Sive-Morten

Sive-Morten

Morning folks, Here is just minor update to our last idea. BTC mostly was flat in recent two sessions, so action is started only today. So, the plan that we've prepared remains valid. Since an area around 90K is a strong resistance, we think that short entry attempt there is relatively safe, and at least should give us the chance to turn it to breakeven trade....

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Morning folks, So, our worryings were not in vain - we've got action to 88-89K area. Now our 4H "222" Sell is completed. At the same time, now we have the bigger one on a daily chart. Since 90-91K is a rather strong resistance area, we suggest that attempt to sell there should be relatively safe, once the upside AB=CD target around 90.5K will be...

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Morning folks, So, we set for 85K sell and it worked. Downside reaction happened, but still, we call you to move stops to breakeven for some case. The problem that we see is the market behavior. We see it not natural for normal bearish market. BTC stands stubbornly around K-resistance, not showing normal downside extension. Our scenario of downside...

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Morning folks, So, Monday's plan has worked perfect, we're at 85K. Today we have to keep an eye on daily chart, where bearish grabber pattern might be formed and trigger downside action. In general upside action is rather slow, so bearish context stands intact. We see only one risk for it - non-market driving factors, such as a D. Trump flood on X. But, this...

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Morning folks, So, everything goes with the plan - nothing to change on major picture. We keep our bearish view on BTC and now consider 68-74K area as the next destination point. But this could take a few weeks. In fact, previous 68K top also will be a big test. Downside break will open road to 52-55K. While if BTC will be able to stay in 70-80K range, it will...

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Morning folks, So, Old Donny euphoria was over on the next day, as we've suggested. ETH was even worse than BTC... And we're skeptic on coming Crypto Summit tomorrow. What could happen in three days? A lot of speech and empty promises definitely will sound, but where the real deals? Recently. S. Lummis said that BTC Reserve issue is still under question and no...

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Morning folks, So, the pullback that we were waiting for is done. Although we thought that it will be driven by some natural forces and reasons. The way how it has happened and by what factors make us to be caution on its perspectives. Indeed, it was just verbal intervention from D. Trump. It had bad week - scandal in White House with Zelensky, stocks are...

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Morning folks, So, our trading plan worked just great - DRPO on weekly in fact hit 81-82K, so it's minimal target is done. In fact, BTC, as a Gold now are victims of massive sell-off on stock market. Investors meet margin calls and urgently need cash to fill it back to initial level. That's why they sell everything that they could to get the money. While...

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Morning folks, So, everything goes accurately with the plan - our 1H H&S is ready to start. Even small "222" Buy already has been formed on the bottom. So, if you would like to buy - this is the point where you have to decide. Upside target is 100.5-101.2K. At the same time - don't forget that the H&S has to be considered in context of our big bearish...

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Morning folks, So market stands in the narrow range for the 3rd week already and not leaving hopes to show the bounce up to 101-102K area. Last attempt (in the way of cup pattern that we've discussed last time) has failed. We don't care about it because mostly stay focused on weekly bearish DRPO pattern. Thus, any bounce here we consider first as a chance to...

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Morning folks, A recent few sessions have rather narrow range, so we have little changes since our last discussion. We have confirmed DRPO "Sell" pattern on weekly chart, so we keep bearish general view on BTC, with potential downside target around 80-81K. This also makes us to not consider any long positions. If even upside bounce will happen - we try to use...

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Morning folks, Last time we were speaking about possible upside bounce to ~102.5K area. But BTC has failed three attempts to move out from support level where it stands. Despite that upside momentum was not bad. With the recent high CPI on the table and weekly DRPO "Sell" pattern on the back, we suggest that downside action could start at any time. First...

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Morning folks, So, our weekly bearish DRPO "Sell" pattern has been confirmed. It means that until market either complete its 81K target or remains under 102.5K its invalidation point - this pattern presents the risk for the bulls. With all this stuff on the table we make two decisions. First is - we cut potential upside target down to 102.4K area by two...

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Morning folks, So, BTC has shown the pullback that we've discussed, but it was even stronger. Thus, we had have to postpone our plans for short entry. Besides, now situation stands so that our weekly pattern (DRPO "Sell") might not be confirmed this week. To keep it simple - no new shorts by far. For now we focus only on intraday setups. For example, on 4H...

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Morning folks, So, this week / our DRPO "Sell" pattern is one step closer to confirmation and has a good chances to start working this week. Meantime, due to weekend collapse BTC now is overextended. The problem is not about BTC itself but in jump of the USD, triggered by Donny's tariffs. We suggest to get technical rally, back to ~98.2K resistance area and...

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Morning folks, So, the pullback that we've discussed last time is done and even slightly more extended, in a way of AB=CD . By our previous plan, somewhere around we should start thinking about the short entry. So, is it time? We think it is not quite yet. And the reason stands with the pattern that now is forming on weekly chart - bullish grabber. This...

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Morning folks, So, here we go... downside action starts as we've discussed last time. On weekly chart we still wait for confirmation in a way of price close below 3x3 DMA. While on a daily one price hits oversold level. Those who know about this - we have DiNapoli bullish "Stretch" pattern for now, suggesting the pullback. That's why we do not consider...

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Morning folks, So, our bearish ideas seem to be correct last time... Now we think that weekly TF is most perspective for BTC, because here we could get DiNapoli DRPO "Sell". First signs are already here, but for final confirmation we need close below MA line. Meantime, on intraday charts, BTC is forming the Diamond consolidation , and on the same weekly one...