chinaa50 chinastocks chrusdt cl cl1! clh cmg cmglong cn50usd cny co cocao coin coinbase commodities commoditytrading commondities commondity containsimage copaholdings coporate coporateprofits copper copperlong coppershort corecpi corn corporate corporateprofits correction cpa cpi cqqq crash crashingmarket crb crbindex crm crsp cruiseline crypto cryptocurrency cryptomarket cryptos cryptotrading csco currencycrisis cypto cyptocurrency dal dalta dax dax30 dax30short dba ddd dds debt debtbubble deficit deficits delinquency dji djia doge dogecoin dogeusd dollar dollarindex dotcombubble doubletop dow dpz dsx dwac dxy dxyindex dxylong dxy_short dxyshort earningsanalysis economic economicanalysis economicdata economics economy education eem eiffeltower emergingmarkets employment erdogan etf eth ethereum ethreum ethshort ethusd etn euad eufn eur eurgbp eurjpy eurjpyshort eurnzd eurnzdbuy europe eurusd eurusdforecast eurusdlong eurusdshort ewg ewt ewtrading ewz expansion eza facebookshort fb fdx fed fedbalancesheet federal federalreserve fedfunds finance financials forex ftse100 fulltimemployment fundamental fundamental-analysis fundementalanalysis fundementals fundemntal fx fxi gamestopstock gbp gbpcad gbpcadanalysis gbpcadbuy gbpcadforecast gbpcadlong gbpcad_strategy gbpjpy gbpjpylong gbpjpy_outlook gbpusd gbpusdlong gbpusdshort gbpusdsignal gbpusdtrade gd gdp gdx ge gld global globalmacro globaltrade gme gol gold goldidea goldtrading goog googl google govermentbonds govt grek harmonicpatterns healthcare home homeprices householddebt housing ibb ibm ihg index indexes indexsignals india indianmarket indicator industrialproduction indy inflation inflatrion inr inrusd intc interestrates investing investment investmentmanagement ipo iwm iwmshort jblu jblulong jets jnk jobs jobsdata jpm225 jpy jpyusd kbe kmx kospi200 koss kre laborforce lmt ltc ltcusd lumberfutures luv m2 m2sl macro macroeconomics magnificentseven market markets matic maticusd meta metals mmt modern modernmonetarytheory moex moexanalytics monetary monetarypolicy monetarysystem money moneyflows moneysupply msft mtum multiple nas100 nas100short nas100usd nasda nasdaq nasdaq100 nasdaqsignals natgas naturalgas nclh ndq ndx ndx100 ndxshort newhomesales nflx ng1! ngas ngasbuy ngaslong ni225 nifty50 nikkeitrade nio nke nmr nvda nvda_analysis nvdalong nyse oil oilprice oilshort oiltrading oj1! opec orangejuice pave pce personalincome pins price prices privatecredit profit profits publicdebt pypl qe qqq qqqforecast rand rcl realestate realgdp recession reit reitinvesting rent reserves retail retailsales reversalpattern rio risk_reward rplusdt rsp rsx rub ruble rupee rusdrub russell2000 russia russianruble rut sbux sbuxshort shak shiba shibacoin shibausd shibausdt shipping shorting shortsetup silver silvershort singlehomes slv smallcaps smci smh snap sol solana solna solusd southafrica soybean sp500index spain spce spot spx spx500 spx500short spx500usd spxshort spy spy500 spyshort stockanalysis stocks stocktrading sugar sugarusd svx taiwan tapering tappering target taxes tech techincalanalysis techinicalanalysis technicalanalysis tgt thankyou theory tips tlry tlt tnp tnx tol totalcryptomarket totalmarketcap traading trading tran transportation treasury trendanalysis tronusd trx trxusd try try-turkish-lira tryusd tsla tslaanalysis tslaforecast tslalong tslashort tslashortsetup ttwo tur turkey turkishlira twtr ual ueurusd uk uk100 uk100gbp uk100short unemployment unemploymentrate ung unh us02y us10y us10yr us2000 us30y usd usdars usdbob usdbrl usdcad usdcad4hr usdcadshort usdclp usdcny usdcop usdebt usdidr usdinr usdinrlong usdjpy usdjpyanalysis usdjpylong usdkrw usdmxn usdmxnlong usdollar usdpen usdpkr usdrub usdtry usd-us-dollar usduyu usdves usdzar usdzarlong usgdp uso usoil usoilanalysis usoilshort utilization uup valuation valueinvesting veu vgk viac visa vix vnq vt vwo wages waveanalsysis waveanalysis waves wheat wheatusd wilshire5000 wmt worldeconomy worldstockmarket wti wticrude wticrudeoil wtioil wtishort xagusd xagusdshort xal xar xausd xausud xaususd xauusd xauusdlong xauusdshort xcuusd xcuusdlong xhb xlf xlf_sell xlu yield yieldcurve yields yuan zm znh Less Tags Show All Tags
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BTC or Gold?
BTCUSD
, 1D
Short
BTCUSD: BTC or Gold?

Answer Gold! The BTC/Gold ratio is on the verge of cracking here. A crack here will trigger a sell-off in BTC relative to Gold. This is a very simple, low risk, ratio trade.

US2000 Small Caps DANGER!
US2000
, 240
Short
US2000: US2000 Small Caps DANGER!
Updated 

Fully formed rising channel ready to collapse. -Where do I begin with this chart? Wave 3 up ending. -Multiple Double Top (Daily time frame and 4 hour.) -Head and Shoulders -Multiple CRACKS already in place. -Consolidation at the bottom of the structure All screaming DANGER to bulls!!

S&P500 How Expensive Is It?
SPX500
, 1M
Short
SPX500: S&P500 How Expensive Is It?

The Average Wage Earner Needs To Work166.5 Hours To Buy One Share Of The S&P500 If this chart does not drive the point home. Nothing will. Sometimes simple common sense is more powerful than all the fancy analysis one can buy or think of to create. Price is what you pay, and value is what you get! Remember that my friends. DANGER IS SCREAMING AT YOU!

JETS 7 Year Resistance
JETS
, 1W
JETS: JETS 7 Year Resistance
Updated 

This is a very simple chart to read. Airlines hitting a 7-year resistance trendline. Airlines are very capital-intensive and would greatly benefit from rate cuts. Despite inflation pricing power has not risen sufficiently even nominally. Oil has not helped their situation. We have seen many airlines go bankrupt, close shop, and reduce capacity. This indirectly...

RCL Eiffel Tower CAUTION!
RCL
, 1W
Short
RCL: RCL Eiffel Tower CAUTION!
Updated 

RCL is in a very capital-heavy industry that is very economically sensitive. Normally I would say from erections some corrections. However this has the Eiffel Tower structure in place for a full-on reversal. That remains to be seen. For now, we look for at least a correction and go from there. Caution is in order if you are long.

TSLA From Erection Come Correction Update
TSLA
, 60
Short
TSLA: TSLA From Erection Come Correction Update
Updated 

Since my initial post, TSLA has lost usmuch as 24% of its total value. Do not expect new highs anytime anytime soon. At best it will flip-flop at these levels for a while. Again this is the best case scenario. Fundamentally TSLA is way overvalued. it is not even something anyone can debate rationally. Despite the horrible fundies, I did offer a buy signal...

All Employees to Population Flashing CAUTION!
PAYEMS
, 1W
Short
PAYEMS: All Employees to Population Flashing CAUTION!

As I have been saying in chat. It is hard to increase revenues, profits, and EPS without more workers producing. We have seen that reality play out in the data. Deporting prime-age labor and imposing taxes on ourselves is certainly not going to help. There is only so much output an economy is capable of. Giving tax cuts to the rich certainly won't change how...

XAUUSD Hitting 44 year Resistance
XAUUSD
, 1W
XAUUSD: XAUUSD Hitting 44 year Resistance
Updated 

Gold is currently hitting a key resistance area that goes back to 1980 (44 year) trendline. Some time may be required to correct and absorb this recent bull move. However, I would not be selling out of it completely if that's what one wishes to do with this information. I prefer people read this chart as a good way to set their expectations in case Gold stalls...

TSLA - GAME OVER!
TSLA
, 1D
Short
TSLA: TSLA - GAME OVER!
Updated 

The 15 minutes of fame for TSLA & Elona is over! According to the chart. Wave 3 up, with an Eiffel Tower ending pattern. I got the top back in 2021 twice. 1st 2nd I caught the break out in 2024 I caught the top again in 2024 I am getting the end now in 2025. I am a macro guy so it won't be tomorrow but it's over. Yes, there will be some buying...

Deposits All Commercial Banks & US Debt
DPSACBW027SBOG
, 1M
Long
DPSACBW027SBOG: Deposits All Commercial Banks & US Debt

When a politician and their buddy start spouting nonsense about the US debt spiraling out of control, but then insist that tax cuts are great because they’ll create jobs, and all that money will somehow trickle down to the rest of us, magically boosting tax revenue to "make up" for the lost funds. Especially when that same politician was re-elected bc inflation &...

Home Prices Peaking Relative To Household Income
ASPUS
, 1M
Short
ASPUS: Home Prices Peaking Relative To Household Income
Updated 

Here is a simple ratio chart of Home price/Household Income, YOY rate of change overlaid with plain home prices. A few things we can learn from this chart. 1. A 4 to 5 X ratio used to be the bottom and top for home prices relative to household income. the ratio in 2000 after decades of stability rose to 6X income. Today we have spiked to 7.7X income. Clearly,...

AMD Bulls Caution!
AMD
, 1D
Short
AMD: AMD Bulls Caution!
Updated 

Usually, I do not put myself out there like this and front-run. However, I have sufficient evidence that makes me comfortable enough to make an exception this time. While I will not go into the methodology here (unfair to my subs) I will tell you that the chart is in a wave 3 up that is now head-testing the previous H&S pattern. Bulls make money Bears make money...

NVDA Topping Pattern
NVDA
, 1D
Short
NVDA: NVDA Topping Pattern
Updated 

Unlike the previous call, I made in NVDA that was corrective. This double-top pattern is signaling a reversal pattern. From a trading perspective, this is a great risk/reward setup that is relatively simple. A CRACK! here will likely lead to at least the right side filling, with the potential deeper pullback (reversal) If on the other hand, it pops above...

US DEBT Outpacing Private Credit 2 to 1
TOTBKCR
, 1D
Long
TOTBKCR: US DEBT Outpacing Private Credit 2 to 1

Money has been around for over 10,000 years! Money is a derivative of private sector(PS) asset/labor producing. Money is not a derivative of Gov Gov borrowing money from the PS with interest to buy money without interest is a recipe for economic disaster. Gov spending currently is over 40% of GDP annually. It used to be under 10% Gov debt benefits the few...

Mortgage Rates Topped out
MORTGAGE30US
, W
Short
MORTGAGE30US: Mortgage Rates Topped out
Updated 

Unless we get one more up for a double top, mortgage rates have topped out after breaking bearish rising wedge structure. Note topped out does not mean it will collapse. it will take time for rates to drop further.

INRUSD - Indian Rupee Collapse UPDATE
INRUSD
, 1D
Short
INRUSD: INRUSD - Indian Rupee Collapse UPDATE

My initial post on INRUSD was back on Sept 2022 more than 2 years ago. My update is more of the same going forward. INR will continue to collapse despite its nominal economic growth. When the economy is very small relative to its population, the growth rate doesn't matter as if a major economy like the US has similar growth. It's like comparing apples to...

NKE Key Break
NKE
, 1D
Short
NKE: NKE Key Break
Updated 

Multi-year Channel Breaking key area at $120 last time this broke we were in a recession and then Covid hit. A reminder the US entered a recession PRIOR to covid in FEB 2020. most don't know that. Will this time be different? Do we need a recession for stocks to drop? I will answer these questions in the next video.

SPX Hours needed to buy 1 share
SPX
, 1W
Short
SPX: SPX Hours needed to buy 1 share

How expensive is the market? The average wage earner has to work 167 hours to buy 1 share of the S&P 500. A new historic all-time high! The markets are crazy expensive! The inflation no one shows you or talks about is driven by massive deficits and cheap money. Extreme Caution is in order!

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